Valley National Bancorp Preferred Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

VLYPO Preferred Stock  USD 25.30  0.04  0.16%   
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Valley National Bancorp is 'Strong Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Valley National's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out Valley National Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Valley and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Valley National Bancorp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey.

Execute Valley National Buy or Sell Advice

The Valley recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Valley National Bancorp. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Valley National Bancorp or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Valley National's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Valley NationalBuy Valley National
Strong Hold

Market Performance

ModestDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Barely shadows the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

UnavailableDetails
For the selected time horizon Valley National Bancorp has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0881, Jensen Alpha of 0.0673, Total Risk Alpha of (0.04), Sortino Ratio of (0.06) and Treynor Ratio of 3.63
Our trade recommendation module complements current analysts and expert consensus on Valley National Bancorp. It analyzes the company potential to grow using all fundamental, technical, and market related data available at the time. To make sure Valley National Bancorp is not overpriced, please validate all Valley National fundamentals, including its ebitda, as well as the relationship between the cash flow from operations and total asset . Given that Valley National Bancorp has a number of shares shorted of 3.89 K, we advise you to double-check Valley National Bancorp market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Valley National Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Valley National's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Valley National's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Valley National daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Valley National Bancorp price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Valley National returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Valley National.
Mean Return
0.08
Value At Risk
-1.15
Potential Upside
1.26
Standard Deviation
0.68
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Valley National historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Valley National Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Valley National or Financial Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Valley National's price will be affected by overall preferred stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Valley preferred stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.02
σ
Overall volatility
0.69
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Valley National Volatility Alert

Valley National Bancorp has low volatility with Treynor Ratio of 3.63, Maximum Drawdown of 3.28 and kurtosis of 0.57. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Valley National's preferred stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Valley National's preferred stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Valley National Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Valley National's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Valley National's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Valley National and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Valley National or determine the preferred stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Valley National's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Valley National by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Valley National to competition
FundamentalsValley NationalPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0991-0.31
Return On Asset0.0113-0.14
Profit Margin0.32 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.47 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation11.59 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding331.49 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Institutions24.96 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted3.89 K4.71 M
Price To Earning25.58 X28.72 X
Price To Sales2.07 X11.42 X
Revenue1.86 B9.43 B
Gross Profit1.79 B27.38 B
EBITDA841.83 M3.9 B
Net Income568.85 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents1.39 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share2.74 X5.01 X
Total Debt1.6 B5.32 B
Book Value Per Share12.23 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations837.14 M971.22 M
Short Ratio0.40 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share1.11 X3.12 X
Number Of Employees3218.84 K
Beta1.12-0.15
Market Capitalization3.38 B19.03 B
Total Asset57.46 B29.47 B
Z Score1.28.72
Annual Yield0.07 %
Five Year Return5.10 %
Net Asset57.46 B
Last Dividend Paid0.44

Valley National Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Valley . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Valley National Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Valley National Bancorp? Buying financial instruments such as Valley Preferred Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Other Information on Investing in Valley Preferred Stock

Valley National financial ratios help investors to determine whether Valley Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Valley with respect to the benefits of owning Valley National security.