Post Holdings Stock Analysis

POST Stock  USD 102.05  -0.94  -0.91%   
At the current market price of $102.05, POST trades below the analyst target price of $122.43. For POST, the central analytical question is whether the current price accurately reflects intrinsic value. A low earnings multiple combined with leverage that is elevated relative to consumer staples peers creates a risk-reward dynamic for POST where debt sustainability is as important as valuation.
POST holds a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.65 relative to consumer staples peers. Based on figures reported as of December 31, 2025, Net Debt To EBITDA is holding steady around 5.09x, while Net Debt is staying broadly flat near $8.65 billion. Comparing Post Holdings' leverage to its own 5-year average reveals whether the current capital structure is within historical norms or stretched.

Asset vs Debt

Equity vs Debt

Income Quality stood at $1.14 as of December 31, 2025. Meanwhile, ROE is near current levels at 0.19, while Free Cash Flow Yield is staying broadly flat near 34.53%.
 Price Book
1.44
 Price Sales
0.59
 Shares Float
37.8 million
 Wall Street Target Price
122.43
 Earnings Share
5.44
Post Holdings leverage, expressed as debt-to-equity, determines how much financial risk creditors bear versus shareholders. Net debt-to-equity (adjusting for cash holdings) gives a more conservative view of true leverage than gross figures alone.

Post Holdings Quarterly Net Debt

$7.18 billion
  

Stock Analysis Notes

About 15.0% of POST outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. POST has price-to-book ratio of 1.44. A Price to Book (P/B) above 1.0 indicates the market assigns a premium to the equity, often reflecting expected growth or intangible value. Post Holdings has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.17. POST reported earnings per share (EPS) of 5.44. The firm had not issued any dividends in recent years. POST completed a 1.528-for-1 stock split on 11th of March 2022. Post Holdings posted $0.74 in Intangibles To Total Assets, $13.5 billion in Total Assets, and an Asset Turnover of 1.83x for the reported period.

Price To Sales Ratio

0.52
Price To Sales Ratio stood at 0.37x as of December 31, 2025.

Investor Insights and Alerts

Post Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Post Holdings is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Post Holdings's Piotroski F-Score indicates relatively stable underlying signals within the model framework, despite current profitability pressure
About 15.0% of POST outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Post Holdings Fiscal Q 2 Earnings Snapshot

Largest EPS Surprises

For Post Holdings, each quarterly earnings release acts as a market reset. The gap between what analysts expect and what the company delivers is one of the most direct drivers of short-term repricing. For this stock, read EPS surprises with profitability quality and forward revisions.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2012-03-08
2011-12-310.320.360.0412 
2013-11-20
2013-09-300.210.16-0.0523 
2014-11-24
2014-09-300.070.130.0685 
View All Earnings Estimates

Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

Reviewing Post Holdings' ESG trend shows whether governance quality and stakeholder risk are improving or declining. Trend direction often matters more than one isolated ESG reading taken out of context.

Thematic Classifications

A thematic view of Post Holdings is valuable because it lets investors test the idea inside a broader opportunity set instead of judging the security in isolation. Used well, thematic analysis can turn a discretionary idea into a more systematic portfolio-building process with clearer risk boundaries.
Adviser Favorites Idea
Adviser Favorites
Equities that are favored by financial advisors
Millennials Best Idea
Millennials Best
Firms that are involved in making products or providing services to millennials

Top Institutional Investors Holding Post Holdings Stock

At mid-cap scale, institutional coverage and secondary-market liquidity are typically well established. At Post Holdings's scale, fund flows and index rebalancing drive most of the daily volume. The business currently sits in the Consumer Defensive sector and the Food, Beverage & Tobacco industry. Watching turnover and volume trends alongside ownership data adds depth to the picture.
Shares
T. Rowe Price Investment Management,inc.2025-12-31
M
Fmr Inc2025-12-31
919 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2025-12-31
910 K
Diamond Hill Capital Management Inc2025-12-31
893.2 K
Geode Capital Management, Llc2025-12-31
881 K
Two Sigma Advisers, Llc2025-12-31
785.6 K
Two Sigma Investments Llc2025-12-31
726 K
Amvescap Plc.2025-12-31
587.8 K
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2025-12-31
498.6 K
Vanguard Group Inc2025-12-31
5.2 M
Blackrock Inc2025-12-31
4.2 M
Post Holdings mid-cap profile at 4.94 billion shapes market structure and potential liquidity pressure during stressed periods. Annual revenue is about 8.16 billion. At this size, institutional entries and exits have a more visible impact on daily volume.

Market Capitalization

Market capitalization for Post Holdings is about $4.94 billion, leaving the company classified as mid-cap across packaged foods & meats companies. The broader capitalization picture also reflects enterprise value near $12.16 billion, a workforce of about 13,180 people, and about 47.96 million shares outstanding.

Profitability

A profitability review of Post Holdings connects sales quality and cost control with the ability to produce steady returns across market cycles. The key question is whether current profitability is lasting, cyclical, or boosted by items that may not repeat. POST has Profit Margin (PM) of 4.0%. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 11.0%.
Last ReportedEnd Of Year Estimate
Return On Tangible Assets0.190.2
Return On Capital Employed0.30.32
Return On Assets19.00%20.00%
Return On Equity19.00%20.00%

Management Efficiency

POST has return on total asset (ROA) of 4.2% indicating the business covers its cost base. This is acceptable by sector standards. Post Holdings also reports a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of 8.67%, indicating the business compounds investor capital.
Last ReportedEnd Of Year Estimate
Book Value Per Share17.8816.99
Tangible Book Value Per Share17.8818.78
Price Book Value Ratio0.64x0.86x
Enterprise Value Multiple1.79x1.7x
Price Fair Value0.64x0.86x
Enterprise Value$10.01 billion$8.89 billion
Management quality at Post Holdings matters because strategic decisions eventually show up in margins, cash conversion, capital allocation, and the market's willingness to assign a premium multiple. In practice, management analysis provides context for determining whether recent results reflect skill, favorable timing, or a mix of both.
 Operating Margin
10.7%
 Long Term Debt Total
5.21 billion
 Three Month Return
-10.96
 Short Long Term Debt Total
5.17 billion
 Ten Year Return
103.41

Technical Drivers

As of the 9th of May, Post Holdings indicates a price level of 102.05 per share. Price-based signals reflect Semi Deviation of 1.42, risk adjusted performance of 0.0174, and Coefficient Of Variation of 7694.68. The model quantifies price stability and directional movement. Relative volatility positioning is benchmarked against peers.

Price Movement Analysis - Bollinger Bands

This analysis covers thirty-eight data points across the selected time horizon. The Exponential Moving Average is calculated by weighting recent values of Post Holdings more heavily than older values.

Insider Trading Activities

Insider disclosures for Post Holdings show how people closest to the business are behaving as market expectations change. At mid-cap scale, institutional coverage and secondary-market liquidity are typically well established. These records work best as context, not as standalone buy-or-sell signals.

Outstanding Bonds

Post Holdings may use bonds as part of its capital structure to fund operations, refinance liabilities, or support acquisitions and other long-duration investments. Maturity profile, refinancing windows, and coupon burden can all affect how resilient the capital structure looks in a weaker market.

Predictive Daily Indicators

For active positions in Post Holdings, intraday data shows when a move is gaining strength and when it is fading. Used carefully, they can improve execution without tempting investors to overtrade every small swing.

Corporate Filings

8K
7th of May 2026
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
F4
4th of May 2026
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
13A
29th of April 2026
The form used by investors holding more than 5% of a company's stock, to report their beneficial ownership pursuant to Rule 13d-1 or Rule 13d-2 under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934
13A
9th of April 2026
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
F4
6th of April 2026
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
F4
2nd of April 2026
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
F3
1st of April 2026
The report used by insiders such as officers, directors, and major shareholders (beneficial owners holding more than 10% of any class of the company's equity securities) to declare their ownership of a company's stock
13A
27th of March 2026
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G

Forecast Models

Forecast models for Post Holdings use past prices and returns to estimate how the stock may behave under similar conditions. Financial data rarely stays stable for long, so the model is best used as a probability tool, not a price promise.

Financial Strength and Earnings Quality Indicators

Post Holdings financial ratings play a critical role in determining how much Post Holdings has to pay to access credit markets, i.e., the amount of interest on their issued debt. The threshold between investment-grade and speculative-grade ratings has important market implications for Post Holdings' borrowing costs.
Piotroski F Score
7
StrongView
Beneish M Score
-2.62
Unlikely ManipulatorView

Debt to Cash Allocation

Total debt stands at approximately $7.7 billion with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.65. Post Holdings has a current ratio of 2.96, suggesting that it is liquid enough and is able to pay its financial obligations when due. Post Holdings' use of debt should be considered alongside its cash position and equity base.

Total Assets Over Time

Assets Financed by Debt

Debt finances 39.0% of POST's total assets — a relatively low share of the asset base, though leverage can still appear elevated relative to peers when measured against equity rather than total assets.
Post Holdings Debt Ratio
    
  39.0   
The data shows slightly above 61% of Post Holdings' assets are financed through equity. A high debt-to-asset ratio signals elevated leverage, increasing Post Holdings' exposure to interest rate changes and credit tightening. It can also constrain Post Holdings' borrowing capacity and reduce financial flexibility.

Corporate Bonds Issued

Post Holdings Short Long Term Debt Total

Short Long Term Debt Total

$5.17 billion
Short and Long Term Debt Total stood at $8.86 billion as of December 31, 2025.

Stock Analysis Methodology

As a mid-cap equity, Post Holdings diagnostic profile covers valuation ratios, fundamentals, and technical signals. Post Holdings operates in Packaged Foods & Meats within Food in Beverage & Tobacco. Post Holdings trades at P/E of 7.65, P/B of 1.44. Post Holdings shows ROE (TTM) of 8.67% and net margin (TTM) of 3.82%.

Post Holdings inputs come from periodic company reporting and market reference feeds and are mapped into a consistent reporting framework. Sell-side coverage, where present, supplements the data shown.

Editorial review and methodology oversight provided by: Rifka Kats, Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board

Current Post Holdings Analyst Rating Consensus

Target PriceConsensus# of Analysts
122.43Buy11Odds
Analyst recommendations for Post Holdings are summarized from various research providers. The summary includes average consensus context. Analyst recommendations for Post Holdings carry significant weight, particularly when a large brokerage changes coverage. Understanding how Post Holdings's consensus rating has evolved provides context for evaluating analyst sentiment.
Post Holdings Analyst Advice Details

Post Holdings Stock Analysis Indicators

Diagnostics snapshot includes 19 indicators such as Begin Period Cash Flow, Long Term Debt, Common Stock Shares Outstanding.
Begin Period Cash Flow790.9 million
Long Term Debt7.42 billion
Common Stock Shares Outstanding62.9 million
Total Stockholder Equity3.75 billion
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-1.42 billion
Tax Provision108.7 million
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.039
Property Plant And Equipment Net2.7 billion
Cash And Short Term Investments176.7 million
Cash176.7 million
Accounts Payable624 million
Net Debt7.52 billion
50 Day M A101.433
Total Current Liabilities1.21 billion
Other Operating Expenses7.31 billion
Non Current Assets Total11.5 billion
Forward Price Earnings28.2486
Non Currrent Assets Other939.5 million
Stock Based Compensation81.6 million