Paypal Holdings Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

PYPL Stock  USD 91.81  2.89  3.25%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding PayPal Holdings is 'Strong Buy'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of PayPal Holdings' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out PayPal Holdings Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy PayPal Stock please use our How to buy in PayPal Stock guide.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as PayPal and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. PayPal Holdings. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey.

Execute PayPal Holdings Buy or Sell Advice

The PayPal recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on PayPal Holdings. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in PayPal Holdings or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute PayPal Holdings' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell PayPal HoldingsBuy PayPal Holdings
Strong Buy

Market Performance

OKDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

StrongDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon PayPal Holdings has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.097, Jensen Alpha of 0.1924, Total Risk Alpha of 0.1589, Sortino Ratio of 0.0922 and Treynor Ratio of 0.3106
Macroaxis provides advice on PayPal Holdings to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on PayPal Holdings. Our recommendation engine determines the firm's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure PayPal Holdings is not overpriced, please check all PayPal Holdings fundamentals, including its net income, price to earnings to growth, net asset, as well as the relationship between the current ratio and total asset . Given that PayPal Holdings has a price to earning of 40.65 X, we recommend you to check out PayPal Holdings market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your recent risk tolerance and investing horizon.

PayPal Holdings Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

PayPal Holdings has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 75.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Paypal Suffers a Larger Drop Than the General Market Key Insights

PayPal Holdings Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of PayPal Holdings' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of PayPal Holdings' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of PayPal Holdings daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use PayPal Holdings price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of PayPal Holdings returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for PayPal Holdings.
Mean Return
0.22
Value At Risk
-2.59
Potential Upside
3.25
Standard Deviation
1.97
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of PayPal Holdings historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

PayPal Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Deutsche Bank Ag2024-09-30
10.1 M
Clearbridge Advisors, Llc2024-09-30
9.7 M
Northern Trust Corp2024-09-30
8.8 M
Capital Research Global Investors2024-09-30
8.6 M
Nuveen Asset Management, Llc2024-09-30
8.5 M
Coatue Management Llc2024-09-30
8.3 M
Legal & General Group Plc2024-09-30
8.2 M
Amvescap Plc.2024-09-30
8.1 M
Jpmorgan Chase & Co2024-09-30
7.7 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
86.7 M
Blackrock Inc2024-09-30
73.7 M
Note, although PayPal Holdings' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

PayPal Holdings Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change To Inventory272M329M1.3B(19M)(21.9M)(20.8M)
Change In Cash2.3B(11M)1.1B2.7B3.1B3.2B
Free Cash Flow5.4B4.9B5.1B4.2B4.9B3.5B
Depreciation1.2B1.3B1.3B1.1B1.2B918.4M
Other Non Cash Items(126M)1.1B1.7B32M28.8M27.4M
Dividends Paid5.0B4.6B3.5B1.5B1.8B1.9B
Capital Expenditures866M908M706M623M716.5M740.9M
Net Income4.2B4.2B2.4B4.2B4.9B5.1B
End Period Cash Flow18.0B18.0B19.2B21.8B25.1B26.4B
Investments(10.3B)(2.0B)(94M)1.2B1.3B1.4B
Net Borrowings3.0B4.0B(89M)1.8B2.1B1.2B
Change To Netincome399M(326M)948M959M863.1M797.4M
Change Receivables(120M)(100M)(222M)(163M)(146.7M)(139.4M)

PayPal Holdings Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to PayPal Holdings or Financial Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that PayPal Holdings' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a PayPal stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.19
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.66
σ
Overall volatility
2.02
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

PayPal Holdings Volatility Alert

PayPal Holdings currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.09 and Jensen Alpha of 0.19. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure PayPal Holdings' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact PayPal Holdings' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

PayPal Holdings Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing PayPal Holdings' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze PayPal Holdings' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between PayPal Holdings and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as PayPal Holdings or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of PayPal Holdings' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing PayPal Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare PayPal Holdings to competition
FundamentalsPayPal HoldingsPeer Average
Return On Equity0.22-0.31
Return On Asset0.0434-0.14
Profit Margin0.14 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.18 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation87.2 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding1 B571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.21 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions74.70 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted26.8 M4.71 M
Price To Earning40.65 X28.72 X
Price To Book4.42 X9.51 X
Price To Sales2.93 X11.42 X
Revenue29.77 B9.43 B
Gross Profit12.61 B27.38 B
EBITDA6.83 B3.9 B
Net Income4.25 B570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents10.85 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share9.52 X5.01 X
Total Debt9.68 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.56 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.27 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share20.05 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations4.84 B971.22 M
Short Ratio3.25 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share4.18 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth1.48 X4.89 X
Target Price94.91
Number Of Employees27.2 K18.84 K
Beta1.44-0.15
Market Capitalization92.04 B19.03 B
Total Asset82.17 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings23.2 B9.33 B
Working Capital14.1 B1.48 B
Note: Acquisition by Natali Chris of 32713 shares of PayPal Holdings subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

PayPal Holdings Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as PayPal . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About PayPal Holdings Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell PayPal Holdings? Buying financial instruments such as PayPal Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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In addition to having PayPal Holdings in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Healthcare
Healthcare Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Healthcare theme has 61 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Healthcare Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether PayPal Holdings is a strong investment it is important to analyze PayPal Holdings' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact PayPal Holdings' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding PayPal Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out PayPal Holdings Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy PayPal Stock please use our How to buy in PayPal Stock guide.
You can also try the Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.
Is Transaction & Payment Processing Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of PayPal Holdings. If investors know PayPal will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about PayPal Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.065
Earnings Share
4.18
Revenue Per Share
29.966
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.058
Return On Assets
0.0434
The market value of PayPal Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of PayPal that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of PayPal Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is PayPal Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because PayPal Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect PayPal Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between PayPal Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if PayPal Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, PayPal Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.