Spotify Technology Sa Stock Performance

SPOT Stock  USD 511.70  0.90  0.18%   
The entity has a beta of 0.0204, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Spotify Technology's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Spotify Technology is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Spotify Technology has a negative expected return of -0.41%. Please make sure to validate Spotify Technology's treynor ratio, accumulation distribution, as well as the relationship between the Accumulation Distribution and period momentum indicator , to decide if Spotify Technology performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Spotify Technology SA has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of uncertain performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain comparatively stable which may send shares a bit higher in February 2026. The newest uproar may also be a sign of mid-term up-swing for the firm private investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(0.18)
Five Day Return
1.23
Year To Date Return
(11.01)
Ten Year Return
243.4
All Time Return
243.4
1
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2
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Begin Period Cash Flow3.1 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-1.5 B

Spotify Technology Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  66,567  in Spotify Technology SA on October 29, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (15,397) from holding Spotify Technology SA or give up 23.13% of portfolio value over 90 days. Spotify Technology SA is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 1.8422% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 16% of stocks are less volatile than Spotify, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Spotify Technology is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.46 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.22 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of volatility.

Spotify Technology Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Spotify Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 511.70 90 days 511.70 
over 95.06
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Spotify Technology to move above the current price in 90 days from now is over 95.06 (This Spotify Technology SA probability density function shows the probability of Spotify Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Spotify Technology has a beta of 0.0204. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Spotify Technology average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Spotify Technology SA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Spotify Technology SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Spotify Technology Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Spotify Technology

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Spotify Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
507.07508.91562.87
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
460.53602.05603.89
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
505.14506.98508.83
Details
40 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
678.20745.28827.26
Details

Spotify Technology Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Spotify Technology is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Spotify Technology's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Spotify Technology SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Spotify Technology within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.41
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.02
σ
Overall volatility
46.49
Ir
Information ratio -0.26

Spotify Technology Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Spotify Technology for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Spotify Technology can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Spotify Technology generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 67.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from cnbc.com: Mike Santoli Can an old bull learn new tricks

Spotify Technology Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Spotify Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Spotify Technology's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Spotify Technology's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding207 M
Cash And Short Term Investments7.4 B

Spotify Technology Fundamentals Growth

Spotify Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Spotify Technology, and Spotify Technology fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Spotify Stock performance.

About Spotify Technology Performance

Assessing Spotify Technology's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Spotify Technology's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Spotify Technology is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.10  0.10 
Return On Capital Employed 0.16  0.17 
Return On Assets 0.09  0.09 
Return On Equity 0.21  0.19 

Things to note about Spotify Technology performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Spotify Technology for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Spotify Technology help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Spotify Technology generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 67.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from cnbc.com: Mike Santoli Can an old bull learn new tricks
Evaluating Spotify Technology's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Spotify Technology's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Spotify Technology's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Spotify Technology's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Spotify Technology's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Spotify Technology's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Spotify Technology's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Spotify Technology's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Spotify Technology's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Spotify Technology's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Spotify Technology's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Spotify Stock Analysis

When running Spotify Technology's price analysis, check to measure Spotify Technology's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Spotify Technology is operating at the current time. Most of Spotify Technology's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Spotify Technology's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Spotify Technology's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Spotify Technology to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.