Safran SA (France) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

SAF Stock  EUR 220.10  0.70  0.32%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your complete indifference towards market risk, our recommendation regarding Safran SA is 'Strong Buy'. Macroaxis provides Safran SA buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding SAF positions.
  
Check out Safran SA Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Safran and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Safran SA. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute Safran SA Buy or Sell Advice

The Safran recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Safran SA. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Safran SA or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Safran SA's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Safran SABuy Safran SA
Strong Buy

Market Performance

GoodDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Safran SA has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1092, Jensen Alpha of 0.0663, Total Risk Alpha of (0.04), Sortino Ratio of 0.0414 and Treynor Ratio of 0.2016
Macroaxis provides recommendation on Safran SA to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Safran SA. Our trade recommendation engine determines the firm's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Safran SA is not overpriced, please validate all Safran SA fundamentals, including its shares owned by institutions, ebitda, current ratio, as well as the relationship between the price to sales and cash per share .

Safran SA Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Safran SA has accumulated 5.68 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 50.3, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Safran SA has a current ratio of 0.84, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Safran SA until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Safran SA's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Safran SA sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Safran to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Safran SA's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 19.52 B. Net Loss for the year was (2.46 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 9.4 B.
About 17.0% of Safran SA outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Safran SA Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Safran SA's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Safran SA's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Safran SA daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Safran SA price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Safran SA returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Safran SA.
Mean Return
0.18
Value At Risk
-1.45
Potential Upside
2.83
Standard Deviation
1.28
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Safran SA historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Safran SA Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Safran SA or Aerospace & Defense sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Safran SA's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Safran stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.82
σ
Overall volatility
1.29
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Safran SA Volatility Alert

Safran SA has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.4 and kurtosis of 1.92. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Safran SA's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Safran SA's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Safran SA Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Safran SA's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Safran SA's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Safran SA and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Safran SA or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Safran SA's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Safran SA by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Safran SA to competition
FundamentalsSafran SAPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.2-0.31
Return On Asset0.0346-0.14
Profit Margin(0.12) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.12 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation50.02 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding426.49 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders17.02 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions38.63 %39.21 %
Price To Earning44.59 X28.72 X
Price To Book5.18 X9.51 X
Price To Sales2.88 X11.42 X
Revenue19.52 B9.43 B
Gross Profit9.4 B27.38 B
EBITDA3.75 B3.9 B
Net Income(2.46 B)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents6.69 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share5.82 X5.01 X
Total Debt5.68 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity50.30 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.86 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share24.52 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations3.54 B971.22 M
Earnings Per Share(10.29) X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth0.86 X4.89 X
Target Price150.8
Number Of Employees83.22 K18.84 K
Beta1.35-0.15
Market Capitalization56.75 B19.03 B
Total Asset46.83 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(424 M)9.33 B
Working Capital(3.53 B)1.48 B
Current Asset14.12 B9.34 B
Current Liabilities17.65 B7.9 B

Safran SA Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Safran . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Safran SA Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Safran SA? Buying financial instruments such as Safran Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Heavy Metals Theme
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Other Information on Investing in Safran Stock

Safran SA financial ratios help investors to determine whether Safran Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Safran with respect to the benefits of owning Safran SA security.