Geo Group Stock Alpha and Beta Analysis

GEO Stock  USD 28.68  0.05  0.17%   
This module allows you to check different measures of market premium (i.e., alpha and beta) for all equities such as Geo Group. It also helps investors analyze the systematic and unsystematic risks associated with investing in Geo over a specified time horizon. Remember, high Geo's alpha is almost always a sign of good performance; however, a high beta will depend on investors' risk tolerance level and may signal increased volatility and potential future overvaluation. Key technical indicators related to Geo's market risk premium analysis include:
Beta
4.75
Alpha
0.69
Risk
6.08
Sharpe Ratio
0.22
Expected Return
1.36
Please note that although Geo alpha is a measure of relative return and represented here as a single number, it indicates the percentage above or below your selected benchmark (i.e., Dow Jones Industrial index.) So in this particular case, Geo did 0.69  better than the index. Remember, a high alpha is always good. Beta, on the other hand, measures the volatility (or risk) of an investment. It is an indication of Geo Group stock's relative risk over its benchmark. Geo Group has a beta of 4.75  . As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Geo will likely underperform. At this time, Geo's Book Value Per Share is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 25th of November 2024, Enterprise Value is likely to grow to about 4.7 B, while Tangible Book Value Per Share is likely to drop 1.91.

Geo Quarterly Cash And Equivalents

141.02 Million

Alpha is a measure of relative performance on a risk-adjusted basis, while beta measures volatility against the benchmark. The goal is to know if an investor is being compensated for the volatility risk taken. The return on investment might be better than its reference but still not compensate for the assumption of the risk.
  
Check out Geo Backtesting, Geo Valuation, Geo Correlation, Geo Hype Analysis, Geo Volatility, Geo History and analyze Geo Performance.

Geo Market Premiums

Investors always prefer to have the highest possible return on investment, coupled with the lowest possible volatility. Geo market risk premium is the additional return an investor will receive from holding Geo long position in a well-diversified portfolio. The market premium is part of the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), which most analysts and investors use to calculate the acceptable rate of return on investment in Geo. At the center of the CAPM is the concept of risk and reward, which is usually communicated by investors using alpha and beta measures. Alpha and beta are two of the key measurements used to evaluate Geo's performance over market.
α0.69   β4.75

Geo expected buy-and-hold returns

Although buy-and-hold investment strategy may not appeal to all investors, it may be used as a good measure of Geo's Buy-and-hold return. Our buy-and-hold chart shows how Geo performed over your current time horizon against a typical interest-earning bank account and a selected benchmark.

Geo Market Price Analysis

Market price analysis indicators help investors to evaluate how Geo stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Geo shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Geo stock market price indicators, traders can identify Geo position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Geo Return and Market Media

The median price of Geo for the period between Tue, Aug 27, 2024 and Mon, Nov 25, 2024 is 13.87 with a coefficient of variation of 31.54. The daily time series for the period is distributed with a sample standard deviation of 5.13, arithmetic mean of 16.28, and mean deviation of 3.92. The Stock received substential amount of media coverage during this period.
 Price Growth (%)  
       Timeline  
1
The GEO Group, Inc. Sees Large Decline in Short Interest - MarketBeat
09/27/2024
2
Analysis-From bitcoin to Mexican peso, Trump trades are appearing again
10/18/2024
3
Geo Group Q3 2024 Earnings Call Transcript
11/07/2024
4
Earnings call The GEO Group reports steady Q3 2024 results, eyes growth
11/08/2024
5
Private prison stocks jump after Trump appoints immigration hardliner as border czar
11/11/2024
6
Northland Securities Forecasts Strong Price Appreciation for The GEO Group Stock
11/12/2024
7
FMR LLC Reduces Stake in The GEO Group Inc
11/13/2024
8
Looking At GEO Groups Recent Unusual Options Activity
11/19/2024
9
Private prison firms contributed more than 1M to Trumps reelection. Now they expect a business boom
11/20/2024
10
Disposition of tradable shares by Christopher Ryan of Geo subject to Rule 16b-3
11/21/2024

About Geo Beta and Alpha

For many years both, Alpha and Beta indicators are used by professional money managers as critical performance measurement tools across virtually all financial instruments including Geo or other stocks. Alpha measures the amount that position in Geo Group has returned in comparison to a selected market index or another relevant benchmark. In other words, Alpha is the excess return on an investment relative to the performance of your selected benchmark. Beta, on the other hand, measures the relative risk of your investment.
 2021 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.03270.02940.0279
Price To Sales Ratio0.410.550.52

Geo Upcoming Company Events

As portrayed in its financial statements, the presentation of Geo's financial position is often influenced by management's estimates, judgments, and sometimes even manipulations. In the best case, Geo's leadership is honest, while the outside auditors are strict and uncompromising. Whatever the case, investors should always follow all of Geo's public filing events to personally review all filings and be reasonable and skeptical to interpret all of the financial statements of Geo. Please utilize our Beneish M Score to check the likelihood of Geo's management manipulating its earnings.
15th of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
23rd of April 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
15th of February 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
View

Build Portfolio with Geo

Your optimized portfolios are the building block of your wealth. We provide an intuitive interface to determine which securities in a portfolio should be removed or rebalanced to achieve better diversification, find the right mix of securities that minimizes portfolio risk for a given return, or maximize portfolio expected return for a given risk level.

Build Diversified Portfolios

Align your risk with return expectations

By capturing your risk tolerance and investment horizon Macroaxis technology of instant portfolio optimization will compute exactly how much risk is acceptable for your desired return expectations
When determining whether Geo Group offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Geo's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Geo Group Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Geo Group Stock:
Check out Geo Backtesting, Geo Valuation, Geo Correlation, Geo Hype Analysis, Geo Volatility, Geo History and analyze Geo Performance.
You can also try the Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.
Geo technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Geo technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Geo trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...