Trican Well Service Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

TCW Stock  CAD 4.99  0.16  3.31%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Trican Well Service is 'Strong Sell'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Trican Well's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out Trican Well Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Trican and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Trican Well Service. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute Trican Well Buy or Sell Advice

The Trican recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Trican Well Service. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Trican Well Service or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Trican Well's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Trican WellBuy Trican Well
Strong Sell

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Slightly riskyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very SmallDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Moves indifferently to market movesDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Trican Well Service has a Mean Deviation of 1.57, Standard Deviation of 2.03 and Variance of 4.13
We provide advice to complement the current expert consensus on Trican Well. Our dynamic recommendation engine harnesses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the firm's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Trican Well Service is not overpriced, please validate all Trican Well fundamentals, including its cash per share, price to earnings to growth, and the relationship between the gross profit and book value per share .

Trican Well Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Trican Well Service generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Trican Well Service is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years

Trican Well Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Trican Well's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Trican Well's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Trican Well daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Trican Well Service price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Trican Well returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Trican Well.
Mean Return
-0.03
Value At Risk
-3.39
Potential Upside
3.04
Standard Deviation
2.03
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Trican Well historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Trican Well Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash(1.0M)15.4M6.9M28.6M30.6M32.2M
Free Cash Flow(4.6M)58.0M20.2M48.6M169.2M177.6M
Depreciation124.1M111.4M87.8M80.2M77.2M85.6M
Other Non Cash Items(1.8M)171.5M524K(1.0M)(340K)(323K)
Capital Expenditures33.2M12.8M53.9M103.6M79.3M108.3M
Net Income(71.4M)(233.3M)12.1M79.2M121.0M127.1M
End Period Cash Flow7.2M22.6M29.5M58.1M88.8M93.2M
Change To Inventory6.3M8.0M2.6M(5.6M)3.1M3.3M
Net Borrowings2.0M(51.2M)(3.3M)26.7M30.7M32.3M
Change To Netincome(23.7M)143.6M(2.6M)28.8M26.0M24.7M
Investments2.6M13.3M(39.4M)(85.8M)(90.1M)(85.6M)

Trican Well Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Trican Well or Energy Equipment & Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Trican Well's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Trican stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.03
σ
Overall volatility
2.10
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

Trican Well Volatility Alert

Trican Well Service exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.01 and kurtosis of 0.82. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Trican Well's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Trican Well's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Trican Well Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Trican Well's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Trican Well's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Trican Well and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Trican Well or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Trican Well's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Trican Well by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Trican Well to competition
FundamentalsTrican WellPeer Average
Return On Equity0.22-0.31
Return On Asset0.14-0.14
Profit Margin0.12 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.14 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation952.72 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding191.97 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.62 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions31.71 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted4.66 M4.71 M
Price To Earning25.47 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.91 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.97 X11.42 X
Revenue972.68 M9.43 B
Gross Profit227.1 M27.38 B
EBITDA238.97 M3.9 B
Net Income121.01 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents26.43 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.10 X5.01 X
Total Debt18.14 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.03 %48.70 %
Current Ratio3.23 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share2.52 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations248.46 M971.22 M
Short Ratio7.09 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share0.54 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth0.87 X4.89 X
Target Price5.69
Number Of Employees1.2 K18.84 K
Beta1.71-0.15
Market Capitalization927.2 M19.03 B
Total Asset710.44 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(319.35 M)9.33 B
Working Capital153.19 M1.48 B

Trican Well Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Trican . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Trican Well Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Trican Well Service? Buying financial instruments such as Trican Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Broad Commodities ETFs Theme
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Other Information on Investing in Trican Stock

Trican Well financial ratios help investors to determine whether Trican Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Trican with respect to the benefits of owning Trican Well security.