YPF Sociedad Stock Forward View - Accumulation Distribution

YPF Stock  USD 39.79  0.02  0.05%   
YPF Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of YPF Sociedad's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength index (RSI) of YPF Sociedad's stock price is roughly 63. This entails that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of 31st of January 2026. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling YPF, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 48

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of YPF Sociedad's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of YPF Sociedad and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from YPF Sociedad's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with YPF Sociedad Anonima, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting YPF Sociedad's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.86)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.6004
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.1359
EPS Estimate Next Year
3.423
Wall Street Target Price
47.6167
Using YPF Sociedad hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of YPF Sociedad Anonima from the perspective of YPF Sociedad response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards YPF Sociedad using YPF Sociedad's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards YPF using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of YPF Sociedad's stock price.

YPF Sociedad Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in YPF Sociedad's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards YPF. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of YPF Sociedad stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
32.7741
Short Percent
168.445
Short Ratio
6.63
Shares Short Prior Month
8.8 M
50 Day MA
35.8796

YPF Relative Strength Index

YPF Sociedad Anonima Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to YPF Sociedad's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in YPF. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding YPF can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around YPF Sociedad Anonima. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of YPF Sociedad's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about YPF Sociedad.

YPF Sociedad Implied Volatility

    
  0.67  
YPF Sociedad's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of YPF Sociedad Anonima stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if YPF Sociedad's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that YPF Sociedad stock will not fluctuate a lot when YPF Sociedad's options are near their expiration.

YPF Sociedad after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 39.91  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of YPF Sociedad to cross-verify your projections.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current YPF contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that YPF Sociedad Anonima will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0419% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With YPF Sociedad trading at USD 39.79, that is roughly USD 0.0167 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating YPF Sociedad's daily price movement you should consider acquiring YPF Sociedad Anonima options at the current volatility level of 0.67%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 YPF Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast YPF Sociedad's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in YPF Sociedad's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for YPF Sociedad stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current YPF Sociedad's open interest, investors have to compare it to YPF Sociedad's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of YPF Sociedad is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in YPF. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

YPF Sociedad Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine YPF price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for YPF using various technical indicators. When you analyze YPF charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
YPF Sociedad Anonima has current Accumulation Distribution of 0.0399. The accumulation distribution (A/D) indicator shows the degree to which YPF Sociedad is accumulated by the market over a given period. It uses the quote sensitivity to the highest or lowest daily price of YPF Sociedad Anonima to determine if accumulation or reduction is taking place in the market. This value is adjusted by YPF Sociedad trading volume to give more weight to distributions with higher volume over lower volume.
Check YPF Sociedad VolatilityBacktest YPF SociedadInformation Ratio  

YPF Sociedad Trading Date Momentum

On January 31 2026 YPF Sociedad Anonima was traded for  39.79  at the closing time. Highest YPF Sociedad's price during the trading hours was 40.38  and the lowest price during the day was  38.77 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on the 31st of January had no short-term effect on price fluctuation. The trading price change to current price is 1.86% .
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
Compare YPF Sociedad to competition

Other Forecasting Options for YPF Sociedad

For every potential investor in YPF, whether a beginner or expert, YPF Sociedad's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. YPF Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in YPF. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying YPF Sociedad's price trends.

YPF Sociedad Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with YPF Sociedad stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of YPF Sociedad could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing YPF Sociedad by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

YPF Sociedad Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how YPF Sociedad stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading YPF Sociedad shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying YPF Sociedad stock market strength indicators, traders can identify YPF Sociedad Anonima entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

YPF Sociedad Risk Indicators

The analysis of YPF Sociedad's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in YPF Sociedad's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ypf stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for YPF Sociedad

The number of cover stories for YPF Sociedad depends on current market conditions and YPF Sociedad's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that YPF Sociedad is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about YPF Sociedad's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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YPF Sociedad Short Properties

YPF Sociedad's future price predictability will typically decrease when YPF Sociedad's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of YPF Sociedad Anonima often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential YPF Sociedad's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. YPF Sociedad's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding392.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.6 T
When determining whether YPF Sociedad Anonima is a strong investment it is important to analyze YPF Sociedad's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact YPF Sociedad's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding YPF Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of YPF Sociedad to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Content Syndication module to quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal.
Can Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry sustain growth momentum? Does YPF have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of YPF Sociedad. Anticipated expansion of YPF directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating YPF Sociedad demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.86)
Earnings Share
(1.18)
Revenue Per Share
54.7 K
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.253
Return On Assets
0.0288
The market value of YPF Sociedad Anonima is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of YPF that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of YPF Sociedad's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is YPF Sociedad's true underlying value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. Because YPF Sociedad's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect YPF Sociedad's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between YPF Sociedad's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if YPF Sociedad is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, YPF Sociedad's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.