Sage Therapeutic Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| SAGE Stock | USD 7.19 0.02 0.28% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Sage Therapeutic is 'Strong Buy'. Macroaxis provides Sage Therapeutic buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding SAGE positions.
Check out Sage Therapeutic Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For information on how to trade Sage Stock refer to our How to Trade Sage Stock guide. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Sage and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Sage Therapeutic. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.
Sage |
Execute Sage Therapeutic Buy or Sell Advice
The Sage recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Sage Therapeutic. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Sage Therapeutic or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Sage Therapeutic's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Buy
Market Performance | OK | Details | |
Volatility | Moderately volatile | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Interested | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Possible Manipulator | Details |
Sage Therapeutic Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Sage Therapeutic had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 41.24 M. Net Loss for the year was (400.67 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (194.1 M). | |
| Sage Therapeutic currently holds about 1.51 B in cash with (267.19 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 25.47, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Over 80.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from insidermonkey.com: Sage Therapeutics, Inc. Q4 2024 Earnings Call Transcript |
Sage Therapeutic current analysts advice
We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Sage analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Sage analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Average Consensus Buy
The consensus estimates and target price estimation comprises individual analyst assessments, and may or may not mutch the Macroaxis buy or sell advice. It is determined by taking an average of all analyst recommendations and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, or Sell.
Sage Therapeutic Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Sage Therapeutic's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Sage Therapeutic's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Sage Therapeutic daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Sage Therapeutic price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Sage Therapeutic returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Sage Therapeutic.
| Mean Return | 0.71 | Value At Risk | -3.99 | Potential Upside | 6.60 | Standard Deviation | 5.41 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Sage Therapeutic historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Sage Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | D. E. Shaw & Co Lp | 2024-12-31 | 720.1 K | Federated Hermes Inc | 2024-09-30 | 675.3 K | 683 Capital Management Llc | 2024-12-31 | 630 K | Citadel Advisors Llc | 2024-09-30 | 609.5 K | Jefferies Financial Group Inc | 2024-12-31 | 599 K | Aqr Capital Management Llc | 2024-12-31 | 560.4 K | Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2024-12-31 | 542.2 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2024-12-31 | 524.4 K | Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. | 2024-12-31 | 485.4 K | Blackrock Inc | 2024-12-31 | 4.9 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-12-31 | 4.8 M |
Sage Therapeutic Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 1.5B | (1.4B) | (131.5M) | (91.6M) | 10.1M | 10.7M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 663.9M | (378.6M) | (461.0M) | (541.1M) | (267.2M) | (280.6M) | |
| Depreciation | 2.6M | 4.2M | 1.1M | 1.4M | (5.5M) | (5.2M) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 5.8M | 345K | 372K | 937K | 553K | 0.0 | |
| Net Income | 606.1M | (457.9M) | (532.8M) | (541.5M) | (400.7M) | (380.6M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 1.7B | 295.5M | 164.0M | 72.3M | 82.5M | 78.3M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (688K) | (10.6M) | 4.4M | (6.5M) | (344K) | (361.2K) | |
| Investments | 443.0M | (1.0B) | 326.4M | 490.6M | 266.7M | 280.0M | |
| Change To Netincome | 149.6M | 94.3M | 94.0M | 60.1M | 69.1M | 70.3M |
Sage Therapeutic Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Sage Therapeutic or Biotechnology sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Sage Therapeutic's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Sage stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.73 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.30 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.42 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.13 |
Sage Therapeutic Volatility Alert
Sage Therapeutic currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.13 and Jensen Alpha of 0.73. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Sage Therapeutic's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Sage Therapeutic's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Sage Therapeutic Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Sage Therapeutic's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Sage Therapeutic's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Sage Therapeutic and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Sage Therapeutic or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Sage Therapeutic's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Sage Therapeutic by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Sage Therapeutic to competition |
| Fundamentals | Sage Therapeutic | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.63 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.36 | -0.14 |
| Operating Margin | (6.27) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | (43.77 M) | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 61.48 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 11.94 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 80.06 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 4.41 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 3.07 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 0.96 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 10.88 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 41.24 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | (194.1 M) | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | (409.49 M) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (400.67 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 1.51 B | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 25.47 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 11.84 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.01 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 17.69 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 7.58 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (267.19 M) | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 1.92 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (6.59) X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 0.74 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 8.23 | |
| Number Of Employees | 353 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.94 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 448.81 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 547.22 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (2.97 B) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 459.69 M | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 188.49 M | 9.34 B |
Note: Disposition of 2502 shares by Gregory Shiferman of Sage Therapeutic at 7.49 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Sage Therapeutic Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Sage . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Sage Therapeutic Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Sage Therapeutic? Buying financial instruments such as Sage Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
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Shipping Containers
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Shipping Containers theme has 16 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Shipping Containers Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Sage Therapeutic Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For information on how to trade Sage Stock refer to our How to Trade Sage Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Sage Therapeutic. If investors know Sage will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Sage Therapeutic listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (6.59) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.84) | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
The market value of Sage Therapeutic is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Sage that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Sage Therapeutic's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Sage Therapeutic's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Sage Therapeutic's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Sage Therapeutic's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Sage Therapeutic's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Sage Therapeutic is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Sage Therapeutic's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.