Red River Bancshares Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| RRBI Stock | USD 59.40 0.66 1.12% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Red River Bancshares is 'Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Red River's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out Red River Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Red and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Red River Bancshares. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics.
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Execute Red River Buy or Sell Advice
The Red recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Red River Bancshares. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Red River Bancshares or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Red River's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Hold
Market Performance | OK | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Under hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Actively responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Red River Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| About 31.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Red River Bancshares announces private stock repurchase - MSN |
Red River Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Red River's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Red River's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Red River daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Red River Bancshares price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Red River returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Red River.
| Mean Return | 0.28 | Value At Risk | -3.23 | Potential Upside | 3.91 | Standard Deviation | 2.13 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Red River historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Red Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Acadian Asset Management Llc | 2024-06-30 | 22.9 K | Creative Planning Inc | 2024-06-30 | 16 K | Millennium Management Llc | 2024-06-30 | 14.3 K | Renaissance Technologies Corp | 2024-09-30 | 13.5 K | Citadel Advisors Llc | 2024-09-30 | 13.2 K | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2024-09-30 | 13 K | Amvescap Plc. | 2024-06-30 | 12.9 K | Nuveen Asset Management, Llc | 2024-06-30 | 12.9 K | Summit Financial Wealth Advisors, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 12.5 K | Blackrock Inc | 2024-06-30 | 319.6 K | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 236.3 K |
Red River Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (2.2M) | (24.0M) | 24.8M | 227K | 261.1K | 274.1K | |
| Investments | (134.8M) | (316.3M) | (273.1M) | (427.4M) | 19.5M | 20.5M | |
| Change In Cash | (18.6M) | 313.9M | 337.7M | (506.5M) | 27.0M | 21.3M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 22.7M | 5.8M | 58.8M | 37.4M | 35.2M | 29.4M | |
| Depreciation | 2.4M | 2.4M | 2.6M | 2.6M | 2.7M | 2.6M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 2.0M | 8.4M | 2.9M | 4.6M | (798K) | (758.1K) | |
| Dividends Paid | 1.3M | 1.8M | 2.0M | 2.0M | 2.3M | 1.7M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 3.8M | 7.0M | 3.4M | 8.4M | 4.9M | 5.1M | |
| Net Income | 24.8M | 28.1M | 33.0M | 36.9M | 34.9M | 28.9M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 133.3M | 447.2M | 784.9M | 278.4M | 305.4M | 313.7M | |
| Change To Netincome | 1.9M | 8.9M | 26.0M | 6.2M | 7.1M | 8.4M |
Red River Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Red River or Banks sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Red River's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Red stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.78 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.94 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
Red River Volatility Alert
Red River Bancshares has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.63 and kurtosis of 1.36. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Red River's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Red River's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Red River Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Red River's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Red River's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Red River and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Red River or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Red River's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Red River by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Red River to competition |
| Fundamentals | Red River | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.11 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0108 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.31 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.41 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 175.81 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 6.78 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 31.31 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 24.09 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 22.18 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 13.72 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.24 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 3.78 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 108.46 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 103.64 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 34.88 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 34.88 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 356.4 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 49.61 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 3.77 M | 5.32 B |
| Book Value Per Share | 47.51 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 40.11 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 2.57 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 4.75 X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 66.5 | |
| Number Of Employees | 366 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.61 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 402.57 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 3.13 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 306.8 M | 9.33 B |
| Annual Yield | 0.01 % | |
| Net Asset | 3.13 B | |
| Last Dividend Paid | 0.35 |
Note: Acquisition by Price Teddy Ray of tradable shares of Red River at 52.61 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Red River Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Red . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Red River Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Red River Bancshares? Buying financial instruments such as Red Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Check out Red River Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Red River. If investors know Red will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Red River listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.135 | Dividend Share 0.35 | Earnings Share 4.75 | Revenue Per Share 15.238 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.056 |
The market value of Red River Bancshares is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Red that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Red River's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Red River's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Red River's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Red River's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Red River's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Red River is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Red River's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.