Duolingo Stock Alpha and Beta Analysis
| DUOL Stock | USD 348.00 3.97 1.13% |
This module allows you to check different measures of market premium (i.e., alpha and beta) for all equities such as Duolingo. It also helps investors analyze the systematic and unsystematic risks associated with investing in Duolingo over a specified time horizon. Remember, high Duolingo's alpha is almost always a sign of good performance; however, a high beta will depend on investors' risk tolerance level and may signal increased volatility and potential future overvaluation. Key technical indicators related to Duolingo's market risk premium analysis include:
Beta 1.24 | Alpha 0.66 | Risk 2.29 | Sharpe Ratio 0.39 | Expected Return 0.89 |
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Alpha is a measure of relative performance on a risk-adjusted basis, while beta measures volatility against the benchmark. The goal is to know if an investor is being compensated for the volatility risk taken. The return on investment might be better than its reference but still not compensate for the assumption of the risk.
Duolingo |
Duolingo Market Premiums
Investors always prefer to have the highest possible return on investment, coupled with the lowest possible volatility. Duolingo market risk premium is the additional return an investor will receive from holding Duolingo long position in a well-diversified portfolio. The market premium is part of the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), which most analysts and investors use to calculate the acceptable rate of return on investment in Duolingo. At the center of the CAPM is the concept of risk and reward, which is usually communicated by investors using alpha and beta measures. Alpha and beta are two of the key measurements used to evaluate Duolingo's performance over market.| α | 0.66 | β | 1.24 |
Duolingo expected buy-and-hold returns
Although buy-and-hold investment strategy may not appeal to all investors, it may be used as a good measure of Duolingo's Buy-and-hold return. Our buy-and-hold chart shows how Duolingo performed over your current time horizon against a typical interest-earning bank account and a selected benchmark.Duolingo Market Price Analysis
Market price analysis indicators help investors to evaluate how Duolingo stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Duolingo shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Duolingo stock market price indicators, traders can identify Duolingo position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Duolingo Return and Market Media
The median price of Duolingo for the period between Wed, Aug 28, 2024 and Tue, Nov 26, 2024 is 284.95 with a coefficient of variation of 14.61. The daily time series for the period is distributed with a sample standard deviation of 39.92, arithmetic mean of 273.19, and mean deviation of 32.61. The Stock received substential amount of media coverage during this period. Price Growth (%) |
| Timeline |
1 | Disposition of 4317 shares by Matthew Skaruppa of Duolingo at 207.6732 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 09/04/2024 |
2 | Disposition of 200 shares by Natalie Glance of Duolingo at 210.925 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 09/06/2024 |
3 | Duolingo, Inc. is a Great Momentum Stock Should You Buy | 10/03/2024 |
4 | 2 Artificial Intelligence Stocks That Could Make You a Millionaire | 10/21/2024 |
5 | Duolingo Q3 2024 Earnings Preview | 11/05/2024 |
6 | Compared to Estimates, Duolingo Q3 Earnings A Look at Key Metrics | 11/07/2024 |
7 | Decoding Duolingo Inc A Strategic SWOT Insight | 11/08/2024 |
8 | Duolingo, Inc. Shares Sold by Rakuten Securities Inc. | 11/12/2024 |
9 | FMR LLCs Strategic Acquisition of Duolingo Inc Shares | 11/13/2024 |
10 | What Does a Major Boost in Duolingo Shares Mean for the Market | 11/15/2024 |
11 | Disposition of 226 shares by Matthew Skaruppa of Duolingo at 312.0066 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 11/18/2024 |
12 | Duolingo Inc Shares Up 4.28 percent on Nov 19 | 11/19/2024 |
About Duolingo Beta and Alpha
For many years both, Alpha and Beta indicators are used by professional money managers as critical performance measurement tools across virtually all financial instruments including Duolingo or other stocks. Alpha measures the amount that position in Duolingo has returned in comparison to a selected market index or another relevant benchmark. In other words, Alpha is the excess return on an investment relative to the performance of your selected benchmark. Beta, on the other hand, measures the relative risk of your investment.
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Payables Turnover | 8.85 | 84.48 | 58.07 | 60.98 | Days Of Inventory On Hand | 1.1E-5 | 128.63 | 115.77 | 121.56 |
Duolingo Upcoming Company Events
As portrayed in its financial statements, the presentation of Duolingo's financial position is often influenced by management's estimates, judgments, and sometimes even manipulations. In the best case, Duolingo's leadership is honest, while the outside auditors are strict and uncompromising. Whatever the case, investors should always follow all of Duolingo's public filing events to personally review all filings and be reasonable and skeptical to interpret all of the financial statements of Duolingo. Please utilize our Beneish M Score to check the likelihood of Duolingo's management manipulating its earnings.
| 27th of February 2024 Upcoming Quarterly Report | View | |
| 14th of May 2024 Next Financial Report | View | |
| 31st of December 2023 Next Fiscal Quarter End | View | |
| 27th of February 2024 Next Fiscal Year End | View | |
| 30th of September 2023 Last Quarter Report | View | |
| 31st of December 2022 Last Financial Announcement | View |
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Check out Duolingo Backtesting, Duolingo Valuation, Duolingo Correlation, Duolingo Hype Analysis, Duolingo Volatility, Duolingo History and analyze Duolingo Performance. For more information on how to buy Duolingo Stock please use our How to buy in Duolingo Stock guide.You can also try the Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.
Duolingo technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.