Post Holdings Stock Market Outlook

POST Stock  USD 111.81  0.09  0.08%   
Slightly above 54% of Post Holdings' investor base is interested to short. The analysis of overall sentiment of trading Post Holdings stock suggests that many investors are impartial at this time. Post Holdings' investing sentiment can be driven by a variety of factors including economic data, Post Holdings' earnings reports, geopolitical events, and overall market trends.

Comfort Level 46

 Impartial

 
Panic
 
Confidence
Today, several news technology companies offer sentiment data to assist traders in manufacturing news sentiment indicators for investment decisions. We partner with these technology firms in helping retail investors build forecasting models that use Post Holdings' input sentiment indicators derived from textual data and news published on major financial information outlets and social sites. These indicators can be used to analyze time-dependent numerical information representing public perception toward Post Holdings.
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Post Holdings is 'Strong Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Post Holdings given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Post Holdings, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.

Execute Post Holdings Advice

The Post recommendation should be used to complement the investment advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Post Holdings. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Post Holdings or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Post Holdings' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Post HoldingsBuy Post Holdings
Strong Hold

Market Performance

SoftDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

TinyDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

StrongDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Post Holdings has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0492, Jensen Alpha of 0.0569, Total Risk Alpha of (0.05), Sortino Ratio of 0.0217 and Treynor Ratio of 0.1363
Macroaxis provides advice on Post Holdings to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Post Holdings. Our recommendation engine determines the firm's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Post Holdings is not overpriced, please check all Post Holdings fundamentals, including its current ratio, and the relationship between the ebitda and target price . Given that Post Holdings has a price to earning of 7.65 X, we recommend you to check out Post Holdings market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your recent risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Post Holdings Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Post Holdings is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Post Holdings has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 85.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
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Post Holdings Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Post Holdings' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Post Holdings' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Post Holdings daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Post Holdings price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Post Holdings returns is essential to provide solid investment analysis for Post Holdings.
Mean Return
0.11
Value At Risk
-2.8
Potential Upside
2.28
Standard Deviation
2.09
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Post Holdings historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Post Stock Institutional Investors

The Post Holdings' institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Post Holdings' securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
Shares
Norges Bank2025-06-30
1.3 M
Td Global Investment Solutions – Td Epoch2025-06-30
944.7 K
Diamond Hill Capital Management Inc2025-06-30
910.2 K
Citadel Advisors Llc2025-06-30
866.2 K
Geode Capital Management, Llc2025-06-30
829.4 K
Fmr Inc2025-06-30
618 K
Amvescap Plc.2025-06-30
579.6 K
T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc.2025-06-30
567.6 K
Fuller & Thaler Asset Management Inc2025-06-30
563.1 K
Vanguard Group Inc2025-06-30
5.4 M
Blackrock Inc2025-06-30
4.4 M
Note, although Post Holdings' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Post Holdings Cash Flow Accounts

202120222023202420252026 (projected)
Change In Cash(81.5M)(472.9M)673.7M(608.1M)(547.3M)(519.9M)
Free Cash Flow128.9M447.3M502.2M488.1M561.3M290.6M
Depreciation380.2M407.1M476.9M524.3M602.9M633.1M
Other Non Cash Items(737.9M)55.3M110.2M129.9M116.9M70.9M
Capital Expenditures255.3M303M429.5M510.2M586.7M616.1M
Net Income742.5M301.3M366.7M335.7M386.1M405.4M
End Period Cash Flow590.1M117.2M790.9M182.8M210.2M199.7M
Change To Inventory(86.8M)(31.9M)63.3M4.5M4.1M4.3M
Net Borrowings801.7M223.1M803.4M573.9M516.5M497.2M
Change To Netincome236.8M77.4M(544.9M)32.4M29.2M44.1M
Investments(9M)(669.3M)(677.5M)(1.4B)(1.6B)(1.6B)

Post Holdings Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Post Holdings or Food Products sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Post Holdings' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Post stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.75
σ
Overall volatility
2.15
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

Post Holdings Volatility Alert

Post Holdings has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.81 and kurtosis of 8.08. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Post Holdings' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Post Holdings' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Post Holdings Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Post Holdings' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Post Holdings' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Post Holdings and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Post Holdings or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Post Holdings' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Post Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Post Holdings to competition
FundamentalsPost HoldingsPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0867-0.31
Return On Asset0.042-0.14
Profit Margin0.04 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.11 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation12.55 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding47.96 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders14.55 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions85.45 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted5.45 M4.71 M
Price To Earning7.65 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.55 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.70 X11.42 X
Revenue8.16 B9.43 B
Gross Profit2.38 B27.38 B
EBITDA1.33 B3.9 B
Net Income335.7 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents747.4 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share12.51 X5.01 X
Total Debt7.93 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity1.65 %48.70 %
Current Ratio3.02 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share72.09 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations998.3 M971.22 M
Short Ratio7.39 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share5.44 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth1.19 X4.89 X
Target Price130.13
Number Of Employees13.18 K18.84 K
Beta0.37-0.15
Market Capitalization5.84 B19.03 B
Total Asset13.53 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings2.12 B9.33 B
Working Capital811.8 M1.48 B
Note: Disposition of 6983 shares by Gregory Curl of Post Holdings at 114.3092 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Post Holdings Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Post . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

Post Holdings Target Price Consensus

Post target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysts' performance other than comparing it to past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Post Holdings' target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, investor sentiment analysis, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
   11  Buy
Most Post analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to help potential investors understand Post stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching the public financial statements of Post Holdings, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.
Macroaxis Advice   Exposure   Valuation

Post Holdings Target Price Projection

Post Holdings' current and average target prices are 111.81 and 130.12, respectively. The current price of Post Holdings is the price at which Post Holdings is currently trading. On the other hand, Post Holdings' target price is what analysts think the stock is worth. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.

Current Price

Post Holdings Market Quote on 16th of February 2026

Low Price109.53Odds
High Price111.91Odds

111.81

Target Price

Analyst Consensus On Post Holdings Target Price

Low Estimate118.41Odds
High Estimate144.44Odds

130.125

Historical Lowest Forecast  118.41 Target Price  130.13 Highest Forecast  144.44
Note that most analysts generally publish their price targets in research reports on specific companies, along with recommendations for the company's stock.Although price targets are often quoted in the financial news media, there could be a delay between the publication of the latest analyst outlook on Post Holdings and the information provided on this page.

Post Holdings Analyst Ratings

Post Holdings' analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about Post Holdings stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of Post Holdings' financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. Post Holdings' historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.

Analyst Consensus Breakdown

Average Consensus Estimates

About Post Holdings Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Post Holdings? Buying financial instruments such as Post Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Post Holdings in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Adviser Favorites
Adviser Favorites Theme
Financial advisors frequently recommend that individuals diversify their investment portfolios with a mix of different types of stocks. These can include blue-chip stocks, growth stocks, and dividend stocks. The Adviser Favorites theme has 17 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Adviser Favorites Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Post Stock Analysis

When running Post Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Post Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Post Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Post Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Post Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Post Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Post Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.