Swvl Holdings Corp Key Fundamental Indicators
| SWVL Stock | USD 1.54 0.19 10.98% |
As of the 6th of February, Swvl Holdings has the Coefficient Of Variation of (684.53), variance of 33.92, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.10). In relation to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model makes it possible for you to check existing technical drivers of Swvl Holdings Corp, as well as the relationship between them. Please validate Swvl Holdings Corp risk adjusted performance, information ratio, as well as the relationship between the Information Ratio and kurtosis to decide if Swvl Holdings is priced more or less accurately, providing market reflects its prevalent price of 1.54 per share. Please also confirm Swvl Holdings Corp jensen alpha, which is currently at (0.95) to double-check the company can sustain itself at a future point.
Swvl Holdings Total Revenue |
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Gross Profit | Profit Margin | Market Capitalization | Enterprise Value Revenue 0.805 | Revenue |
Swvl | Select Account or Indicator | Build AI portfolio with Swvl Stock |
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Swvl Fundamental Market Drivers
Swvl Upcoming Events
| 4th of November 2024 Upcoming Quarterly Report | View | |
| 31st of December 2023 Next Fiscal Quarter End | View |
Swvl Return On Equity Driver Correlations
Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Swvl Holdings is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Swvl Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Return On Equity. Since Swvl Holdings' main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Swvl Holdings' historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Swvl Holdings' interrelated accounts and indicators.
Click cells to compare fundamentals
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Swvl Holdings. If investors know Swvl will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Swvl Holdings assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Earnings Share (0.50) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.263 | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
Understanding Swvl Holdings Corp requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Swvl's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Swvl Holdings' is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Swvl Holdings' price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Swvl Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Swvl Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, Swvl Holdings' trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.
Swvl Holdings 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Swvl Holdings' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Swvl Holdings.
| 11/08/2025 |
| 02/06/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Swvl Holdings on November 8, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Swvl Holdings Corp or generate 0.0% return on investment in Swvl Holdings over 90 days. Swvl Holdings is related to or competes with Blackboxstocks, Cloudastructure, Cyngn, Creative Realities, SIMPPLE, NETCLASS TECHNOLOGY, and Webus International. Swvl Holdings Corp. provides mass transit ridesharing services More
Swvl Holdings Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Swvl Holdings' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Swvl Holdings Corp upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.15) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 30.41 | |||
| Value At Risk | (12.18) | |||
| Potential Upside | 6.93 |
Swvl Holdings Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Swvl Holdings' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Swvl Holdings' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Swvl Holdings historical prices to predict the future Swvl Holdings' volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.10) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.95) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (1.13) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.32) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Swvl Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Swvl Holdings February 6, 2026 Technical Indicators
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| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.10) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.31) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 4.18 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (684.53) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.82 | |||
| Variance | 33.92 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.15) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.95) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (1.13) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.32) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 30.41 | |||
| Value At Risk | (12.18) | |||
| Potential Upside | 6.93 | |||
| Skewness | 0.0468 | |||
| Kurtosis | 2.01 |
Swvl Holdings Corp Backtested Returns
Swvl Holdings Corp owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.16, which indicates the firm had a -0.16 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Swvl Holdings Corp exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Swvl Holdings' Coefficient Of Variation of (684.53), risk adjusted performance of (0.10), and Variance of 33.92 to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of 2.65, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Swvl Holdings will likely underperform. At this point, Swvl Holdings Corp has a negative expected return of -0.95%. Please make sure to validate Swvl Holdings' potential upside and day median price , to decide if Swvl Holdings Corp performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | 0.11 |
Insignificant predictability
Swvl Holdings Corp has insignificant predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Swvl Holdings time series from 8th of November 2025 to 23rd of December 2025 and 23rd of December 2025 to 6th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Swvl Holdings Corp price movement. The serial correlation of 0.11 indicates that less than 11.0% of current Swvl Holdings price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.11 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.1 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.08 |
For most industries, Return on Equity between 10% and 30% are considered desirable to provide dividends to owners and have funds for the future growth of the company. Investors should be very careful using ROE as the only efficiency indicator because ROE can be high if a company is heavily leveraged.
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Swvl Total Stockholder Equity
Total Stockholder Equity |
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Based on the latest financial disclosure, Swvl Holdings Corp has a Return On Equity of -4.2339. This is 64.81% lower than that of the Software sector and significantly lower than that of the Information Technology industry. The return on equity for all United States stocks is notably higher than that of the company.
Swvl Holdings Corp Fundamental Drivers Relationships
Comparative valuation techniques use various fundamental indicators to help in determining Swvl Holdings's current stock value. Our valuation model uses many indicators to compare Swvl Holdings value to that of its competitors to determine the firm's financial worth. You can analyze the relationship between different fundamental ratios across Swvl Holdings competition to find correlations between indicators driving Swvl Holdings's intrinsic value. More Info.Swvl Holdings Corp is rated third in return on equity category among its peers. It is currently regarded as top stock in return on asset category among its peers . At this time, Swvl Holdings' Return On Equity is quite stable compared to the past year. Comparative valuation analysis is a catch-all technique that is used if you cannot value Swvl Holdings by discounting back its dividends or cash flows. It compares the stock's price multiples to nearest competition to determine if the stock is relatively undervalued or overvalued.Swvl Return On Equity Peer Comparison
Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Swvl Holdings' direct or indirect competition against its Return On Equity to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Swvl Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Swvl Holdings by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.Swvl Holdings is currently under evaluation in return on equity category among its peers.
Swvl Fundamentals
| Return On Equity | -4.23 | ||||
| Return On Asset | -0.2 | ||||
| Profit Margin | (0.22) % | ||||
| Operating Margin | (0.04) % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 17.27 M | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 9.96 M | ||||
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 9.51 % | ||||
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 0.16 % | ||||
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 25.55 K | ||||
| Price To Book | 5.33 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 0.89 X | ||||
| Revenue | 17.21 M | ||||
| Gross Profit | 4.08 M | ||||
| EBITDA | (10.55 M) | ||||
| Net Income | (10.27 M) | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 24.3 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 0.18 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 1.21 M | ||||
| Current Ratio | 0.66 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 0.37 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | (3.57 M) | ||||
| Short Ratio | 1.65 X | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | (0.50) X | ||||
| Target Price | 125.0 | ||||
| Number Of Employees | 284 | ||||
| Beta | 0.86 | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 17.24 M | ||||
| Total Asset | 16.37 M | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (339.85 M) | ||||
| Working Capital | (5.59 M) | ||||
| Net Asset | 16.37 M |
About Swvl Holdings Fundamental Analysis
The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Swvl Holdings Corp's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Swvl Holdings using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Swvl Holdings Corp based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Current Deferred Revenue | 5.1 K | 4.9 K | |
| Total Revenue | 19.8 M | 25.4 M | |
| Cost Of Revenue | 12.2 M | 11.6 M | |
| Sales General And Administrative To Revenue | 0.69 | 1.10 | |
| Research And Ddevelopement To Revenue | 0.05 | 0.05 | |
| Revenue Per Share | 2.29 | 2.17 | |
| Ebit Per Revenue | (0.44) | (0.47) |
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Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Swvl Holdings. If investors know Swvl will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Swvl Holdings assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Earnings Share (0.50) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.263 | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
Understanding Swvl Holdings Corp requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Swvl's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Swvl Holdings' is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Swvl Holdings' price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Swvl Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Swvl Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, Swvl Holdings' trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.