Tilray Inc Stock Performance
| TLRY Stock | CAD 10.18 0.07 0.68% |
Tilray holds a performance score of 9 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The entity has a beta of 6.88, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Tilray will likely underperform. Use Tilray Inc value at risk, expected short fall, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and downside variance , to analyze future returns on Tilray Inc.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Fair
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Tilray Inc are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very weak basic indicators, Tilray displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Last Split Factor 1:10 | Last Split Date 2025-12-02 |
1 | Tilray Brands Trading Up 1.9 percent - Heres What Happened - MarketBeat | 11/25/2025 |
2 | Tilray Brands A Hold On This High-Risk Cannabis Bet Amid Possible Reclassification - Seeking Alpha | 12/15/2025 |
3 | Tilray Stock Takes a Hit After Reverse Split Announcement - timothysykes.com | 12/19/2025 |
4 | Tilray Brands Shares Down 4.2 percent - Heres Why - MarketBeat | 12/24/2025 |
5 | Best Cannabis Stocks To Add to Your Watchlist - January 5th - MarketBeat | 01/05/2026 |
6 | Earnings call transcript Tilray Q2 2026 sees record revenue, stock dips - Investing.com Canada | 01/08/2026 |
7 | Promising Cannabis Stocks To Follow Today - January 12th - MarketBeat | 01/12/2026 |
8 | Tilray Continues to Gain in Canada and International Medical, but Were Skeptical of US Prospects - morningstar.com | 01/15/2026 |
9 | Tilray Brands Just Posted Record Numbers for Q2. Is the Stock a Buy - AOL.com | 01/21/2026 |
10 | Tilray Has Already Done The Hard Part - Seeking Alpha | 01/28/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 228.3 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -46.7 M |
Tilray |
Tilray Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 183.00 in Tilray Inc on November 2, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of 835.00 from holding Tilray Inc or generate 456.28% return on investment over 90 days. Tilray Inc is generating 13.5898% of daily returns and assumes 112.1539% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Simply put, majority of traded equity instruments are less risky than Tilray on the basis of their historical return distribution, and most equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Tilray Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Tilray Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 10.18 | 90 days | 10.18 | about 38.29 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Tilray to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 38.29 (This Tilray Inc probability density function shows the probability of Tilray Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 6.88 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Tilray will likely underperform. In addition to that Tilray Inc has an alpha of 12.2413, implying that it can generate a 12.24 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Tilray Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Tilray
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tilray Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Tilray Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Tilray is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Tilray's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Tilray Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Tilray within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 12.24 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 6.88 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.81 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.12 |
Tilray Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Tilray for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Tilray Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Tilray Inc is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Tilray Inc appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Tilray Inc has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 821.31 M. Net Loss for the year was (2.18 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 234.67 M. | |
| Tilray Inc has accumulated about 490.64 M in cash with (94.6 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.8. | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Tilray Has Already Done The Hard Part - Seeking Alpha |
Tilray Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Tilray Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Tilray's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tilray's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 90.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 256.4 M |
Tilray Fundamentals Growth
Tilray Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Tilray, and Tilray fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Tilray Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | -0.84 | ||||
| Return On Asset | -0.0151 | ||||
| Profit Margin | (2.52) % | ||||
| Operating Margin | (0.09) % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 1.28 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 116.51 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 8.23 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 0.58 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 1.43 X | ||||
| Revenue | 821.31 M | ||||
| Gross Profit | 234.67 M | ||||
| EBITDA | (2.13 B) | ||||
| Net Income | (2.18 B) | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 490.64 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 0.80 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 328.74 M | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.14 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 3.33 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 20.17 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | (94.6 M) | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | (31.99) X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 1.19 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 2.07 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (4.85 B) | ||||
| Working Capital | 408.32 M | ||||
About Tilray Performance
By examining Tilray's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Tilray's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Tilray is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 153.23 | 160.89 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | (0.28) | (0.29) | |
| Return On Capital Employed | (0.30) | (0.31) | |
| Return On Assets | (0.28) | (0.29) | |
| Return On Equity | (0.29) | (0.30) |
Things to note about Tilray Inc performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Tilray for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Tilray Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Tilray Inc is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Tilray Inc appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Tilray Inc has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 821.31 M. Net Loss for the year was (2.18 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 234.67 M. | |
| Tilray Inc has accumulated about 490.64 M in cash with (94.6 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.8. | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Tilray Has Already Done The Hard Part - Seeking Alpha |
- Analyzing Tilray's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Tilray's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Tilray's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Tilray's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Tilray's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Tilray's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Tilray's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Tilray Inc. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in employment. You can also try the Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.