Valneva Se Adr Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| VALN Stock | USD 4.43 0.01 0.23% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your bold attitude towards risk, our recommendation regarding Valneva SE ADR is 'Strong Sell'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Valneva SE's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out Valneva SE Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Valneva and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Valneva SE ADR. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis.
Valneva |
Execute Valneva SE Buy or Sell Advice
The Valneva recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Valneva SE ADR. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Valneva SE ADR or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Valneva SE's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Somewhat reliable | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | High | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Barely shadows the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Frail | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Valneva SE Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Valneva SE ADR generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Valneva SE ADR has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 153.71 M. Net Loss for the year was (101.43 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (68.06 M). | |
| Valneva SE ADR currently holds about 336.22 M in cash with (202.74 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 5.74, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Valneva SE ADR has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from benzinga.com: European And US Vaccine Stocks Are Under Pressure - Heres WHy |
Valneva SE Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Valneva SE's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Valneva SE's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Valneva SE daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Valneva SE ADR price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Valneva SE returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Valneva SE.
| Mean Return | -0.79 | Value At Risk | -5.35 | Potential Upside | 3.20 | Standard Deviation | 2.52 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Valneva SE historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Valneva Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Valneva SE, soars without any apparent reason. This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Valneva SE ADR back and forth among themselves. Companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in this term and can influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Activest Wealth Management | 2024-06-30 | 1.0 | Federation Des Caisses Desjardins Du Quebec | 2024-06-30 | 0.0 | Ubs Group Ag | 2024-06-30 | 0.0 | General American Investors Co Inc | 2024-09-30 | 354.4 K | Wells Fargo & Co | 2024-06-30 | 183.1 K | Alphacentric Advisors, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 118 K | Ironwood Investment Management Llc | 2024-09-30 | 25 K | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2024-06-30 | 4 K | Ridgewood Investments Llc | 2024-09-30 | 550 | Alphamark Advisors, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 150 | Advisor Group Holdings, Inc. | 2024-06-30 | 150 |
Valneva SE Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | (12.6M) | 140.0M | 142.3M | (57.2M) | (160.5M) | (152.4M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | (5.4M) | 118.3M | (16.3M) | (274.7M) | (217.1M) | (206.2M) | |
| Depreciation | 8.6M | 9.8M | 14.3M | 21.0M | 17.6M | 18.5M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (1.8M) | 20.7M | 82.0M | 33.1M | 18.3M | 11.8M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 10.9M | 19.5M | 93.2M | 29.3M | 14.3M | 12.3M | |
| Net Income | (1.7M) | (64.4M) | (73.4M) | (143.3M) | (101.4M) | (96.4M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 64.4M | 204.4M | 346.7M | 289.4M | 126.1M | 81.0M | |
| Change To Inventory | (2.4M) | (4.2M) | (92.4M) | 84.2M | (9.2M) | (8.7M) | |
| Investments | (10.7M) | (19.3M) | (93.1M) | (29.1M) | (10.8M) | (11.4M) | |
| Net Borrowings | (14.2M) | (2.6M) | 26.2M | (3.9M) | (4.5M) | (4.3M) | |
| Change To Netincome | 1.8M | 26.1M | 40.6M | 22.9M | 26.3M | 18.8M |
Valneva SE Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Valneva SE or Biotechnology sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Valneva SE's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Valneva stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.8 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.48 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.37 |
Valneva SE Volatility Alert
Valneva SE ADR exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.45 and kurtosis of 0.67. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Valneva SE's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Valneva SE's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Valneva SE Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Valneva SE's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Valneva SE's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Valneva SE and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Valneva SE or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Valneva SE's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Valneva SE by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Valneva SE to competition |
| Fundamentals | Valneva SE | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.0396 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.11 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.05) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0.27) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 395.46 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 81.18 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 1.16 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 48.21 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Book | 1.58 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 2.27 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 153.71 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | (68.06 M) | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | (64.52 M) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (101.43 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 336.22 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 5.74 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 208.82 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 1.43 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.15 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 1.55 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (202.74 M) | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 3.11 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (0.13) X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 15.85 | |
| Number Of Employees | 676 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.02 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 359.65 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 460.06 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (561.2 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 103.96 M | 1.48 B |
| Net Asset | 460.06 M |
Valneva SE Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Valneva . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Valneva SE Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Valneva SE ADR? Buying financial instruments such as Valneva Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Check out Valneva SE Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Valneva SE. If investors know Valneva will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Valneva SE listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.13) | Revenue Per Share 2.3 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.204 | Return On Assets (0.11) | Return On Equity (0.04) |
The market value of Valneva SE ADR is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Valneva that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Valneva SE's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Valneva SE's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Valneva SE's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Valneva SE's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Valneva SE's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Valneva SE is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Valneva SE's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.