Post Holdings Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| POST Stock | USD 112.93 2.54 2.30% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Post Holdings is 'Cautious Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Post Holdings given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Post Holdings. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Post Holdings, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Check out Post Holdings Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more information on how to buy Post Stock please use our How to Invest in Post Holdings guide. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Post and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Post Holdings. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state.
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Execute Post Holdings Buy or Sell Advice
The Post recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Post Holdings. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Post Holdings or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Post Holdings' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Cautious Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Fairly Valued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Small | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Barely shadows the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Strong | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Post Holdings Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Post Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Post Holdings is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Post Holdings has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 96.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 6500 shares by Nico Catoggio of Post Holdings at 109.1836 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Post Holdings Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Post Holdings' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Post Holdings' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Post Holdings daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Post Holdings price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Post Holdings returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Post Holdings.
| Mean Return | -0.05 | Value At Risk | -1.54 | Potential Upside | 1.51 | Standard Deviation | 0.87 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Post Holdings historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Post Stock Institutional Investors
The Post Holdings' institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Post Holdings' securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
| Shares | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2024-06-30 | 1.3 M | Wellington Management Company Llp | 2024-06-30 | 1.2 M | Point72 Asset Management, L.p. | 2024-06-30 | 1.2 M | Holocene Advisors, Lp | 2024-06-30 | 1.2 M | Amvescap Plc. | 2024-06-30 | 948.6 K | Fmr Inc | 2024-09-30 | 863.9 K | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2024-06-30 | 822.4 K | Thompson, Siegel & Walmsley Llc | 2024-09-30 | 751.4 K | Millennium Management Llc | 2024-06-30 | 744.8 K | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 5.1 M | Blackrock Inc | 2024-06-30 | 4.5 M |
Post Holdings Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 138.9M | (369.2M) | (81.5M) | (472.9M) | 673.7M | 707.4M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 391M | 395.7M | 128.9M | 447.3M | 502.2M | 284.6M | |
| Depreciation | 370.3M | 420.2M | 380.2M | 407.1M | 468.2M | 491.6M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 230.7M | (37.6M) | (737.9M) | 37.8M | 931.7M | 978.3M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 234.6M | 192.5M | 255.3M | 303M | 429.5M | 451.0M | |
| Net Income | 29M | 206.7M | 742.5M | 312.9M | 359.8M | 377.8M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 1.2B | 824.2M | 590.1M | 117.2M | 790.9M | 680.5M | |
| Change To Inventory | (4.6M) | 54.5M | (86.8M) | (31.9M) | 63.3M | 66.5M | |
| Net Borrowings | (186M) | (84.8M) | 801.7M | 223.1M | 200.8M | 190.8M | |
| Change To Netincome | 236.8M | 77.4M | (544.9M) | 32.4M | 29.2M | 44.1M | |
| Investments | 52.7M | 7.1M | (9M) | (669.3M) | (769.7M) | (808.2M) |
Post Holdings Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Post Holdings or Food Products sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Post Holdings' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Post stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.13 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.91 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.17 |
Post Holdings Volatility Alert
Post Holdings exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.17 and kurtosis of -0.06. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Post Holdings' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Post Holdings' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Post Holdings Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Post Holdings' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Post Holdings' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Post Holdings and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Post Holdings or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Post Holdings' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Post Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Post Holdings to competition |
| Fundamentals | Post Holdings | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0886 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0433 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.04 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.11 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 12.73 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 58.45 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 19.39 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 96.14 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 1.62 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 7.65 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.58 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.82 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 7.92 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 1.88 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 1.27 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 312.9 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 747.4 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 12.51 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 6.81 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 1.65 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 3.02 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 67.52 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 931.7 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 4.36 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 5.64 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 1.19 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 125.4 | |
| Number Of Employees | 11.43 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.6 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 6.45 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 12.85 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 1.78 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 673.2 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Disposition of 623 shares by Matthew Mainer of Post Holdings at 110.31 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Post Holdings Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Post . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Post Holdings Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Post Holdings? Buying financial instruments such as Post Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Additional Tools for Post Stock Analysis
When running Post Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Post Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Post Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Post Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Post Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Post Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Post Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.