Universal Health Services Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

UHS Stock  USD 199.21  1.27  0.64%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Universal Health Services is 'Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Universal Health Services given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Universal Health. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Universal Health Services, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Universal Health Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Universal and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Universal Health Services. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in rate.

Execute Universal Health Buy or Sell Advice

The Universal recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Universal Health Services. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Universal Health Services or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Universal Health's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Universal HealthBuy Universal Health
Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Universal Health Services has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.07), Jensen Alpha of (0.26), Total Risk Alpha of (0.53) and Treynor Ratio of (0.53)
Macroaxis provides recommendation on Universal Health Services to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Universal Health Services. Our trade recommendation engine determines the firm's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Universal Health Services is not overpriced, please validate all Universal Health fundamentals, including its price to sales, short ratio, annual yield, as well as the relationship between the cash per share and market capitalization . Given that Universal Health Services has a price to earning of 13.68 X, we advise you to double-check Universal Health Services market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Universal Health Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Universal Health generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 94.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from zacks.com: Acadia Healthcare Stock Closer to 52-Week Low A Buying Opportunity

Universal Health Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Universal Health's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Universal Health's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Universal Health daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Universal Health Services price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Universal Health returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Universal Health.
Mean Return
-0.2
Value At Risk
-4.07
Potential Upside
2.22
Standard Deviation
2.04
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Universal Health historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Universal Stock Institutional Investors

The Universal Health's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Universal Health's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
Shares
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2024-06-30
1.2 M
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2024-09-30
1.2 M
Arrowstreet Capital Limited Partnership2024-06-30
1.1 M
Millennium Management Llc2024-06-30
951.9 K
Lsv Asset Management2024-09-30
876.8 K
Glenview Capital Management Llc2024-09-30
733.3 K
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-09-30
603.7 K
American Century Companies Inc2024-09-30
596.2 K
Northern Trust Corp2024-09-30
554.2 K
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
7.2 M
Arnhold & S. Bleichroeder Advisers, Llc2024-09-30
4.6 M
Note, although Universal Health's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Universal Health Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash(94.0M)1.2B(1.1B)21.9M16.6M17.5M
Free Cash Flow775.0M1.6B28.0M262.0M524.7M551.0M
Depreciation490.4M510.5M533.2M581.9M568.0M596.4M
Other Non Cash Items(97.8M)(113.1M)(790.3M)(83.8M)(122.8M)(116.7M)
Dividends Paid53.0M17.3M65.9M58.4M55.5M34.3M
Capital Expenditures663.5M734.2M855.7M734.0M743.1M434.0M
Net Income827.5M952.8M987.6M657.0M717.8M374.6M
End Period Cash Flow105.7M1.3B178.9M200.8M119.4M85.8M
Change To Netincome167.1M65.8M99.7M124.9M143.6M150.8M
Change Receivables(46.7M)(41.8M)(155.9M)(3.9M)(3.5M)(3.7M)
Net Borrowings(17.9M)(171.3M)217.1M616.0M708.3M743.8M
Investments(34.3M)(24.4M)1.4M(647.3M)(763.3M)(725.1M)

Universal Health Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Universal Health or Health Care Providers & Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Universal Health's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Universal stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.26
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.40
σ
Overall volatility
2.07
Ir
Information ratio -0.16

Universal Health Volatility Alert

Universal Health Services exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -1.73 and kurtosis of 7.15. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Universal Health's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Universal Health's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Universal Health Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Universal Health's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Universal Health's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Universal Health and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Universal Health or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Universal Health's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Universal Health by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Universal Health to competition
FundamentalsUniversal HealthPeer Average
Return On Equity0.16-0.31
Return On Asset0.0682-0.14
Profit Margin0.07 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.1 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation18.06 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding58.71 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders4.25 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions94.19 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted1.23 M4.71 M
Price To Earning13.68 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.98 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.85 X11.42 X
Revenue14.28 B9.43 B
Gross Profit5.16 B27.38 B
EBITDA1.74 B3.9 B
Net Income717.79 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents102.82 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share1.04 X5.01 X
Total Debt5.37 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.87 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.27 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share100.14 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations1.27 B971.22 M
Short Ratio1.38 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share15.02 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth1.87 X4.89 X
Target Price246.08
Number Of Employees96.7 K18.84 K
Beta1.3-0.15
Market Capitalization13.06 B19.03 B
Total Asset13.97 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings6.8 B9.33 B
Working Capital798 M1.48 B
Note: Acquisition by Maria Singer of 1097 shares of Universal Health subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Universal Health Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Universal . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Universal Health Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Universal Health Services? Buying financial instruments such as Universal Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Universal Health in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Hybrid Mix Funds
Hybrid Mix Funds Theme
Funds or Etfs that are made of portfolios of stocks, bonds, or cash instruments with different maturity horizons and characteristics. The Hybrid Mix Funds theme has 42 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Hybrid Mix Funds Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Universal Stock Analysis

When running Universal Health's price analysis, check to measure Universal Health's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Universal Health is operating at the current time. Most of Universal Health's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Universal Health's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Universal Health's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Universal Health to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.