Real Good Food Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

RGF Stock  USD 0.24  0.01  4.00%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Real Good Food is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Real Good buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding RGF positions.
  
Check out Real Good Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Real and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Real Good Food. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.

Execute Real Good Buy or Sell Advice

The Real recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Real Good Food. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Real Good Food or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Real Good's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Real GoodBuy Real Good
Strong Sell

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

DangerousDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

PoorDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Possible ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Real Good Food has a Mean Deviation of 4.54, Standard Deviation of 6.72 and Variance of 45.13
We provide trade recommendations to complement the recent expert consensus on Real Good Food. Our dynamic recommendation engine exercises a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the firm's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Real Good is not overpriced, please check all Real Good Food fundamentals, including its shares owned by insiders, net income, short ratio, as well as the relationship between the price to sales and debt to equity . As Real Good Food appears to be a penny stock we also advise to check out its number of shares shorted numbers.

Real Good Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Real Good Food generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Real Good Food has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Real Good Food has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Real Good Food has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the last year's revenue of 156.38 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (15.18 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 15.7 M.
Real Good Food has about 10.34 M in cash with (36.63 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.68, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Real Good Food has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from investing.com: Real Good Food amends bylaws, issues preferred stock

Real Good Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Real Good's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Real Good's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Real Good daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Real Good Food price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Real Good returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Real Good.
Mean Return
-0.63
Value At Risk
-9.09
Potential Upside
6.98
Standard Deviation
6.72
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Real Good historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Real Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Susquehanna International Group, Llp2024-06-30
23.8 K
Private Advisor Group, Llc2024-09-30
20.5 K
State Street Corp2024-06-30
19.7 K
Envestnet Asset Management Inc2024-06-30
17.4 K
Xtx Topco Ltd2024-06-30
16.5 K
Tower Research Capital Llc2024-06-30
16.3 K
Two Sigma Securities, Llc2024-06-30
15.4 K
Virtu Financial Llc2024-06-30
15.3 K
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
10.3 K
Fmr Inc2024-09-30
2.6 M
B. Riley Financial Inc2024-09-30
940.5 K
Note, although Real Good's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Real Good Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Real Good or Food Products sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Real Good's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Real stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.7
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.67
σ
Overall volatility
6.72
Ir
Information ratio -0.11

Real Good Volatility Alert

Real Good Food is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Real Good Food is a potential penny stock. Although Real Good may be in fact a good instrument to invest, many penny stocks are speculative in nature and are subject to artificial price hype. Please make sure you totally understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in Real Good Food. We encourage investors to look for signals such as email spams, message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, volume upswings, sudden news releases, promotions that are not reported, or demotions released before SEC filings. Please also check biographies and work history of current and past company officers before investing in high volatility instruments, penny stocks, or equities with microcap classification. You can indeed make money on Real instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny stocks that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.

Real Good Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Real Good's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Real Good's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Real Good and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Real Good or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Real Good's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Real Good by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Real Good to competition
FundamentalsReal GoodPeer Average
Return On Equity-31.64-0.31
Return On Asset-0.18-0.14
Profit Margin(0.1) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.16) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation148.37 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding19.51 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders5.78 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions31.90 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted305.37 K4.71 M
Price To Book0.17 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.05 X11.42 X
Revenue156.38 M9.43 B
Gross Profit15.7 M27.38 B
EBITDA(33.31 M)3.9 B
Net Income(15.18 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents10.34 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share1.68 X5.01 X
Total Debt108.75 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity5.80 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.15 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share2.50 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(36.63 M)971.22 M
Short Ratio1.35 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(2.06) X3.12 X
Target Price0.5
Number Of Employees13018.84 K
Beta0.54-0.15
Market Capitalization8.42 M19.03 B
Total Asset131.44 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(21.13 M)9.33 B
Working Capital32.88 M1.48 B
Net Asset131.44 M
Note: Disposition of 4333 shares by Bryan Freeman of Real Good subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Real Good Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Real . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Real Good Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Real Good Food? Buying financial instruments such as Real Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Real Good in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Precious Metals Funds
Precious Metals Funds Theme
Funds or Etfs that invest in entities that are involved in mining, processing or dealing of precious metals. The Precious Metals Funds theme has 32 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Precious Metals Funds Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Real Good Food is a strong investment it is important to analyze Real Good's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Real Good's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Real Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Real Good Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.
Is Packaged Foods & Meats space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Real Good. If investors know Real will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Real Good listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(2.06)
Revenue Per Share
21.335
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.48
Return On Assets
(0.18)
Return On Equity
(31.64)
The market value of Real Good Food is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Real that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Real Good's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Real Good's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Real Good's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Real Good's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Real Good's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Real Good is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Real Good's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.