TOTVS SA (Brazil) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

TOTS3 Stock  BRL 29.77  0.05  0.17%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding TOTVS SA is 'Strong Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell TOTVS SA given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards TOTVS SA. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for TOTVS SA, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out TOTVS SA Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as TOTVS and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. TOTVS SA. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

Execute TOTVS SA Buy or Sell Advice

The TOTVS recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on TOTVS SA. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in TOTVS SA or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute TOTVS SA's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell TOTVS SABuy TOTVS SA
Strong Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon TOTVS SA has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0), Jensen Alpha of (0.11), Total Risk Alpha of (0.35) and Treynor Ratio of (0.04)
Our trade recommendation module complements current analysts and expert consensus on TOTVS SA. It analyzes the company potential to grow using all fundamental, technical, and market related data available at this particular time. To make sure TOTVS SA is not overpriced, please validate all TOTVS SA fundamentals, including its cash and equivalents, current ratio, and the relationship between the ebitda and total debt .

TOTVS SA Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

TOTVS SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 63.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

TOTVS SA Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of TOTVS SA's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of TOTVS SA's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of TOTVS SA daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use TOTVS SA price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of TOTVS SA returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for TOTVS SA.
Mean Return
-0.02
Value At Risk
-2.79
Potential Upside
2.91
Standard Deviation
2.04
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of TOTVS SA historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

TOTVS SA Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to TOTVS SA or Software sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that TOTVS SA's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a TOTVS stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.11
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.70
σ
Overall volatility
2.04
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

TOTVS SA Volatility Alert

TOTVS SA exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.36 and kurtosis of 5.68. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure TOTVS SA's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact TOTVS SA's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

TOTVS SA Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing TOTVS SA's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze TOTVS SA's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between TOTVS SA and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as TOTVS SA or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of TOTVS SA's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing TOTVS SA by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare TOTVS SA to competition
FundamentalsTOTVS SAPeer Average
Return On Equity0.11-0.31
Return On Asset0.0409-0.14
Profit Margin0.12 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.17 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation15.03 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding605.75 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders13.97 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions62.53 %39.21 %
Price To Earning63.66 X28.72 X
Price To Book3.57 X9.51 X
Price To Sales4.11 X11.42 X
Revenue3.26 B9.43 B
Gross Profit2.23 B27.38 B
EBITDA806.5 M3.9 B
Net Income368.49 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents2.85 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share4.24 X5.01 X
Total Debt1.3 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.38 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.72 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share7.33 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations424.52 M971.22 M
Earnings Per Share0.74 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth2.99 X4.89 X
Target Price37.13
Number Of Employees3818.84 K
Beta1.03-0.15
Market Capitalization18.32 B19.03 B
Total Asset9.95 B29.47 B
Z Score8.48.72
Annual Yield0.01 %
Five Year Return0.84 %
Net Asset9.95 B

TOTVS SA Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as TOTVS . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About TOTVS SA Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell TOTVS SA? Buying financial instruments such as TOTVS Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having TOTVS SA in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Long Short Funds
Long Short Funds Theme
Funds or Etfs that are designed to hedge away market risk by investing in combination of bonds, stocks, derivative instruments as well as short positions to maximize returns irrespective of market conditions. The Long Short Funds theme has 40 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Long Short Funds Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for TOTVS Stock Analysis

When running TOTVS SA's price analysis, check to measure TOTVS SA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy TOTVS SA is operating at the current time. Most of TOTVS SA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of TOTVS SA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move TOTVS SA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of TOTVS SA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.