Thredup Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

TDUP Stock  USD 2.26  0.09  4.15%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding ThredUp is 'Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated analysis based on historical performance and your stated risk tolerance. It serves as guidance on whether to purchase or sell ThredUp within the specified time frame.
  
Check out ThredUp Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
To learn how to invest in ThredUp Stock, please use our How to Invest in ThredUp guide.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as ThredUp and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. ThredUp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in employment.

Execute ThredUp Buy or Sell Advice

The ThredUp recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on ThredUp. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in ThredUp or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute ThredUp's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell ThredUpBuy ThredUp
Hold

Market Performance

SolidDetails

Volatility

Extremely DangerousDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

About AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Hyperactively responds to market trendsDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

UnavailableDetails
For the selected time horizon ThredUp has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1689, Jensen Alpha of 1.94, Total Risk Alpha of 1.82, Sortino Ratio of 0.3747 and Treynor Ratio of 0.2824
We provide advice to complement the current expert consensus on ThredUp. Our dynamic recommendation engine harnesses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the firm's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure ThredUp is not overpriced, please validate all ThredUp fundamentals, including its net income, as well as the relationship between the book value per share and beta . Please also confirm ThredUp number of shares shorted to double-check your buy or sell decision is consistent with all fundamental data available and that the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle.

ThredUp Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

ThredUp is way too risky over 90 days horizon
ThredUp appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 322.02 M. Net Loss for the year was (71.25 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 213.78 M.
ThredUp currently holds about 148.52 M in cash with (22.59 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.48.
Roughly 64.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Despite Fast-paced Momentum, ThredUp Is Still a Bargain Stock

ThredUp Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of ThredUp's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of ThredUp's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of ThredUp daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use ThredUp price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of ThredUp returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for ThredUp.
Mean Return
2.09
Value At Risk
-7.04
Potential Upside
15.67
Standard Deviation
10.95
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of ThredUp historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

ThredUp Stock Institutional Investors

The ThredUp's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase ThredUp's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
Shares
Northern Trust Corp2024-09-30
649.4 K
Marshall Wace Asset Management Ltd2024-09-30
648.8 K
Renaissance Technologies Corp2024-09-30
558.7 K
Panagora Asset Management Inc2024-09-30
489.4 K
Privium Fund Management B.v.2024-09-30
383.5 K
Squarepoint Ops Llc2024-09-30
345.8 K
Bridgeway Capital Management, Llc2024-09-30
334.4 K
D. E. Shaw & Co Lp2024-09-30
301 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-09-30
239.1 K
Capital World Investors2024-09-30
8.7 M
Needham Investment Management, Llc2024-09-30
6.2 M
Note, although ThredUp's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

ThredUp Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change To Inventory374K(2.7M)(7.9M)2.2M2.0M2.1M
Investments(19.4M)(122.4M)52.2M64.2M73.9M77.6M
Change In Cash(20.3M)24.3M(47.8M)17.4M15.7M16.5M
Net Borrowings7.9M17.2M625K(5.9M)(5.3M)(5.1M)
Free Cash Flow(38.5M)(54.8M)(95.4M)(38.6M)(34.7M)(36.5M)
Depreciation5.6M9.2M14.0M18.7M21.5M22.6M
Other Non Cash Items4.6M4.0M12.1M7.2M8.3M5.4M
Capital Expenditures19.4M19.8M43.3M16.0M18.4M22.4M
Net Income(47.9M)(63.2M)(92.3M)(71.2M)(64.1M)(67.3M)
End Period Cash Flow67.5M91.8M44.1M61.5M70.7M66.1M
Change To Netincome8.8M11.9M19.3M32.4M37.3M39.1M

ThredUp Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to ThredUp or Specialty Retail sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that ThredUp's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a ThredUp stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
1.94
β
Beta against Dow Jones7.37
σ
Overall volatility
11.22
Ir
Information ratio 0.19

ThredUp Volatility Alert

ThredUp is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure ThredUp's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact ThredUp's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

ThredUp Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing ThredUp's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze ThredUp's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between ThredUp and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as ThredUp or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of ThredUp's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ThredUp by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare ThredUp to competition
FundamentalsThredUpPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.78-0.31
Return On Asset-0.16-0.14
Profit Margin(0.22) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.21) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation277.37 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding85.66 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders5.02 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions64.08 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted4.89 M4.71 M
Price To Book3.71 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.82 X11.42 X
Revenue322.02 M9.43 B
Gross Profit213.78 M27.38 B
EBITDA(53.1 M)3.9 B
Net Income(71.25 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents148.52 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share1.48 X5.01 X
Total Debt76.41 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.52 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.77 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share0.61 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(22.59 M)971.22 M
Short Ratio8.94 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(0.64) X3.12 X
Target Price3.0
Number Of Employees2.38 K18.84 K
Beta0.75-0.15
Market Capitalization257.09 M19.03 B
Total Asset249.97 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(478.88 M)9.33 B
Working Capital17.21 M1.48 B
Net Asset249.97 M
Note: Disposition of 2776 shares by Nakache Patricia of ThredUp at 2.18 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

ThredUp Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as ThredUp . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About ThredUp Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell ThredUp? Buying financial instruments such as ThredUp Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Education Theme
Companies involved in apprenticeship, education, tutoring, schooling, online universities, and other learning services. The Education theme has 39 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Education Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for ThredUp Stock Analysis

When running ThredUp's price analysis, check to measure ThredUp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ThredUp is operating at the current time. Most of ThredUp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ThredUp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ThredUp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ThredUp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.