Triad Guaranty Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

TGIC Stock  USD 0.0002  0.00  0.00%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Triad Guaranty is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Triad Guaranty buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding TGIC positions.
  
Check out Triad Guaranty Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade Triad Stock refer to our How to Trade Triad Stock guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Triad and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Triad Guaranty. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product.

Execute Triad Guaranty Buy or Sell Advice

The Triad recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Triad Guaranty. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Triad Guaranty or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Triad Guaranty's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Triad GuarantyBuy Triad Guaranty
Not Rated
For the selected time horizon Triad Guaranty has a Return On Asset of -0.1, Profit Margin of (0.93) %, Operating Margin of (0.87) %, Current Valuation of 1.32 M, Shares Outstanding of 15.37 M and Number Of Shares Shorted of 1.15 M
We provide advice to complement the current expert consensus on Triad Guaranty. Our dynamic recommendation engine harnesses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the firm's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Triad Guaranty is not overpriced, please validate all Triad Guaranty fundamentals, including its current ratio, number of employees, and the relationship between the cash and equivalents and short ratio . As Triad Guaranty appears to be a penny stock we also recommend to double-check its price to sales numbers.

Triad Guaranty Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Triad Guaranty generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Triad Guaranty has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 207.39 M. Net Loss for the year was (107.77 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (70.88 M).
Triad Guaranty currently holds about 79.34 M in cash with (76.61 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 5.16, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.

Triad Guaranty Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Triad Guaranty or Thrifts & Mortgage Finance sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Triad Guaranty's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Triad stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.00
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.00
σ
Overall volatility
0.00
Ir
Information ratio 0.00

Triad Guaranty Volatility Alert

At this time Triad Guaranty exhibits very low volatility. Triad Guaranty appears to be a penny stock. Although Triad Guaranty may be, in fact, a solid short-term or long term investment, many penny stocks are speculative investment instruments that are often subject to artificial stock promotion and campaigns of hype which may lead to misinformation and misrepresentation. Please make sure you fully understand upside potential and downside risks of investing in Triad Guaranty or similar risky assets. We encourage investors to look for signals such as email spams, message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, volume upswing without any event/news,and sudden news releases. We also encourage traders to check biographies and work history of company President, CEO or other officers before investing in high-volatility instruments, penny stocks, or equities with microcap classification. You can indeed make money on Triad instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny stocks that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.

Triad Guaranty Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Triad Guaranty's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Triad Guaranty's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Triad Guaranty and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Triad Guaranty or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Triad Guaranty's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Triad Guaranty by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Triad Guaranty to competition
FundamentalsTriad GuarantyPeer Average
Return On Asset-0.1-0.14
Profit Margin(0.93) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.87) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation1.32 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding15.37 M571.82 M
Number Of Shares Shorted1.15 M4.71 M
Price To Sales0.01 X11.42 X
Revenue207.39 M9.43 B
Gross Profit(70.88 M)27.38 B
EBITDA(141.3 M)3.9 B
Net Income(107.77 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents79.34 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share5.16 X5.01 X
Total Debt1.6 B5.32 B
Current Ratio1.00 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share(52.24) X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(76.61 M)971.22 M
Short Ratio7.72 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(0.02) X3.12 X
Target Price6.0
Number Of Employees5018.84 K
Beta-289.65-0.15
Market Capitalization1.39 M19.03 B
Total Asset896.23 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(826.82 M)9.33 B
Net Asset896.23 M
Note: Insider Trading [view details]

Triad Guaranty Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Triad . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Triad Guaranty Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Triad Guaranty? Buying financial instruments such as Triad Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Triad Guaranty in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Banks - Regional Thematic Idea Now

Banks - Regional
Banks - Regional Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Banks - Regional theme has 19 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Banks - Regional Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Triad Guaranty offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Triad Guaranty's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Triad Guaranty Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Triad Guaranty Stock:
Check out Triad Guaranty Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade Triad Stock refer to our How to Trade Triad Stock guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.
Is Thrifts & Mortgage Finance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Triad Guaranty. If investors know Triad will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Triad Guaranty listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.02)
Revenue Per Share
11.516
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.45)
Return On Assets
(0.10)
The market value of Triad Guaranty is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Triad that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Triad Guaranty's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Triad Guaranty's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Triad Guaranty's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Triad Guaranty's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Triad Guaranty's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Triad Guaranty is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Triad Guaranty's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.