Thredup Stock Performance
| TDUP Stock | USD 5.33 0.14 2.70% |
The entity has a beta of 2.23, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, ThredUp will likely underperform. At this point, ThredUp has a negative expected return of -0.79%. Please make sure to validate ThredUp's maximum drawdown, daily balance of power, as well as the relationship between the Daily Balance Of Power and period momentum indicator , to decide if ThredUp performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days ThredUp has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Even with weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain relatively invariable which may send shares a bit higher in February 2026. The latest agitation may also be a sign of long-running up-swing for the enterprise retail investors. ...more
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 54.8 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -16.9 M |
ThredUp Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 902.00 in ThredUp on October 29, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (369.00) from holding ThredUp or give up 40.91% of portfolio value over 90 days. ThredUp is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 3.7393% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 33% of stocks are less volatile than ThredUp, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
ThredUp Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of ThredUp Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 5.33 | 90 days | 5.33 | over 95.19 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ThredUp to move above the current price in 90 days from now is over 95.19 (This ThredUp probability density function shows the probability of ThredUp Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.23 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, ThredUp will likely underperform. Additionally ThredUp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. ThredUp Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for ThredUp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ThredUp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of ThredUp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
ThredUp Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ThredUp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ThredUp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ThredUp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ThredUp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.95 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.23 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.07 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.23 |
ThredUp Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ThredUp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ThredUp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| ThredUp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| ThredUp has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 260.03 M. Net Loss for the year was (40 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 237.42 M. | |
| About 74.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
ThredUp Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ThredUp Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ThredUp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ThredUp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 112 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 44.2 M |
ThredUp Fundamentals Growth
ThredUp Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of ThredUp, and ThredUp fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on ThredUp Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | -0.35 | ||||
| Return On Asset | -0.0749 | ||||
| Profit Margin | (0.12) % | ||||
| Operating Margin | (0.05) % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 652.67 M | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 104.27 M | ||||
| Price To Book | 10.99 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 2.18 X | ||||
| Revenue | 260.03 M | ||||
| EBITDA | (20.12 M) | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 148.52 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 1.48 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 58.84 M | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.52 % | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 0.47 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 898 K | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | (0.19) X | ||||
| Total Asset | 171.22 M | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (555.86 M) | ||||
About ThredUp Performance
Assessing ThredUp's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into ThredUp's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the ThredUp is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
ThredUp Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates online resale platforms that allows consumers to buy and sell secondhand womens and kids apparel, shoes, and accessories. ThredUp Inc. was incorporated in 2009 and is headquartered in Oakland, California. Thredup Inc operates under Internet Retail classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 2894 people.Things to note about ThredUp performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about ThredUp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for ThredUp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| ThredUp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| ThredUp has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 260.03 M. Net Loss for the year was (40 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 237.42 M. | |
| About 74.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
- Analyzing ThredUp's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether ThredUp's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining ThredUp's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating ThredUp's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of ThredUp's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of ThredUp's stock. These opinions can provide insight into ThredUp's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Additional Tools for ThredUp Stock Analysis
When running ThredUp's price analysis, check to measure ThredUp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ThredUp is operating at the current time. Most of ThredUp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ThredUp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ThredUp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ThredUp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.