Pure Cycle Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

PCYO Stock  USD 13.80  0.70  5.34%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Pure Cycle is 'Strong Buy'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Pure Cycle's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out Pure Cycle Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
To learn how to invest in Pure Stock, please use our How to Invest in Pure Cycle guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Pure and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Pure Cycle. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in manufacturing.

Execute Pure Cycle Buy or Sell Advice

The Pure recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Pure Cycle. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Pure Cycle or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Pure Cycle's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Pure CycleBuy Pure Cycle
Strong Buy

Market Performance

GoodDetails

Volatility

Somewhat reliableDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very SmallDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Responds to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong SellDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Pure Cycle has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1441, Jensen Alpha of 0.2936, Total Risk Alpha of 0.154, Sortino Ratio of 0.1931 and Treynor Ratio of 0.2775
Our trade recommendations tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Pure Cycle and to analyze the firm potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Pure Cycle is not overpriced, please check all Pure Cycle fundamentals, including its current ratio, and the relationship between the ebitda and beta . Given that Pure Cycle has a number of shares shorted of 305.56 K, we recommend you to check out Pure Cycle market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your recent risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Pure Cycle Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Pure Cycle is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 56.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 6445 shares by Mark Harding of Pure Cycle at 12.5154 subject to Rule 16b-3

Pure Cycle Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Pure Cycle's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Pure Cycle's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Pure Cycle daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Pure Cycle price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Pure Cycle returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Pure Cycle.
Mean Return
0.43
Value At Risk
-3.22
Potential Upside
3.71
Standard Deviation
2.38
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Pure Cycle historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Pure Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Pure Cycle, soars without any apparent reason. This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Pure Cycle back and forth among themselves. Companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in this term and can influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Bard Associates Inc2024-06-30
370.1 K
Epiq Partners, Llc2024-09-30
328.8 K
Curi Rmb Capital2024-09-30
275.4 K
Myda Advisors Llc2024-09-30
220 K
Northern Trust Corp2024-09-30
178.3 K
Blair William & Co2024-06-30
164.8 K
Boston Partners Global Investors, Inc2024-06-30
140.2 K
Tealwood Asset Management Inc2024-09-30
117.6 K
Spears Abacus Advisors Llc2024-09-30
114 K
Magnolia Group, Llc2024-09-30
2.1 M
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
1.3 M
Note, although Pure Cycle's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Pure Cycle Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash17.3M647K14.8M(8.7M)(3.1M)(3.0M)
Free Cash Flow12.1M560K11.6M(10.2M)1.8M1.8M
Depreciation3.1M1.8M2.1M(2.6M)(3.0M)(2.8M)
Other Non Cash Items4.2M(47K)(13.5M)(3.0M)(9.9M)(9.4M)
Capital Expenditures8.6M2.9M5.8M7.8M458K435.1K
Net Income6.8M20.1M9.6M4.7M11.6M12.2M
End Period Cash Flow21.8M22.4M37.2M28.5M25.4M26.6M
Change To Inventory6.5M(522K)608K(4.5M)(5.1M)(5.4M)
Investments5.2M(2.9M)(6.7M)(9.2M)(10.6M)(10.1M)
Change Receivables(35.5K)(68.8K)(414K)(893K)(1.0M)(975.6K)
Change To Netincome(978.5K)4.1M1.2M223K256.5K243.6K

Pure Cycle Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Pure Cycle or Water Utilities sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Pure Cycle's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Pure stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.29
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.53
σ
Overall volatility
2.48
Ir
Information ratio 0.14

Pure Cycle Volatility Alert

Pure Cycle has relatively low volatility with skewness of 1.62 and kurtosis of 6.76. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Pure Cycle's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Pure Cycle's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Pure Cycle Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Pure Cycle's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Pure Cycle's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Pure Cycle and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Pure Cycle or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Pure Cycle's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Pure Cycle by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Pure Cycle to competition
FundamentalsPure CyclePeer Average
Return On Equity0.0937-0.31
Return On Asset0.0545-0.14
Profit Margin0.40 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.62 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation304.14 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding24.07 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders3.74 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions56.28 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted305.56 K4.71 M
Price To Earning26.55 X28.72 X
Price To Book2.46 X9.51 X
Price To Sales10.97 X11.42 X
Revenue28.75 M9.43 B
Gross Profit18.11 M27.38 B
EBITDA12.24 M3.9 B
Net Income11.61 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents34.89 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share1.46 X5.01 X
Total Debt151 K5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.04 %48.70 %
Current Ratio3.49 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share5.39 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations2.21 M971.22 M
Short Ratio12.74 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share0.48 X3.12 X
Target Price6.55
Beta0.92-0.15
Market Capitalization315.36 M19.03 B
Total Asset147.35 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(45.5 M)9.33 B
Working Capital23.22 M1.48 B
Current Asset29.09 M9.34 B
Current Liabilities482 K7.9 B
Note: Disposition of 6445 shares by Mark Harding of Pure Cycle at 12.5154 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Pure Cycle Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Pure . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Pure Cycle Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Pure Cycle? Buying financial instruments such as Pure Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Pure Cycle in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Real Estate Thematic Idea Now

Real Estate
Real Estate Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Real Estate theme has 61 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Real Estate Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Pure Cycle offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Pure Cycle's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Pure Cycle Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Pure Cycle Stock:
Check out Pure Cycle Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
To learn how to invest in Pure Stock, please use our How to Invest in Pure Cycle guide.
You can also try the Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments.
Is Water Utilities space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Pure Cycle. If investors know Pure will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Pure Cycle listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
5.767
Earnings Share
0.48
Revenue Per Share
1.194
Quarterly Revenue Growth
2.729
Return On Assets
0.0545
The market value of Pure Cycle is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Pure that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Pure Cycle's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Pure Cycle's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Pure Cycle's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Pure Cycle's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Pure Cycle's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Pure Cycle is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Pure Cycle's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.