Vanda Pharmaceuticals Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| VNDA Stock | USD 5.19 0.21 4.22% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Vanda Pharmaceuticals is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Vanda Pharmaceuticals buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding VNDA positions.
Check out Vanda Pharmaceuticals Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For information on how to trade Vanda Stock refer to our How to Trade Vanda Stock guide. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Vanda and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Vanda Pharmaceuticals. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in unemployment.
Vanda |
Execute Vanda Pharmaceuticals Buy or Sell Advice
The Vanda recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Vanda Pharmaceuticals. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Vanda Pharmaceuticals or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Vanda Pharmaceuticals' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Slightly risky | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Fairly Valued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Small | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Almost mirrors the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Strong | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Possible Manipulator | Details |
Vanda Pharmaceuticals Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Vanda Pharmaceuticals is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Vanda Pharmaceuticals has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 77.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Stephen Ray Mitchell Sells 5,000 Shares of Vanda Pharmaceuticals Inc. Stock |
Vanda Pharmaceuticals Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Vanda Pharmaceuticals' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Vanda Pharmaceuticals' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Vanda Pharmaceuticals daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Vanda Pharmaceuticals price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Vanda Pharmaceuticals returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Vanda Pharmaceuticals.
| Mean Return | -0.01 | Value At Risk | -3.67 | Potential Upside | 4.22 | Standard Deviation | 2.63 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Vanda Pharmaceuticals historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Vanda Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Prudential Financial Inc | 2024-09-30 | 776.8 K | Connor Clark & Lunn Inv Mgmt Ltd | 2024-06-30 | 725.4 K | Federated Hermes Inc | 2024-09-30 | 716.8 K | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2024-09-30 | 596.2 K | D. E. Shaw & Co Lp | 2024-09-30 | 559.8 K | Nuveen Asset Management, Llc | 2024-06-30 | 526.8 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2024-09-30 | 501.2 K | Bridgeway Capital Management, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 419.5 K | Krensavage Asset Management, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 414.7 K | Blackrock Inc | 2024-06-30 | 8.1 M | Renaissance Technologies Corp | 2024-09-30 | 4 M |
Vanda Pharmaceuticals Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | (16.1M) | 16.0M | (9.0M) | 82.9M | 792K | 752.4K | |
| Free Cash Flow | 44.9M | 50.0M | 63.7M | 31.3M | 12.4M | 13.0M | |
| Depreciation | 2.9M | 2.9M | 2.8M | 2.7M | 3.0M | 3.3M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (1.3M) | 1.7M | 3.4M | (507K) | (4.7M) | (4.5M) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 1.0M | 1.8M | 552K | 679K | 383K | 363.9K | |
| Net Income | 115.6M | 23.3M | 33.2M | 6.3M | 2.5M | 2.6M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 45.7M | 61.6M | 52.6M | 135.5M | 136.3M | 72.5M | |
| Change To Inventory | (722K) | (2.9M) | (2.2M) | (4.5M) | (771K) | (809.6K) | |
| Change To Netincome | (72.5M) | 21.3M | 23.8M | 19.9M | 22.8M | 24.0M | |
| Investments | (67.3M) | (39.7M) | (76.1M) | 50.6M | 107.2M | 112.5M | |
| Change Receivables | 2.3M | (3.8M) | (2.5M) | (1.1M) | (980.1K) | (1.0M) |
Vanda Pharmaceuticals Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Vanda Pharmaceuticals or Biotechnology sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Vanda Pharmaceuticals' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Vanda stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.13 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.95 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.65 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Vanda Pharmaceuticals Volatility Alert
Vanda Pharmaceuticals exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.3 and kurtosis of 0.96. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Vanda Pharmaceuticals' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Vanda Pharmaceuticals' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Vanda Pharmaceuticals Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Vanda Pharmaceuticals' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Vanda Pharmaceuticals' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Vanda Pharmaceuticals and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Vanda Pharmaceuticals or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Vanda Pharmaceuticals' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Vanda Pharmaceuticals by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Vanda Pharmaceuticals to competition |
| Fundamentals | Vanda Pharmaceuticals | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.0302 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.0364 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.09) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0.23) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | (77.95 M) | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 58.31 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 3.15 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 76.98 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 3.22 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 24.83 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 0.54 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 1.59 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 192.64 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 230.1 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | (13.95 M) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 2.51 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 440.86 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 7.79 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 9.4 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.02 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 5.62 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 9.28 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 12.8 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 5.23 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (0.19) X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | (2.42) X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 10.43 | |
| Number Of Employees | 203 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.77 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 314.86 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 648.44 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (155.39 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 345.25 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Disposition of 8000 shares by Timothy Williams of Vanda Pharmaceuticals at 7.0087 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Vanda Pharmaceuticals Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Vanda . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Vanda Pharmaceuticals Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Vanda Pharmaceuticals? Buying financial instruments such as Vanda Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
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Check out Vanda Pharmaceuticals Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For information on how to trade Vanda Stock refer to our How to Trade Vanda Stock guide.You can also try the Analyst Advice module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Vanda Pharmaceuticals. If investors know Vanda will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Vanda Pharmaceuticals listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.96) | Earnings Share (0.19) | Revenue Per Share 3.293 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.228 | Return On Assets (0.04) |
The market value of Vanda Pharmaceuticals is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Vanda that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Vanda Pharmaceuticals' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Vanda Pharmaceuticals' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Vanda Pharmaceuticals' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Vanda Pharmaceuticals' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Vanda Pharmaceuticals' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vanda Pharmaceuticals is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vanda Pharmaceuticals' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.