Post Holdings Stock Analysis
| POST Stock | USD 102.05 -0.94 -0.91% |
At the current market price of $102.05, POST trades below the analyst target price of $122.43. For POST, the central analytical question is whether the current price accurately reflects intrinsic value. A low earnings multiple combined with leverage that is elevated relative to consumer staples peers creates a risk-reward dynamic for POST where debt sustainability is as important as valuation.
POST holds a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.65 relative to consumer staples peers. Based on figures reported as of December 31, 2025, Net Debt To EBITDA is holding steady around 5.09x, while Net Debt is staying broadly flat near $8.65 billion. Comparing Post Holdings' leverage to its own 5-year average reveals whether the current capital structure is within historical norms or stretched. Asset vs Debt
Equity vs Debt
Price Book 1.44 | Price Sales 0.59 | Shares Float 37.8 million | Wall Street Target Price 122.43 | Earnings Share 5.44 |
Post Holdings leverage, expressed as debt-to-equity, determines how much financial risk creditors bear versus shareholders. Net debt-to-equity (adjusting for cash holdings) gives a more conservative view of true leverage than gross figures alone.
Post Holdings Quarterly Net Debt | $7.18 billion |
Post Holdings |
Stock Analysis Notes
About 15.0% of POST outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. POST has price-to-book ratio of 1.44. A Price to Book (P/B) above 1.0 indicates the market assigns a premium to the equity, often reflecting expected growth or intangible value. Post Holdings has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.17. POST reported earnings per share (EPS) of 5.44. The firm had not issued any dividends in recent years. POST completed a 1.528-for-1 stock split on 11th of March 2022. Post Holdings posted $0.74 in Intangibles To Total Assets, $13.5 billion in Total Assets, and an Asset Turnover of 1.83x for the reported period.Price To Sales Ratio | 0.52 |
Investor Insights and Alerts
| Post Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Post Holdings is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Post Holdings's Piotroski F-Score indicates relatively stable underlying signals within the model framework, despite current profitability pressure | |
| About 15.0% of POST outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Post Holdings Fiscal Q 2 Earnings Snapshot |
Largest EPS Surprises
For Post Holdings, each quarterly earnings release acts as a market reset. The gap between what analysts expect and what the company delivers is one of the most direct drivers of short-term repricing. For this stock, read EPS surprises with profitability quality and forward revisions.
| Reported | Fiscal Date | Estimated EPS | Reported EPS | Surprise | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2012-03-08 | 2011-12-31 | 0.32 | 0.36 | 0.04 | 12 | ||
2013-11-20 | 2013-09-30 | 0.21 | 0.16 | -0.05 | 23 | ||
2014-11-24 | 2014-09-30 | 0.07 | 0.13 | 0.06 | 85 |
Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores
Reviewing Post Holdings' ESG trend shows whether governance quality and stakeholder risk are improving or declining. Trend direction often matters more than one isolated ESG reading taken out of context.
Thematic Classifications
A thematic view of Post Holdings is valuable because it lets investors test the idea inside a broader opportunity set instead of judging the security in isolation. Used well, thematic analysis can turn a discretionary idea into a more systematic portfolio-building process with clearer risk boundaries.
![]() | Adviser FavoritesEquities that are favored by financial advisors | |
![]() | Millennials BestFirms that are involved in making products or providing services to millennials |
Top Institutional Investors Holding Post Holdings Stock
At mid-cap scale, institutional coverage and secondary-market liquidity are typically well established. At Post Holdings's scale, fund flows and index rebalancing drive most of the daily volume. The business currently sits in the Consumer Defensive sector and the Food, Beverage & Tobacco industry. Watching turnover and volume trends alongside ownership data adds depth to the picture.
| Shares | T. Rowe Price Investment Management,inc. | 2025-12-31 | 1 M | Fmr Inc | 2025-12-31 | 919 K | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2025-12-31 | 910 K | Diamond Hill Capital Management Inc | 2025-12-31 | 893.2 K | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2025-12-31 | 881 K | Two Sigma Advisers, Llc | 2025-12-31 | 785.6 K | Two Sigma Investments Llc | 2025-12-31 | 726 K | Amvescap Plc. | 2025-12-31 | 587.8 K | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2025-12-31 | 498.6 K | Vanguard Group Inc | 2025-12-31 | 5.2 M | Blackrock Inc | 2025-12-31 | 4.2 M |
Market Capitalization
Market capitalization for Post Holdings is about $4.94 billion, leaving the company classified as mid-cap across packaged foods & meats companies. The broader capitalization picture also reflects enterprise value near $12.16 billion, a workforce of about 13,180 people, and about 47.96 million shares outstanding.Profitability
A profitability review of Post Holdings connects sales quality and cost control with the ability to produce steady returns across market cycles. The key question is whether current profitability is lasting, cyclical, or boosted by items that may not repeat. POST has Profit Margin (PM) of 4.0%. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 11.0%.| Last Reported | End Of Year Estimate | ||
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.19 | 0.2 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.3 | 0.32 | |
| Return On Assets | 19.00% | 20.00% | |
| Return On Equity | 19.00% | 20.00% |
Management Efficiency
POST has return on total asset (ROA) of 4.2% indicating the business covers its cost base. This is acceptable by sector standards. Post Holdings also reports a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of 8.67%, indicating the business compounds investor capital.| Last Reported | End Of Year Estimate | ||
| Book Value Per Share | 17.88 | 16.99 | |
| Tangible Book Value Per Share | 17.88 | 18.78 | |
| Price Book Value Ratio | 0.64x | 0.86x | |
| Enterprise Value Multiple | 1.79x | 1.7x | |
| Price Fair Value | 0.64x | 0.86x | |
| Enterprise Value | $10.01 billion | $8.89 billion |
Management quality at Post Holdings matters because strategic decisions eventually show up in margins, cash conversion, capital allocation, and the market's willingness to assign a premium multiple. In practice, management analysis provides context for determining whether recent results reflect skill, favorable timing, or a mix of both.
Operating Margin | Long Term Debt Total | Three Month Return -10.96 | Short Long Term Debt Total | Ten Year Return 103.41 |
Technical Drivers
As of the 9th of May, Post Holdings indicates a price level of 102.05 per share. Price-based signals reflect Semi Deviation of 1.42, risk adjusted performance of 0.0174, and Coefficient Of Variation of 7694.68. The model quantifies price stability and directional movement. Relative volatility positioning is benchmarked against peers.Price Movement Analysis - Bollinger Bands
This analysis covers thirty-eight data points across the selected time horizon. The Exponential Moving Average is calculated by weighting recent values of Post Holdings more heavily than older values.
Insider Trading Activities
Insider disclosures for Post Holdings show how people closest to the business are behaving as market expectations change. At mid-cap scale, institutional coverage and secondary-market liquidity are typically well established. These records work best as context, not as standalone buy-or-sell signals.
Outstanding Bonds
Post Holdings may use bonds as part of its capital structure to fund operations, refinance liabilities, or support acquisitions and other long-duration investments. Maturity profile, refinancing windows, and coupon burden can all affect how resilient the capital structure looks in a weaker market.
| Post Holdings 4625 Corp BondUS737446AQ74 | View | |
| US737446AR57 Corp BondUS737446AR57 | View |
Predictive Daily Indicators
For active positions in Post Holdings, intraday data shows when a move is gaining strength and when it is fading. Used carefully, they can improve execution without tempting investors to overtrade every small swing.
Corporate Filings
8K | 7th of May 2026 Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about | |
F4 | 4th of May 2026 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities | |
13A | 29th of April 2026 The form used by investors holding more than 5% of a company's stock, to report their beneficial ownership pursuant to Rule 13d-1 or Rule 13d-2 under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 | |
13A | 9th of April 2026 An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G | |
F4 | 6th of April 2026 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities | |
F4 | 2nd of April 2026 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities | |
F3 | 1st of April 2026 The report used by insiders such as officers, directors, and major shareholders (beneficial owners holding more than 10% of any class of the company's equity securities) to declare their ownership of a company's stock | |
13A | 27th of March 2026 An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G |
Forecast Models
Forecast models for Post Holdings use past prices and returns to estimate how the stock may behave under similar conditions. Financial data rarely stays stable for long, so the model is best used as a probability tool, not a price promise.Financial Strength and Earnings Quality Indicators
Post Holdings financial ratings play a critical role in determining how much Post Holdings has to pay to access credit markets, i.e., the amount of interest on their issued debt. The threshold between investment-grade and speculative-grade ratings has important market implications for Post Holdings' borrowing costs.| Piotroski F Score | 7 | Strong | View |
| Beneish M Score | -2.62 | Unlikely Manipulator | View |
Debt to Cash Allocation
Total debt stands at approximately $7.7 billion with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.65. Post Holdings has a current ratio of 2.96, suggesting that it is liquid enough and is able to pay its financial obligations when due. Post Holdings' use of debt should be considered alongside its cash position and equity base.Total Assets Over Time
Assets Financed by Debt
Debt finances 39.0% of POST's total assets — a relatively low share of the asset base, though leverage can still appear elevated relative to peers when measured against equity rather than total assets.Post Holdings Debt Ratio | 39.0 |
Corporate Bonds Issued
Post Holdings Short Long Term Debt Total
Short Long Term Debt Total | $5.17 billion |
Stock Analysis Methodology
As a mid-cap equity, Post Holdings diagnostic profile covers valuation ratios, fundamentals, and technical signals. Post Holdings operates in Packaged Foods & Meats within Food in Beverage & Tobacco. Post Holdings trades at P/E of 7.65, P/B of 1.44. Post Holdings shows ROE (TTM) of 8.67% and net margin (TTM) of 3.82%.
Post Holdings inputs come from periodic company reporting and market reference feeds and are mapped into a consistent reporting framework. Sell-side coverage, where present, supplements the data shown.
Editorial review and methodology oversight provided by: Rifka Kats, Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board
Current Post Holdings Analyst Rating Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 122.43 | Buy | 11 | Odds |
Analyst recommendations for Post Holdings are summarized from various research providers. The summary includes average consensus context. Analyst recommendations for Post Holdings carry significant weight, particularly when a large brokerage changes coverage. Understanding how Post Holdings's consensus rating has evolved provides context for evaluating analyst sentiment.
Post Holdings Stock Analysis Indicators
Diagnostics snapshot includes 19 indicators such as Begin Period Cash Flow, Long Term Debt, Common Stock Shares Outstanding.
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 790.9 million | |
| Long Term Debt | 7.42 billion | |
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 62.9 million | |
| Total Stockholder Equity | 3.75 billion | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -1.42 billion | |
| Tax Provision | 108.7 million | |
| Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y | -0.039 | |
| Property Plant And Equipment Net | 2.7 billion | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 176.7 million | |
| Cash | 176.7 million | |
| Accounts Payable | 624 million | |
| Net Debt | 7.52 billion | |
| 50 Day M A | 101.433 | |
| Total Current Liabilities | 1.21 billion | |
| Other Operating Expenses | 7.31 billion | |
| Non Current Assets Total | 11.5 billion | |
| Forward Price Earnings | 28.2486 | |
| Non Currrent Assets Other | 939.5 million | |
| Stock Based Compensation | 81.6 million |

