Vermilion Energy Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

VET Stock  USD 10.12  0.07  0.69%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Vermilion Energy is 'Cautious Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Vermilion Energy given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Vermilion Energy, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Vermilion Energy Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy Vermilion Stock please use our How to Invest in Vermilion Energy guide.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Vermilion and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Vermilion Energy. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in income.

Execute Vermilion Energy Buy or Sell Advice

The Vermilion recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Vermilion Energy. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Vermilion Energy or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Vermilion Energy's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Vermilion EnergyBuy Vermilion Energy
Cautious Hold

Market Performance

InsignificantDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Vermilion Energy has a Mean Deviation of 1.73, Semi Deviation of 2.08, Standard Deviation of 2.27, Variance of 5.16, Downside Variance of 4.65 and Semi Variance of 4.33
Our advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Vermilion Energy and to analyze the firm potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Vermilion Energy is not overpriced, please validate all Vermilion Energy fundamentals, including its book value per share, and the relationship between the net income and number of employees . Given that Vermilion Energy has a price to earning of 3.53 X, we advise you to double-check Vermilion Energy market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Vermilion Energy Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Vermilion Energy has 947.02 M in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.51, which is OK given its current industry classification. Vermilion Energy has a current ratio of 0.6, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Vermilion to invest in growth at high rates of return.
The entity reported the last year's revenue of 2.2 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (237.59 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 2.6 B.
On 15th of January 2025 Vermilion Energy paid $ 0.0862 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Vermilion Energy Stock Passes Above Two Hundred Day Moving Average - Time to Sell - MarketBeat

Vermilion Energy Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Vermilion Energy's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Vermilion Energy's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Vermilion Energy daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Vermilion Energy price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Vermilion Energy returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Vermilion Energy.
Mean Return
0.04
Value At Risk
-3.64
Potential Upside
4.47
Standard Deviation
2.27
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Vermilion Energy historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Vermilion Stock Institutional Investors

The Vermilion Energy's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Vermilion Energy's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
Shares
Two Sigma Advisers, Llc2024-09-30
M
Ubs Group Ag2024-09-30
979.6 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-09-30
976.5 K
Td Waterhouse Canada Inc2024-09-30
947.7 K
Grantham, Mayo, Van Otterloo & Co., Llc2024-09-30
879.6 K
Jupiter Asset Management Limited2024-09-30
701.5 K
Citadel Advisors Llc2024-09-30
701.5 K
Voloridge Investment Management, Llc2024-09-30
676.1 K
Alberta Investment Management Corp2024-09-30
637.5 K
Millennium Management Llc2024-09-30
6.4 M
Ameriprise Financial Inc2024-09-30
6.2 M
Note, although Vermilion Energy's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Vermilion Energy Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change In Cash(22.1M)(876K)7.8M127.6M114.9M120.6M
Free Cash Flow133.0M459.7M1.3B434.3M499.5M524.5M
Depreciation2.3B(484.9M)577.1M1.9B2.2B2.3B
Other Non Cash Items21.9M(1.4M)(625.9M)(418.3M)(376.4M)(357.6M)
Capital Expenditures367.2M374.8M551.8M590.2M678.7M712.7M
Net Income(1.5B)1.1B1.3B(237.6M)(273.2M)(259.6M)
End Period Cash Flow6.9M6.0M13.8M141.5M162.7M170.8M
Investments(401.4M)(469.7M)(1.1B)(576.4M)(518.8M)(492.9M)
Net Borrowings188.5M(2.9M)(363.4M)(644.0M)(579.6M)(550.6M)
Dividends Paid391.5M117.7M32.7M62.1M71.4M67.8M
Change To Netincome148.0M1.4B430.0M(158.9M)(182.8M)(173.6M)

Vermilion Energy Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Vermilion Energy or Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Vermilion Energy's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Vermilion stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.38
σ
Overall volatility
2.27
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Vermilion Energy Volatility Alert

Vermilion Energy currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.01 and Jensen Alpha of 0.03. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Vermilion Energy's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Vermilion Energy's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Vermilion Energy Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Vermilion Energy's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Vermilion Energy's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Vermilion Energy and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Vermilion Energy or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Vermilion Energy's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Vermilion Energy by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Vermilion Energy to competition
FundamentalsVermilion EnergyPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.25-0.31
Return On Asset-0.0563-0.14
Profit Margin(0.46) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.23 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation2.18 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding155.1 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.10 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions46.31 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted2.69 M4.71 M
Price To Earning3.53 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.80 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.87 X11.42 X
Revenue2.2 B9.43 B
Gross Profit2.6 B27.38 B
EBITDA519.55 M3.9 B
Net Income(237.59 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents7.81 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.05 X5.01 X
Total Debt947.02 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.51 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.61 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share18.53 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations1.02 B971.22 M
Short Ratio3.64 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(3.65) X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth3.58 X4.89 X
Target Price13.3
Number Of Employees74018.84 K
Beta2.58-0.15
Market Capitalization1.46 B19.03 B
Total Asset6.24 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(1.26 B)9.33 B
Working Capital127.44 M1.48 B

Vermilion Energy Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Vermilion . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Vermilion Energy Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Vermilion Energy? Buying financial instruments such as Vermilion Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Additional Tools for Vermilion Stock Analysis

When running Vermilion Energy's price analysis, check to measure Vermilion Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vermilion Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Vermilion Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vermilion Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vermilion Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vermilion Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.