Duolingo Stock Technical Analysis
| DUOL Stock | USD 112.05 2.75 2.52% |
As of the 14th of February 2026, Duolingo shows the Variance of 10.68, mean deviation of 2.47, and Standard Deviation of 3.27. Duolingo technical analysis allows you to utilize historical prices and volume patterns in order to determine a pattern that computes the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm Duolingo variance and potential upside to decide if Duolingo is priced favorably, providing market reflects its regular price of 112.05 per share. Given that Duolingo has information ratio of (0.28), we urge you to verify Duolingo's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.
Duolingo Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Duolingo, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to DuolingoDuolingo's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.Duolingo Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 250.4 | Buy | 23 | Odds |
Most Duolingo analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Duolingo stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Duolingo, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Duolingo conference calls.
Is Diversified Consumer Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Duolingo. Projected growth potential of Duolingo fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Duolingo assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 11.143 | Earnings Share 7.94 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.411 | Return On Assets |
Investors evaluate Duolingo using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Duolingo's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Duolingo's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Duolingo's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Duolingo should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Duolingo's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.
Duolingo 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Duolingo's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Duolingo.
| 11/16/2025 |
| 02/14/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Duolingo on November 16, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Duolingo or generate 0.0% return on investment in Duolingo over 90 days. Duolingo is related to or competes with QXO, ZoomInfo Technologies, Manhattan Associates, Pegasystems, Procore Technologies, Paycom Software, and InterDigital. Duolingo, Inc. develops a language-learning website and mobile app in the United States and China More
Duolingo Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Duolingo's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Duolingo upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.28) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 16.65 | |||
| Value At Risk | (5.75) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.69 |
Duolingo Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Duolingo's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Duolingo's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Duolingo historical prices to predict the future Duolingo's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.20) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.87) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (1.08) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (1.97) |
Duolingo February 14, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.20) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (1.96) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.47 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (393.78) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.27 | |||
| Variance | 10.68 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.28) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.87) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (1.08) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (1.97) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 16.65 | |||
| Value At Risk | (5.75) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.69 | |||
| Skewness | (0.19) | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.6646 |
Duolingo Backtested Returns
Duolingo secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.21, which denotes the company had a -0.21 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Duolingo exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Duolingo's Variance of 10.68, standard deviation of 3.27, and Mean Deviation of 2.47 to check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.43, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Duolingo's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Duolingo is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Duolingo has a negative expected return of -0.7%. Please make sure to confirm Duolingo's potential upside, as well as the relationship between the rate of daily change and period momentum indicator , to decide if Duolingo performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | -0.1 |
Very weak reverse predictability
Duolingo has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Duolingo time series from 16th of November 2025 to 31st of December 2025 and 31st of December 2025 to 14th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Duolingo price movement. The serial correlation of -0.1 indicates that less than 10.0% of current Duolingo price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.1 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.18 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 539.36 |
Duolingo technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Duolingo Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was one with a total number of output elements of sixty. The Normalized Average True Range is used to analyze tradable apportunities for Duolingo across different markets.
About Duolingo Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Duolingo on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Duolingo based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Duolingo price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Duolingo. By analyzing Duolingo's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Duolingo's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Duolingo specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Graham Number | 29.47 | 26.52 | 15.97 | Receivables Turnover | 5.8 | 6.67 | 7.74 |
Duolingo February 14, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Duolingo help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Duolingo from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Duolingo charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.20) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (1.96) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.47 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (393.78) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.27 | |||
| Variance | 10.68 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.28) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.87) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (1.08) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (1.97) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 16.65 | |||
| Value At Risk | (5.75) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.69 | |||
| Skewness | (0.19) | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.6646 |
Duolingo February 14, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Duolingo stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.05 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.49 | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.03 | ||
| Day Median Price | 110.44 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 110.97 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | 2.99 | ||
| Market Facilitation Index | 5.63 |
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Duolingo. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in employment. For more information on how to buy Duolingo Stock please use our How to buy in Duolingo Stock guide.You can also try the Crypto Correlations module to use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins.
Is Diversified Consumer Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Duolingo. Projected growth potential of Duolingo fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Duolingo assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 11.143 | Earnings Share 7.94 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.411 | Return On Assets |
Investors evaluate Duolingo using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Duolingo's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Duolingo's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Duolingo's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Duolingo should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Duolingo's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.