Swvl Holdings Corp Stock Market Outlook
| SWVL Stock | USD 1.56 0.04 2.50% |
About 54% of Swvl Holdings' investor base is interested to short. The analysis of the overall prospects from investing in Swvl Holdings Corp suggests that many traders are, at the present time, impartial. Swvl Holdings' investing sentiment shows overall attitude of investors towards Swvl Holdings Corp.
Comfort Level 46
Impartial
Panic | Confidence |
Today, several news technology companies offer sentiment data to assist traders in manufacturing news sentiment indicators for investment decisions. We partner with these technology firms in helping retail investors build forecasting models that use Swvl Holdings' input sentiment indicators derived from textual data and news published on major financial information outlets and social sites. These indicators can be used to analyze time-dependent numerical information representing public perception toward Swvl Holdings Corp.
News SentimentBullish | Hype SentimentBearish | Insider SentimentWaiting |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Swvl Holdings Corp is 'Strong Sell'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Swvl Holdings' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Execute Swvl Holdings Advice
The Swvl recommendation should be used to complement the investment advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Swvl Holdings Corp. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Swvl Holdings Corp or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Swvl Holdings' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Weakest | Details | |
Volatility | Not too volatile | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Risky | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Hyperactively responds to market trends | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Hold | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Poor | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Possible Manipulator | Details |
For the selected time horizon Swvl Holdings Corp has a Mean Deviation of 4.6, Standard Deviation of 6.25 and Variance of 39.04We provide advice to complement the current expert consensus on Swvl Holdings. Our dynamic recommendation engine harnesses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the firm's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Swvl Holdings Corp is not overpriced, please validate all Swvl Holdings fundamentals, including its cash per share, as well as the relationship between the earnings per share and retained earnings . Please also confirm Swvl Holdings Corp shares owned by institutions to double-check your buy or sell decision is consistent with all fundamental data available and that the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle.
Swvl Holdings Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Swvl Holdings Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Swvl Holdings Corp has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Swvl Holdings Corp may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Swvl Holdings Corp has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Swvl Holdings Corp currently holds 1.21 M in liabilities. Swvl Holdings Corp has a current ratio of 0.65, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Swvl Holdings' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 17.21 M. Net Loss for the year was (10.27 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.08 M. | |
| Swvl Holdings Corp currently holds about 24.3 M in cash with (3.57 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.18. | |
| Swvl Holdings Corp has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Swvl Secures a New Up to 1.5 Million Multi-Year Contract in Saudi Arabia, Expanding Its Healthcare Mobility Footprint Across the GCC |
Swvl Holdings Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Swvl Holdings' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Swvl Holdings' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Swvl Holdings daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Swvl Holdings Corp price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Swvl Holdings returns is essential to provide solid investment analysis for Swvl Holdings.
| Mean Return | -0.82 | Value At Risk | -12.18 | Potential Upside | 8.80 | Standard Deviation | 6.25 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Swvl Holdings historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Swvl Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Citadel Advisors Llc | 2025-06-30 | 11.6 K | Ubs Group Ag | 2025-06-30 | 11.1 K | Marathon Trading Investment Management Llc | 2025-06-30 | 10 K | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2025-06-30 | 3.6 K | Advisor Group Holdings, Inc. | 2025-06-30 | 48.0 | Sbi Securities Co Ltd | 2025-06-30 | 17.0 | Hanson Mcclain Inc | 2025-06-30 | 1.0 | Gerber Llc | 2025-03-31 | 0.0 | Hite Hedge Asset Management Mlp | 2025-03-31 | 0.0 |
Swvl Holdings Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Swvl Holdings or Software sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Swvl Holdings' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Swvl stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.95 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.00 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 6.47 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.14 |
Swvl Holdings Volatility Alert
Swvl Holdings Corp is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Swvl Holdings' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Swvl Holdings' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Swvl Holdings Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Swvl Holdings' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Swvl Holdings' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Swvl Holdings and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Swvl Holdings or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Swvl Holdings' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Swvl Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Swvl Holdings to competition |
| Fundamentals | Swvl Holdings | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -4.23 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.2 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.22) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0.04) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 11.49 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 9.96 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 9.51 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 0.13 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 42.3 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Book | 4.23 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.80 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 17.21 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 4.08 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | (10.55 M) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (10.27 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 24.3 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.18 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 1.21 M | 5.32 B |
| Current Ratio | 0.66 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 0.37 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (3.57 M) | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 1.08 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (0.57) X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 125.0 | |
| Number Of Employees | 284 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.86 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 15.54 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 16.37 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (339.85 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | (5.59 M) | 1.48 B |
| Net Asset | 16.37 M |
Swvl Holdings Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Swvl . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Swvl Holdings Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Swvl Holdings Corp? Buying financial instruments such as Swvl Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
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Check out Swvl Holdings Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Pattern Recognition module to use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Swvl Holdings. If investors know Swvl will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Swvl Holdings assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Earnings Share (0.57) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.263 | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
Understanding Swvl Holdings Corp requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Swvl's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Swvl Holdings' is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Swvl Holdings' price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Swvl Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Swvl Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, Swvl Holdings' trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.