Ypf Sociedad Anonima Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

YPF Stock  USD 40.03  2.56  6.83%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your way above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding YPF Sociedad Anonima is 'Strong Buy'. Macroaxis provides YPF Sociedad buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding YPF positions.
  
Check out YPF Sociedad Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as YPF and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. YPF Sociedad Anonima. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey.

Execute YPF Sociedad Buy or Sell Advice

The YPF recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on YPF Sociedad Anonima. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in YPF Sociedad Anonima or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute YPF Sociedad's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell YPF SociedadBuy YPF Sociedad
Strong Buy

Market Performance

Very StrongDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost mirrors the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon YPF Sociedad Anonima has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.3215, Jensen Alpha of 0.9161, Total Risk Alpha of 0.6285, Sortino Ratio of 0.5439 and Treynor Ratio of 1.12
YPF Sociedad Anonima trade recommendation module can be used to check and cross-verify current trade advice provided by analysts reviewing the company's potential to grow using all of fundamental, technical, data market data available now. To make sure YPF Sociedad Anonima is not overpriced, please check out all YPF Sociedad Anonima fundamentals, including its current ratio, total asset, and the relationship between the net income and price to earnings to growth . Given that YPF Sociedad Anonima has a price to book of 1.32 X, we strongly advise you to confirm YPF Sociedad Anonima market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself next year given your prevalent risk tolerance and investing horizon.

YPF Sociedad Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

The company reported the last year's revenue of 17 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (1.56 T) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 650.78 B.
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: YPF SA Shares Up 3.62 percent on Nov 22

YPF Sociedad Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of YPF Sociedad's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of YPF Sociedad's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of YPF Sociedad daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use YPF Sociedad Anonima price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of YPF Sociedad returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for YPF Sociedad.
Mean Return
1.04
Value At Risk
-2.51
Potential Upside
5.61
Standard Deviation
2.53
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of YPF Sociedad historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

YPF Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Voloridge Investment Management, Llc2024-09-30
1.1 M
Mirae Asset Global Etfs Holdings Ltd.2024-06-30
1.1 M
Oaktree Capital Management Llc2024-06-30
954.7 K
Marshall Wace Asset Management Ltd2024-06-30
947.3 K
Millennium Management Llc2024-06-30
816.5 K
North Of South Capital Llp2024-06-30
789.5 K
Two Sigma Investments Llc2024-09-30
787.9 K
Discovery Capital Management Llc2024-09-30
745.4 K
Driehaus Capital Management Llc2024-06-30
641.8 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-06-30
M
Tt International Asset Management Ltd2024-09-30
5.1 M
Note, although YPF Sociedad's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

YPF Sociedad Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory6.7B13.3B(27.6B)(20.0B)44M46.2M
Change In Cash20.1B(11.5B)8.1B74.2B350M332.5M
Free Cash Flow55.7B94.6B165.2B204.5B240M228M
Depreciation158.8B192.8B291.7B372.6B988.6B1.0T
Other Non Cash Items53.1B24.1B95.4B(36.4B)2.5T2.7T
Capital Expenditures161.5B114.6B234.8B532.1B5.7B5.4B
Net Income(33.4B)(71.0B)(808M)290.3B(1.6T)(1.5T)
End Period Cash Flow66.1B54.6B62.7B136.9B1.1B1.1B
Change To Netincome80.6B37.8B159.1B74.8B86.0B90.3B
Investments(163.9B)(109.2B)(17.4B)(523.0B)(5.3B)(5.6B)
Net Borrowings(11.3B)(59.2B)(92.1B)(78.5B)(70.7B)(67.1B)

YPF Sociedad Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to YPF Sociedad or Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that YPF Sociedad's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a YPF stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.92
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.92
σ
Overall volatility
2.57
Ir
Information ratio 0.36

YPF Sociedad Volatility Alert

YPF Sociedad Anonima has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.52 and kurtosis of -0.05. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure YPF Sociedad's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact YPF Sociedad's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

YPF Sociedad Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing YPF Sociedad's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze YPF Sociedad's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between YPF Sociedad and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as YPF Sociedad or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of YPF Sociedad's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing YPF Sociedad by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare YPF Sociedad to competition
FundamentalsYPF SociedadPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.11-0.31
Return On Asset0.0445-0.14
Profit Margin(0.06) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.11 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation23.84 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding393.31 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Institutions49.12 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted7.59 M4.71 M
Price To Earning2.10 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.32 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0 X11.42 X
Revenue17 B9.43 B
Gross Profit650.78 B27.38 B
EBITDA4.17 B3.9 B
Net Income(1.56 T)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents11.94 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share499.52 X5.01 X
Total Debt8.86 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.74 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.04 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share24,118 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations1.77 T971.22 M
Short Ratio4.55 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share1.98 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth(0.17) X4.89 X
Target Price29.56
Number Of Employees21.59 K18.84 K
Beta1.47-0.15
Market Capitalization13.64 B19.03 B
Total Asset25.04 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings4.45 B9.33 B
Working Capital(486 M)1.48 B
Current Asset76.97 B9.34 B

YPF Sociedad Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as YPF . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About YPF Sociedad Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell YPF Sociedad Anonima? Buying financial instruments such as YPF Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having YPF Sociedad in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Artificial Intelligence
Artificial Intelligence Theme
Technology companies, funds, and ETFs across multiple industries that are involved in research or development in the field of reasoning, learning, natural language processing and perception as well as its application to science and commerce. This theme may also include entities involved in cybernetics and cognitive brain simulation field. The Artificial Intelligence theme has 42 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Artificial Intelligence Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether YPF Sociedad Anonima is a strong investment it is important to analyze YPF Sociedad's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact YPF Sociedad's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding YPF Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out YPF Sociedad Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.
Is Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of YPF Sociedad. If investors know YPF will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about YPF Sociedad listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
5.198
Earnings Share
1.98
Revenue Per Share
29.6 K
Quarterly Revenue Growth
3.234
Return On Assets
0.0445
The market value of YPF Sociedad Anonima is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of YPF that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of YPF Sociedad's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is YPF Sociedad's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because YPF Sociedad's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect YPF Sociedad's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between YPF Sociedad's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if YPF Sociedad is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, YPF Sociedad's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.