Red River Bancshares Stock Beneish M Score

RRBI Stock  USD 59.40  0.66  1.12%   
This module uses fundamental data of Red River to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Red River M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Red River Piotroski F Score and Red River Altman Z Score analysis.
  
As of now, Red River's Cash Flow To Debt Ratio is increasing as compared to previous years. As of now, Red River's PB Ratio is decreasing as compared to previous years. The Red River's current EV To Sales is estimated to increase to 1.65, while Dividend Yield is projected to decrease to 0.
At this time, it appears that Red River Bancshares is an unlikely manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if Red River's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Red River executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Red River's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-2.89
Beneish M Score - Unlikely Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

0.87

Focus
Asset Quality

0.99

Focus
Expense Coverage

1.05

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

0.89

Focus
Accruals Factor

1.05

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

0.83

Focus
Net Sales Growth

0.86

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

1.24

Focus

Red River Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Red River's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables7.4 M9.9 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Revenue92.7 M108.5 M
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile
Total Assets2.7 B3.1 B
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets290.2 M305.4 M
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total3.4 B3.3 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Property Plant Equipment49.2 M62.5 M
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Depreciation And Amortization2.6 M2.7 M
Sufficiently Down
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative34 M37.9 M
Moderately Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities2.5 B2.4 B
Sufficiently Up
Pretty Stable
Non Current Liabilities TotalB2.8 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Long Term Debt9.1 M10.2 M
Moderately Down
Slightly volatile
Operating Income38.3 M34.9 M
Significantly Up
Slightly volatile
Total Cash From Operating Activities34.5 M40.1 M
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile
Long Term Investments549.7 M716.5 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Gross Profit Margin0.720.81
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile

Red River Bancshares Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Red River's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Red River in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Red River's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About Red River Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Depreciation And Amortization

2.63 Million

As of now, Red River's Depreciation And Amortization is increasing as compared to previous years.

Red River Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as Red River. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Receivables5.3M6.9M6.2M8.8M9.9M7.4M
Total Revenue78.5M91.1M95.2M104.7M108.5M92.7M
Total Assets2.0B2.6B3.2B3.1B3.1B2.7B
Total Current Assets474.1M952.3M1.5B901.6M305.4M290.2M
Net Debt(128.7M)(443.0M)(781.0M)(274.1M)(301.7M)(316.7M)
Short Term Debt4.6M529K3.8M4.3M631K599.5K
Operating Income30.5M34.5M40.1M52.2M34.9M38.3M
Investments(134.8M)(316.3M)(273.1M)(427.4M)19.5M20.5M

Red River ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Red River's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Red River's managers, analysts, and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social

About Red River Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Red River Bancshares's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Red River using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Red River Bancshares based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Red River Bancshares offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Red River's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Red River Bancshares Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Red River Bancshares Stock:
Check out Red River Piotroski F Score and Red River Altman Z Score analysis.
You can also try the Instant Ratings module to determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Red River. If investors know Red will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Red River listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.135
Dividend Share
0.35
Earnings Share
4.75
Revenue Per Share
15.238
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.056
The market value of Red River Bancshares is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Red that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Red River's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Red River's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Red River's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Red River's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Red River's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Red River is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Red River's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.