Trican Well Service Stock Price Prediction
| TCW Stock | CAD 6.84 0.06 0.88% |
Momentum 61
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.25 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.15 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.58 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.686 | Wall Street Target Price 7.0357 |
Using Trican Well hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Trican Well Service from the perspective of Trican Well response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Trican Well to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Trican because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Trican Well after-hype prediction price | CAD 6.84 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Trican |
Trican Well After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Trican Well at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Trican Well or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Trican Well, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Trican Well Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Trican Well's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Trican Well's historical news coverage. Trican Well's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 4.63 and 9.05, respectively. We have considered Trican Well's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Trican Well is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Trican Well Service is based on 3 months time horizon.
Trican Well Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Trican Well is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Trican Well backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Trican Well, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.49 | 2.12 | 0.04 | 0.21 | 8 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
6.84 | 6.84 | 0.00 |
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Trican Well Hype Timeline
Trican Well Service is at this time traded for 6.84on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.21. Trican is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.49%. %. The volatility of related hype on Trican Well is about 484.26%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 7.05. About 25.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Trican Well was at this time reported as 3.24. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.87. Trican Well Service last dividend was issued on the 12th of December 2025. The entity had 2:1 split on the 23rd of May 2006. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Trican Well Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Trican Well Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Trican Well's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Trican Well's future price movements. Getting to know how Trican Well's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Trican Well may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PSI | Pason Systems | 0.45 | 4 per month | 1.41 | (0.04) | 2.31 | (2.64) | 6.37 | |
| PD | Precision Drilling | 0.56 | 10 per month | 1.40 | 0.19 | 3.01 | (2.50) | 7.40 | |
| TOT | Total Energy Services | (0.19) | 7 per month | 1.89 | 0.10 | 2.80 | (2.50) | 13.39 | |
| NOA | North American Construction | 0.25 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.90 | (3.92) | 11.39 | |
| MATR | Mattr Corp | 0.45 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 2.19 | (3.49) | 22.94 | |
| TNZ | Tenaz Energy Corp | (0.14) | 6 per month | 1.87 | 0.14 | 4.75 | (3.43) | 17.96 | |
| SNM | ShaMaran Petroleum Corp | 0.02 | 4 per month | 2.90 | (0) | 8.00 | (4.17) | 21.04 | |
| MER | Meren Energy | 2.09 | 4 per month | 1.49 | 0.12 | 3.24 | (2.82) | 11.16 | |
| SGY | Surge Energy | 0.45 | 1 per month | 1.92 | 0.04 | 3.53 | (3.23) | 9.35 |
Trican Well Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Trican price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Trican using various technical indicators. When you analyze Trican charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Trican Well Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Trican Well stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Trican Well Service, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Trican Well based on analysis of Trican Well hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Trican Well's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Trican Well's related companies. | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0347 | 0.0312 | 0.0292 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.05 | 1.2 | 1.74 |
Pair Trading with Trican Well
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Trican Well position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Trican Well will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Trican Stock
Moving against Trican Stock
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Trican Well could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Trican Well when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Trican Well - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Trican Well Service to buy it.
The correlation of Trican Well is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Trican Well moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Trican Well Service moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Trican Well can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Other Information on Investing in Trican Stock
Trican Well financial ratios help investors to determine whether Trican Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Trican with respect to the benefits of owning Trican Well security.