Treasury Wine Estates Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

TSRYY Stock  USD 7.18  0.07  0.97%   
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your typical level of risk aversion, our recommendation regarding Treasury Wine Estates is 'Strong Sell'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Treasury Wine Estates given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Treasury Wine. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Treasury Wine Estates, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Treasury Wine Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Treasury and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Treasury Wine Estates. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in manufacturing.

Execute Treasury Wine Buy or Sell Advice

The Treasury recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Treasury Wine Estates. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Treasury Wine Estates or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Treasury Wine's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Treasury WineBuy Treasury Wine
Strong Sell

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Somewhat reliableDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Treasury Wine Estates has a Mean Deviation of 1.57, Standard Deviation of 2.09 and Variance of 4.39
We provide advice to complement the current expert consensus on Treasury Wine. Our dynamic recommendation engine harnesses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the firm's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Treasury Wine Estates is not overpriced, please validate all Treasury Wine fundamentals, including its ebitda, current ratio, and the relationship between the price to sales and cash per share . Given that Treasury Wine Estates has a price to book of 2.48 X, we advise you to double-check Treasury Wine Estates market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Treasury Wine Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Treasury Wine generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Treasury Wine Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Treasury Wine's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Treasury Wine's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Treasury Wine daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Treasury Wine Estates price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Treasury Wine returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Treasury Wine.
Mean Return
-0.16
Value At Risk
-3.09
Potential Upside
2.88
Standard Deviation
2.09
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Treasury Wine historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Treasury Wine Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Treasury Wine or Consumer Defensive sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Treasury Wine's price will be affected by overall pink sheet market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Treasury pink sheet's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.16
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.05
σ
Overall volatility
2.07
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

Treasury Wine Volatility Alert

Treasury Wine Estates exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.73 and kurtosis of 2.57. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Treasury Wine's pink sheet risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Treasury Wine's pink sheet price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Treasury Wine Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Treasury Wine's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Treasury Wine's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Treasury Wine and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Treasury Wine or determine the pink sheets which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Treasury Wine's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Treasury Wine by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Treasury Wine to competition
FundamentalsTreasury WinePeer Average
Return On Equity0.0713-0.31
Return On Asset0.0496-0.14
Profit Margin0.10 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.20 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation7.55 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding721.85 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Institutions0.04 %39.21 %
Price To Earning49.67 X28.72 X
Price To Book2.48 X9.51 X
Price To Sales2.52 X11.42 X
Revenue2.48 B9.43 B
Gross Profit1.07 B27.38 B
EBITDA644.4 M3.9 B
Net Income263.2 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents430.5 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.60 X5.01 X
Total Debt1.51 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.44 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.98 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share5.24 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations562 M971.22 M
Earnings Per Share0.25 X3.12 X
Number Of Employees2.5 K18.84 K
Beta0.44-0.15
Market Capitalization7.27 B19.03 B
Total Asset6.66 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings78 M9.33 B
Working Capital1.11 B1.48 B
Current Asset1.87 B9.34 B
Current Liabilities758 M7.9 B
Z Score2.48.72
Annual Yield0.02 %
Five Year Return2.36 %

Treasury Wine Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Treasury . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Treasury Wine Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Treasury Wine Estates? Buying financial instruments such as Treasury Pink Sheet isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Additional Tools for Treasury Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Treasury Wine's price analysis, check to measure Treasury Wine's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Treasury Wine is operating at the current time. Most of Treasury Wine's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Treasury Wine's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Treasury Wine's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Treasury Wine to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.