Vanda Pharmaceuticals Stock Forward View - Accumulation Distribution

VNDA Stock  USD 7.74  0.20  2.65%   
Vanda Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Vanda Pharmaceuticals stock prices and determine the direction of Vanda Pharmaceuticals's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Vanda Pharmaceuticals' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time, The RSI of Vanda Pharmaceuticals' share price is at 57. This entails that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Vanda Pharmaceuticals, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 57

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Vanda Pharmaceuticals' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Vanda Pharmaceuticals, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Vanda Pharmaceuticals' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.96)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
(0.39)
EPS Estimate Current Year
(2.67)
EPS Estimate Next Year
(1.45)
Wall Street Target Price
13.625
Using Vanda Pharmaceuticals hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Vanda Pharmaceuticals from the perspective of Vanda Pharmaceuticals response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Vanda Pharmaceuticals using Vanda Pharmaceuticals' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Vanda using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Vanda Pharmaceuticals' stock price.

Vanda Pharmaceuticals Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Vanda Pharmaceuticals' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Vanda. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Vanda Pharmaceuticals stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
5.163
Short Percent
0.0506
Short Ratio
1.01
Shares Short Prior Month
2.3 M
50 Day MA
6.7628

Vanda Relative Strength Index

Vanda Pharmaceuticals Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Vanda Pharmaceuticals' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Vanda. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Vanda can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Vanda Pharmaceuticals. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Vanda Pharmaceuticals' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Vanda Pharmaceuticals.

Vanda Pharmaceuticals Implied Volatility

    
  1.68  
Vanda Pharmaceuticals' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Vanda Pharmaceuticals stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Vanda Pharmaceuticals' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Vanda Pharmaceuticals stock will not fluctuate a lot when Vanda Pharmaceuticals' options are near their expiration.

Vanda Pharmaceuticals after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 8.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Vanda Pharmaceuticals to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Vanda Stock refer to our How to Trade Vanda Stock guide.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Vanda contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Vanda Pharmaceuticals will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.11% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Vanda Pharmaceuticals trading at USD 7.74, that is roughly USD 0.008127 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Vanda Pharmaceuticals' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Vanda Pharmaceuticals options at the current volatility level of 1.68%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Vanda Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Vanda Pharmaceuticals' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Vanda Pharmaceuticals' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Vanda Pharmaceuticals stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Vanda Pharmaceuticals' open interest, investors have to compare it to Vanda Pharmaceuticals' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Vanda Pharmaceuticals is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Vanda. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Vanda Pharmaceuticals Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Vanda price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Vanda using various technical indicators. When you analyze Vanda charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Vanda Pharmaceuticals has current Accumulation Distribution of 49280.15. The accumulation distribution (A/D) indicator shows the degree to which Vanda Pharmaceuticals is accumulated by the market over a given period. It uses the quote sensitivity to the highest or lowest daily price of Vanda Pharmaceuticals to determine if accumulation or reduction is taking place in the market. This value is adjusted by Vanda Pharmaceuticals trading volume to give more weight to distributions with higher volume over lower volume.
Check Vanda Pharmaceuticals VolatilityBacktest Vanda PharmaceuticalsInformation Ratio  

Vanda Pharmaceuticals Trading Date Momentum

On February 02 2026 Vanda Pharmaceuticals was traded for  7.74  at the closing time. The top price for the day was 7.96  and the lowest listed price was  7.55 . The trading volume for the day was 956.8 K. The trading history from February 2, 2026 did not result in any price rise and fall. The trading price change against the current closing price is 2.07% .
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
Compare Vanda Pharmaceuticals to competition

Other Forecasting Options for Vanda Pharmaceuticals

For every potential investor in Vanda, whether a beginner or expert, Vanda Pharmaceuticals' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Vanda Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Vanda. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Vanda Pharmaceuticals' price trends.

Vanda Pharmaceuticals Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Vanda Pharmaceuticals stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Vanda Pharmaceuticals could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Vanda Pharmaceuticals by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Vanda Pharmaceuticals Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Vanda Pharmaceuticals stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Vanda Pharmaceuticals shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Vanda Pharmaceuticals stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Vanda Pharmaceuticals entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Vanda Pharmaceuticals Risk Indicators

The analysis of Vanda Pharmaceuticals' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Vanda Pharmaceuticals' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting vanda stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Vanda Pharmaceuticals

The number of cover stories for Vanda Pharmaceuticals depends on current market conditions and Vanda Pharmaceuticals' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Vanda Pharmaceuticals is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Vanda Pharmaceuticals' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Vanda Pharmaceuticals Short Properties

Vanda Pharmaceuticals' future price predictability will typically decrease when Vanda Pharmaceuticals' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Vanda Pharmaceuticals often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Vanda Pharmaceuticals' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vanda Pharmaceuticals' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding58.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments374.6 M
When determining whether Vanda Pharmaceuticals offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Vanda Pharmaceuticals' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Vanda Pharmaceuticals Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Vanda Pharmaceuticals Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Vanda Pharmaceuticals to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Vanda Stock refer to our How to Trade Vanda Stock guide.
You can also try the Commodity Directory module to find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Vanda Pharmaceuticals. If investors know Vanda will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Vanda Pharmaceuticals assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.96)
Earnings Share
(1.44)
Revenue Per Share
3.611
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.181
Return On Assets
(0.12)
Understanding Vanda Pharmaceuticals requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Vanda's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Vanda Pharmaceuticals' is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Vanda Pharmaceuticals' price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Vanda Pharmaceuticals' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vanda Pharmaceuticals is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, Vanda Pharmaceuticals' trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.