Triad Guaranty Stock Technical Analysis

TGIC Stock  USD 0.0001  0.00  0.00%   
As of the 14th of February 2026, Triad Guaranty has the Coefficient Of Variation of (812.40), variance of 67.34, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.09). In relation to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model makes it possible for you to check existing technical drivers of Triad Guaranty, as well as the relationship between them.

Triad Guaranty Momentum Analysis

Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Triad, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to TriadTriad Guaranty's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.
Will Thrifts & Mortgage Finance sector continue expanding? Could Triad diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Triad Guaranty. If investors know Triad will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Triad Guaranty data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Earnings Share
(0.03)
Revenue Per Share
11.516
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.45)
Return On Assets
(0.10)
Triad Guaranty's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Triad's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Triad Guaranty's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Since Triad Guaranty's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Triad Guaranty's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Triad Guaranty is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Triad Guaranty's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Triad Guaranty 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Triad Guaranty's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Triad Guaranty.
0.00
11/16/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 31 days
02/14/2026
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Triad Guaranty on November 16, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Triad Guaranty or generate 0.0% return on investment in Triad Guaranty over 90 days. Triad Guaranty Inc., through its subsidiary, Triad Guaranty Insurance Corporation, operates mortgage guaranty insurance ... More

Triad Guaranty Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Triad Guaranty's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Triad Guaranty upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Triad Guaranty Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Triad Guaranty's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Triad Guaranty's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Triad Guaranty historical prices to predict the future Triad Guaranty's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.00018.54
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0000968.54
Details

Triad Guaranty February 14, 2026 Technical Indicators

Triad Guaranty Backtested Returns

Triad Guaranty owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.13, which indicates the firm had a -0.13 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Triad Guaranty exposes sixteen different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Triad Guaranty's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.09), variance of 67.34, and Coefficient Of Variation of (812.40) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of 0.42, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Triad Guaranty's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Triad Guaranty is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Triad Guaranty has a negative expected return of -1.09%. Please make sure to validate Triad Guaranty's variance, maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the Maximum Drawdown and rate of daily change , to decide if Triad Guaranty performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.00  

No correlation between past and present

Triad Guaranty has no correlation between past and present. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Triad Guaranty time series from 16th of November 2025 to 31st of December 2025 and 31st of December 2025 to 14th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Triad Guaranty price movement. The serial correlation of 0.0 indicates that just 0.0% of current Triad Guaranty price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.0
Spearman Rank Test0.47
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0
Triad Guaranty technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Triad Guaranty technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Triad Guaranty trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

Triad Guaranty Technical Analysis

Indicator
Time Period
Execute Indicator
The output start index for this execution was one with a total number of output elements of sixty. The Normalized Average True Range is used to analyze tradable apportunities for Triad Guaranty across different markets.

About Triad Guaranty Technical Analysis

The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Triad Guaranty on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Triad Guaranty based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Triad Guaranty price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Triad Guaranty. By analyzing Triad Guaranty's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Triad Guaranty's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Triad Guaranty specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
 2010 2011 2025 2026 (projected)
ROE0.05260.150.140.13
Income Quality1.560.710.820.83

Triad Guaranty February 14, 2026 Technical Indicators

Most technical analysis of Triad help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Triad from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Triad charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Triad Guaranty February 14, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators

Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Triad stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

Complementary Tools for Triad Stock analysis

When running Triad Guaranty's price analysis, check to measure Triad Guaranty's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Triad Guaranty is operating at the current time. Most of Triad Guaranty's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Triad Guaranty's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Triad Guaranty's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Triad Guaranty to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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