Spotify Technology Sa Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

SPOT Stock  USD 470.70  0.69  0.15%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your conservative attitude towards risk, our recommendation regarding Spotify Technology SA is 'Strong Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Spotify Technology SA given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Spotify Technology. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Spotify Technology SA, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Spotify Technology Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Spotify and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Spotify Technology SA. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons.

Execute Spotify Technology Buy or Sell Advice

The Spotify recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Spotify Technology SA. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Spotify Technology SA or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Spotify Technology's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Spotify TechnologyBuy Spotify Technology
Strong Hold

Market Performance

SolidDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

FrailDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Spotify Technology SA has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1771, Jensen Alpha of 0.4076, Total Risk Alpha of 0.2327, Sortino Ratio of 0.225 and Treynor Ratio of 0.5941
Macroaxis provides recommendation on Spotify Technology to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Spotify Technology SA. Our trade recommendation engine determines the firm's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Spotify Technology is not overpriced, please validate all Spotify Technology fundamentals, including its current ratio, and the relationship between the ebitda and target price . Given that Spotify Technology has a number of shares shorted of 3.78 M, we advise you to double-check Spotify Technology SA market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Spotify Technology Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 13.25 B. Net Loss for the year was (532 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.93 B.
Spotify Technology has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 64.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from techtimes.com: Opera Ones Default Music Player Is Spotify, But an Account Is Required for Streaming

Spotify Technology Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Spotify Technology's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Spotify Technology's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Spotify Technology daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Spotify Technology SA price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Spotify Technology returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Spotify Technology.
Mean Return
0.49
Value At Risk
-2.29
Potential Upside
3.08
Standard Deviation
2.15
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Spotify Technology historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Spotify Stock Institutional Investors

The Spotify Technology's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Spotify Technology's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
Shares
Winslow Capital Management, Llc2024-06-30
1.8 M
Fmr Inc2024-09-30
1.6 M
Artisan Partners Limited Partnership2024-06-30
1.6 M
Lone Pine Capital Llc2024-09-30
1.6 M
Marshall Wace Asset Management Ltd2024-06-30
1.5 M
Amf Pensionsforsakring Ab2024-09-30
1.5 M
Technology Crossover Management Xi, Ltd.2024-09-30
1.3 M
T. Rowe Price Investment Management,inc.2024-09-30
1.3 M
Alecta Pensionsforsakring, Omsesidigt2024-09-30
1.3 M
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-06-30
16.5 M
Baillie Gifford & Co Limited.2024-09-30
15.6 M
Note, although Spotify Technology's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Spotify Technology Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Investments(218M)(372M)(187M)(423M)(313M)(328.7M)
Change In Cash174M86M1.6B(261M)631M355.4M
Free Cash Flow438M181M276M21M674M707.7M
Depreciation87M111M127M171M158M98.8M
Other Non Cash Items44M364M(202M)(327M)242M254.1M
Dividends Paid242.3M30M205.9M42.2M48.6M71.6M
Capital Expenditures135M78M85M25M6M5.7M
Net Income(186M)(581M)(34M)(430M)(532M)(558.6M)
End Period Cash Flow1.1B1.2B2.7B2.5B3.1B1.6B
Change To Netincome221M412M304M114M102.6M97.5M

Spotify Technology Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Spotify Technology or Entertainment sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Spotify Technology's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Spotify stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.41
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.80
σ
Overall volatility
2.17
Ir
Information ratio 0.18

Spotify Technology Volatility Alert

Spotify Technology SA has relatively low volatility with skewness of 1.84 and kurtosis of 9.73. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Spotify Technology's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Spotify Technology's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Spotify Technology Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Spotify Technology's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Spotify Technology's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Spotify Technology and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Spotify Technology or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Spotify Technology's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Spotify Technology by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Spotify Technology to competition
FundamentalsSpotify TechnologyPeer Average
Return On Equity0.21-0.31
Return On Asset0.0779-0.14
Profit Margin0.05 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.11 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation90.42 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding202.08 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders25.99 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions64.47 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted3.78 M4.71 M
Price To Book19.33 X9.51 X
Price To Sales6.29 X11.42 X
Revenue13.25 B9.43 B
Gross Profit2.93 B27.38 B
EBITDA(298 M)3.9 B
Net Income(532 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents2.48 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share18.98 X5.01 X
Total Debt1.7 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.83 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.31 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share22.98 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations680 M971.22 M
Short Ratio2.86 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share3.62 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth(0.19) X4.89 X
Target Price438.83
Number Of Employees7.24 K18.84 K
Beta1.56-0.15
Market Capitalization94.98 B19.03 B
Total Asset8.35 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(4.18 B)9.33 B
Working Capital1.17 B1.48 B
Net Asset8.35 B

Spotify Technology Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Spotify . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Spotify Technology Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Spotify Technology SA? Buying financial instruments such as Spotify Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Spotify Technology in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Real Estate
Real Estate Theme
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You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Real Estate Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Spotify Stock Analysis

When running Spotify Technology's price analysis, check to measure Spotify Technology's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Spotify Technology is operating at the current time. Most of Spotify Technology's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Spotify Technology's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Spotify Technology's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Spotify Technology to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.