Tfi International Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

TFII Stock  USD 148.04  3.59  2.49%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding TFI International is 'Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of TFI International's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out TFI International Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more detail on how to invest in TFI Stock please use our How to Invest in TFI International guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as TFI and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards TFI International. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product.

Execute TFI International Buy or Sell Advice

The TFI recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on TFI International. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in TFI International or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute TFI International's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell TFI InternationalBuy TFI International
Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Actively responds to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

StrongDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon TFI International has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0053, Jensen Alpha of (0.16), Total Risk Alpha of (0.23) and Treynor Ratio of (0.01)
Macroaxis provides recommendation on TFI International to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on TFI International. Our trade recommendation engine determines the firm's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure TFI International is not overpriced, please validate all TFI International fundamentals, including its price to earning, cash per share, price to earnings to growth, as well as the relationship between the gross profit and book value per share . Given that TFI International has a price to earning of 13.34 X, we advise you to double-check TFI International market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself next year given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

TFI International Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

TFI International has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 75.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 15th of October 2024 TFI International paid $ 0.4 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: TFI International Given New 204.00 Price Target at Desjardins

TFI International Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of TFI International's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of TFI International's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of TFI International daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use TFI International price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of TFI International returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for TFI International.
Mean Return
-0.0021
Value At Risk
-2.96
Potential Upside
2.49
Standard Deviation
1.95
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of TFI International historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

TFI Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
1832 Asset Management L.p2024-09-30
1.2 M
Norges Bank2024-06-30
1.2 M
Bank Of America Corp2024-06-30
M
Turtle Creek Asset Management Inc.2024-09-30
998 K
Bank Of Montreal2024-06-30
835.2 K
Bmo Capital Markets Corp.2024-06-30
835.2 K
Capital International Inc /ca/2024-09-30
690.3 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-06-30
611.7 K
Arrowstreet Capital Limited Partnership2024-06-30
579.2 K
Capital Research Global Investors2024-09-30
7.8 M
Hhg Plc2024-06-30
3.8 M
Note, although TFI International's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

TFI International Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Free Cash Flow228.1M466.5M579.6M614.7M649.5M682.0M
Depreciation300.3M299.2M393.0M430.6M442.0M464.1M
Other Non Cash Items(150.8M)(91.7M)(411.2M)(391.8M)(225.0M)(213.7M)
Capital Expenditures268.8M144.4M275.8M356.9M364.3M382.5M
Net Income248.4M275.7M664.4M823.2M504.9M530.1M
End Period Cash Flow93.2M4.3M19.3M147.1M335.6M352.3M
Dividends Paid61.8M67.6M85.4M97.3M121.1M71.4M
Change To Inventory2.3M2.2M(1.2M)(1.5M)6.5M6.9M
Investments(403.0M)(378.5M)4.8M223.4M(794.3M)(754.6M)
Net Borrowings53.9M(564.3M)602.3M(409.3M)(368.3M)(349.9M)
Change To Netincome(57.3M)2.3M(244.0M)(134.7M)(154.9M)(162.7M)

TFI International Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to TFI International or Ground Transportation sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that TFI International's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a TFI stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.16
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.75
σ
Overall volatility
2.00
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

TFI International Volatility Alert

TFI International exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 2.25 and kurtosis of 11.1. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure TFI International's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact TFI International's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

TFI International Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing TFI International's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze TFI International's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between TFI International and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as TFI International or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of TFI International's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing TFI International by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare TFI International to competition
FundamentalsTFI InternationalPeer Average
Return On Equity0.17-0.31
Return On Asset0.0699-0.14
Profit Margin0.06 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.09 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation15.37 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding84.63 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders5.96 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions74.74 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted597.27 K4.71 M
Price To Earning13.34 X28.72 X
Price To Book4.44 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.48 X11.42 X
Revenue7.52 B9.43 B
Gross Profit1.86 B27.38 B
EBITDA1.19 B3.9 B
Net Income504.88 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents133.14 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share1.53 X5.01 X
Total Debt2.34 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.73 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.27 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share32.52 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations1.01 B971.22 M
Short Ratio2.07 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share5.49 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth0.68 X4.89 X
Target Price162.08
Number Of Employees25.12 K18.84 K
Beta1.38-0.15
Market Capitalization12.25 B19.03 B
Total Asset6.28 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings1.65 B9.33 B
Working Capital269.89 M1.48 B

TFI International Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as TFI . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About TFI International Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell TFI International? Buying financial instruments such as TFI Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having TFI International in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Target Risk ETFs Theme
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When determining whether TFI International offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of TFI International's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Tfi International Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Tfi International Stock:
Check out TFI International Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more detail on how to invest in TFI Stock please use our How to Invest in TFI International guide.
You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.
Is Cargo Ground Transportation space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of TFI International. If investors know TFI will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about TFI International listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.03)
Dividend Share
1.6
Earnings Share
5.49
Revenue Per Share
97.9
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.143
The market value of TFI International is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of TFI that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of TFI International's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is TFI International's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because TFI International's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect TFI International's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between TFI International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if TFI International is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, TFI International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.