Starwood Property Trust Stock Market Outlook
| STWD Stock | USD 18.07 0.01 0.06% |
About 58% of Starwood Property's investor base is looking to short. The analysis of the overall investor sentiment regarding Starwood Property Trust suggests that many traders are alarmed. The current market sentiment, together with Starwood Property's historical and current headlines, can help investors time the market. In addition, many technical investors use Starwood Property Trust stock news signals to limit their universe of possible portfolio assets.
Comfort Level 42
Impartial
Panic | Confidence |
Today, several news technology companies offer sentiment data to assist traders in manufacturing news sentiment indicators for investment decisions. We partner with these technology firms in helping retail investors build forecasting models that use Starwood Property's input sentiment indicators derived from textual data and news published on major financial information outlets and social sites. These indicators can be used to analyze time-dependent numerical information representing public perception toward Starwood Property Trust.
News SentimentBullish | Hype SentimentBearish | Insider SentimentDisposing |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Starwood Property Trust is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Starwood Property buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding STWD positions.
Execute Starwood Property Advice
The Starwood recommendation should be used to complement the investment advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Starwood Property Trust. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Starwood Property Trust or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Starwood Property's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Hold
Market Performance | Mild | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Tiny | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Slowly supersedes the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
For the selected time horizon Starwood Property Trust has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0503, Jensen Alpha of 0.0201, Total Risk Alpha of (0.02), Sortino Ratio of (0.01) and Treynor Ratio of 0.1009Our advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Starwood Property and to analyze the firm potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Starwood Property Trust is not overpriced, please validate all Starwood Property fundamentals, including its shares owned by institutions, cash per share, number of employees, as well as the relationship between the revenue and cash flow from operations . Given that Starwood Property Trust has a price to earning of 18.37 X, we advise you to double-check Starwood Property Trust market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.
Starwood Property Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| On 15th of January 2026 Starwood Property paid $ 0.48 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Starwood European Real Estate Finance Sets New 52-Week High Whats Next |
Starwood Property Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Starwood Property's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Starwood Property's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Starwood Property daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Starwood Property Trust price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Starwood Property returns is essential to provide solid investment analysis for Starwood Property.
| Mean Return | 0.06 | Value At Risk | -1.44 | Potential Upside | 1.81 | Standard Deviation | 0.99 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Starwood Property historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Starwood Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2025-06-30 | 2.2 M | Hightower Advisors, Llc | 2025-06-30 | 2.2 M | Nuveen, Llc | 2025-06-30 | 1.9 M | Ubs Group Ag | 2025-06-30 | 1.8 M | Ubs Asset Mgmt Americas Inc | 2025-06-30 | 1.4 M | Advisors Capital Management, Llc | 2025-06-30 | 1.4 M | Amvescap Plc. | 2025-06-30 | 1.4 M | Bank Of America Corp | 2025-06-30 | 1.4 M | Two Sigma Investments Llc | 2025-06-30 | 1.2 M | Blackrock Inc | 2025-06-30 | 32.8 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2025-06-30 | 30.8 M |
Starwood Property Cash Flow Accounts
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | (400.2M) | 60.2M | (70.2M) | 242.0M | 217.8M | 228.7M | |
| Free Cash Flow | (1.0B) | 188.5M | 503.5M | 618.6M | 711.4M | 747.0M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (1.4B) | (918.2M) | 252.9M | 225.5M | 203.0M | 213.1M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 26.3M | 25.2M | 25.1M | 27.9M | 25.1M | 23.9M | |
| Net Income | 492.4M | 1.1B | 418.2M | 380.6M | 437.7M | 418.6M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 321.9M | 382.1M | 312.0M | 554.0M | 637.1M | 446.4M | |
| Depreciation | 84.6M | 53.9M | 54.3M | 46.3M | 53.2M | 58.2M | |
| Dividends Paid | 553.9M | 591.5M | 601.2M | 620.0M | 713.0M | 472.6M | |
| Investments | (4.4B) | (3.2B) | 849.3M | 2.1B | 2.4B | 2.5B | |
| Change Receivables | (114.2M) | (175.3M) | (136.8M) | (201.5M) | (181.4M) | (172.3M) | |
| Net Borrowings | 5.4B | 3.6B | (962.4M) | (2.2B) | (2.5B) | (2.4B) | |
| Change To Netincome | (223M) | 779.9M | (1.4B) | (599.8M) | (539.8M) | (512.8M) |
Starwood Property Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Starwood Property or Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Starwood Property's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Starwood stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.49 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.00 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.01 |
Starwood Property Volatility Alert
Starwood Property Trust has low volatility with Treynor Ratio of 0.1, Maximum Drawdown of 4.49 and kurtosis of -0.03. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Starwood Property's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Starwood Property's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Starwood Property Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Starwood Property's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Starwood Property's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Starwood Property and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Starwood Property or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Starwood Property's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Starwood Property by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Starwood Property to competition |
| Fundamentals | Starwood Property | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0541 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0063 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.75 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 28.59 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 370.33 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 5.46 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 53.12 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 11.89 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 18.37 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 0.97 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 13.99 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 2.04 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 431.64 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 1.8 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 380.58 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 400.9 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 1.30 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 9.01 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 2.72 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 27.50 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 18.54 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 646.59 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 3.04 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 1.03 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 2.73 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 21.25 | |
| Number Of Employees | 286 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.13 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 6.87 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 62.56 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 235.32 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 153.39 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Acquisition by Barry Sternlicht of 220833 shares of Starwood Property subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Starwood Property Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Starwood . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Starwood Property Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Starwood Property Trust? Buying financial instruments such as Starwood Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Check out Starwood Property Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.
Will Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) sector continue expanding? Could Starwood diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Starwood Property. If investors know Starwood will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Starwood Property data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.17) | Dividend Share 1.92 | Earnings Share 1.03 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.67 |
Investors evaluate Starwood Property Trust using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Starwood Property's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Starwood Property's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Starwood Property's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Starwood Property is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Starwood Property's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.