Twin Disc (Germany) Market Outlook
| TWN Stock | EUR 15.00 0.10 0.66% |
Roughly 62% of Twin Disc's investor base is looking to short. The analysis of overall sentiment of trading Twin Disc Incorporated stock suggests that many investors are alarmed at this time. The current market sentiment, together with Twin Disc's historical and current headlines, can help investors time the market. In addition, many technical investors use Twin Disc stock news signals to limit their universe of possible portfolio assets.
Comfort Level 38
Alarmed
Panic | Confidence |
Today, several news technology companies offer sentiment data to assist traders in manufacturing news sentiment indicators for investment decisions. We partner with these technology firms in helping retail investors build forecasting models that use Twin Disc's input sentiment indicators derived from textual data and news published on major financial information outlets and social sites. These indicators can be used to analyze time-dependent numerical information representing public perception toward Twin Disc Incorporated.
News SentimentNeutral | Hype SentimentBearish | Insider SentimentWaiting |
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your typical level of risk aversion, our recommendation regarding Twin Disc Incorporated is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Twin Disc buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding TWN positions.
Execute Twin Disc Advice
The Twin recommendation should be used to complement the investment advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Twin Disc Incorporated. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Twin Disc Incorporated or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Twin Disc's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Fair | Details | |
Volatility | Somewhat reliable | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Barely shadows the market | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Inapplicable | Details |
For the selected time horizon Twin Disc Incorporated has a Mean Deviation of 2.17, Semi Deviation of 3.07, Standard Deviation of 3.16, Variance of 9.96, Downside Variance of 13.61 and Semi Variance of 9.41Our advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Twin Disc and to analyze the firm potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Twin Disc is not overpriced, please validate all Twin Disc fundamentals, including its revenue, cash and equivalents, and the relationship between the price to book and ebitda .
Twin Disc Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Twin Disc had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 340.74 M. Net Loss for the year was (1.89 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 97.03 M. | |
| About 66.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: How Twin Disc Incorporated Affects Rotational Strategy Timing - Stock Traders Daily |
Twin Disc Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Twin Disc's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Twin Disc's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Twin Disc daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Twin Disc Incorporated price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Twin Disc returns is essential to provide solid investment analysis for Twin Disc.
| Mean Return | 0.15 | Value At Risk | -4.36 | Potential Upside | 4.58 | Standard Deviation | 3.16 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Twin Disc historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Twin Disc Cash Flow Accounts
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (18.6M) | (2.8M) | 6.0M | (9.7M) | (8.8M) | (8.3M) | |
| Change In Cash | 181K | 742K | 6.8M | (4.0M) | (4.6M) | (4.3M) | |
| Net Borrowings | 4.8M | (18.8M) | 6.5M | 2.9M | 3.3M | 3.5M | |
| Depreciation | 9.5M | 9.4M | 10.0M | 14.9M | 17.1M | 10.9M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 4.7M | 7.9M | 8.7M | 15.2M | 17.4M | 18.3M | |
| Net Income | 8.1M | 10.4M | 11.0M | (1.9M) | (2.2M) | (2.3M) | |
| Change To Netincome | 23.5M | 19.2M | (2.4M) | (1.3M) | (1.5M) | (1.4M) | |
| Investments | 5.9M | (408K) | (32.1M) | (32.9M) | (29.6M) | (28.1M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 12.5M | 13.3M | 20.1M | 16.1M | 14.5M | 11.8M | |
| Free Cash Flow | (13.0M) | 15.0M | 25.0M | 8.8M | 10.1M | 10.7M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (1.1M) | 338K | (320K) | 1.3M | 1.1M | 1.2M |
Twin Disc Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Twin Disc or Machinery sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Twin Disc's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Twin stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.13 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.16 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.20 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Twin Disc Volatility Alert
Twin Disc Incorporated shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Twin Disc's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Twin Disc's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Twin Disc Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Twin Disc's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Twin Disc's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Twin Disc and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Twin Disc or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Twin Disc's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Twin Disc by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Twin Disc to competition |
| Fundamentals | Twin Disc | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.13 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0184 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.06 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.02 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 256.89 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 14.42 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 22.12 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 65.52 % | 39.21 % |
| Price To Earning | 7.92 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.40 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.62 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 340.74 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 97.03 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 25.32 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (1.89 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 15.76 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 1.20 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 3 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 33.50 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 3.00 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 10.78 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 23.98 M | 971.22 M |
| Earnings Per Share | 1.28 X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 15.0 | |
| Number Of Employees | 980 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.68 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 216.32 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 355.56 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 125.41 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 121.12 M | 1.48 B |
| Annual Yield | 0.01 % | |
| Five Year Return | 3.47 % | |
| Net Asset | 355.56 M |
Twin Disc Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Twin . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.0067 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (1.00) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 14.95 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 14.97 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 0.1 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.10) |
About Twin Disc Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Twin Disc Incorporated? Buying financial instruments such as Twin Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Twin Disc in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Convertibles Funds Thematic Idea Now
Convertibles Funds
Funds or Etfs that invest in debt that is expected to be converted into a predetermined amount of the company equity at some future date. The Convertibles Funds theme has 25 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Convertibles Funds Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Twin Disc Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.