Tilray Inc Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| TLRY Stock | CAD 1.92 0.01 0.52% |
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Tilray Inc is 'Strong Sell'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Tilray's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out Tilray Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Tilray and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Tilray Inc. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
Tilray |
Execute Tilray Buy or Sell Advice
The Tilray recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Tilray Inc. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Tilray Inc or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Tilray's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very risky | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Above Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Moves totally opposite to the market | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Inapplicable | Details |
Tilray Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Tilray Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Tilray Inc may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Tilray Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Tilray Inc has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 788.94 M. Net Loss for the year was (222.4 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 116.82 M. | |
| Tilray Inc has accumulated about 490.64 M in cash with (30.91 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.8. | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Tilray stock touches 52-week low at 1.28 amid market challenges - Investing.com |
Tilray Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Tilray's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Tilray's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Tilray daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Tilray Inc price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Tilray returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Tilray.
| Mean Return | -0.42 | Value At Risk | -4.53 | Potential Upside | 4.79 | Standard Deviation | 3.05 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Tilray historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Tilray Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | (38.6M) | 127.8M | (72.6M) | (209.3M) | 21.7M | 14.5M | |
| Free Cash Flow | (191.9M) | (83.6M) | (211.3M) | (12.9M) | (60.2M) | (63.2M) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 95.5M | 38.9M | 34.1M | 20.8M | 29.2M | 50.4M | |
| Net Income | (61.0M) | (336.0M) | (434.1M) | (1.4B) | (222.4M) | (233.5M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 358.5M | 488.5M | 415.9M | 206.6M | 228.3M | 188.6M | |
| Depreciation | 35.5M | 67.8M | 154.6M | 130.1M | 126.9M | 133.3M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (2.2M) | 281.9M | 185.6M | 1.3B | 112.3M | 163.8M | |
| Change To Inventory | (90.3M) | (35.3M) | (45.7M) | (12.9M) | (15.6M) | (16.4M) | |
| Investments | 33.9M | 8.4M | (21.5M) | (285.1M) | 128.3M | 134.8M | |
| Net Borrowings | 356.1M | 52.3M | 45.5M | (123.5M) | (111.2M) | (105.6M) | |
| Change To Netincome | (21.8M) | 45.1M | 325.7M | 236.7M | 272.2M | 285.8M |
Tilray Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Tilray or Pharmaceuticals sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Tilray's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Tilray stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.3 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -1.11 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.18 |
Tilray Volatility Alert
Tilray Inc exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.58 and kurtosis of 2.95. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Tilray's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Tilray's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Tilray Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Tilray's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Tilray's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Tilray and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Tilray or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Tilray's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Tilray by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Tilray to competition |
| Fundamentals | Tilray | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.0584 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.014 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.26) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0.15) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 1.88 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 903.29 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 0.67 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 12.08 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 6.87 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 8.23 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 0.35 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 2.13 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 788.94 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 116.82 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | (72.84 M) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (222.4 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 490.64 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.80 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 387.32 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.14 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 3.33 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 3.97 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (30.91 M) | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 5.42 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (0.38) X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 1.91 | |
| Number Of Employees | 2.65 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 2.19 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 1.73 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 4.34 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (2.66 B) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 378.54 M | 1.48 B |
| Net Asset | 4.34 B |
Tilray Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Tilray . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 15925.26 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.2 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1.92 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1.92 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.01 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.01 |
About Tilray Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Tilray Inc? Buying financial instruments such as Tilray Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Check out Tilray Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.