Geo Group Stock Performance
| GEO Stock | USD 17.59 0.10 0.57% |
Geo has a performance score of 2 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 1.27, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Geo will likely underperform. Geo Group right now retains a risk of 2.37%. Please check out Geo downside variance, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and kurtosis , to decide if Geo will be following its current trending patterns.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weak
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Geo Group are ranked lower than 2 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very healthy technical and fundamental indicators, Geo is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price disarray, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return 1.39 | Five Day Return 3.55 | Year To Date Return 9.79 | Ten Year Return (5.12) | All Time Return 1.6 K |
Last Split Factor 3:2 | Dividend Date 2021-02-01 | Ex Dividend Date 2021-01-22 | Last Split Date 2017-04-25 |
1 | Geo Group reports Q3 adjusted EPS 25c, consensus 23c GEO | 11/06/2025 |
2 | Did Eased Credit Terms Just Shift GEO Groups Capital Allocation and Growth Outlook | 11/25/2025 |
3 | Acquisition by J Donahue of 37500 shares of Geo subject to Rule 16b-3 | 11/28/2025 |
4 | Earned Media Still Drives Generative AI Citations as Press Release Visibility Grows | 12/02/2025 |
5 | Buzz Dealer Unveils GEO Service to Future-Proof Brands for the AI Search Era | 12/03/2025 |
6 | GEO Group Reassessing Valuation After a Recent Share Price Rebound | 12/09/2025 |
7 | Does GEO Groups Legal Leadership Transition Reveal Its LongTerm Regulatory Strategy | 12/12/2025 |
8 | Geo Group Gets a Buy from Northland Securities - The Globe and Mail | 12/19/2025 |
9 | The GEO Group Awarded Contract by U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement for Provision of Skip Tracing Services | 12/22/2025 |
10 | Ex-ICE officer pleads guilty to sexually abusing immigrant in custody | 01/02/2026 |
11 | GEO Group Is Up 5.5 percent After Winning SoleSource Big Horn ICE Contract Is The Bull Case Changed | 01/12/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 159.9 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -101.7 M |
Geo Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 1,700 in Geo Group on October 18, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of 49.00 from holding Geo Group or generate 2.88% return on investment over 90 days. Geo Group is generating 0.0743% of daily returns assuming volatility of 2.3655% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 21% of stocks are less volatile than Geo, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Geo Market Risk Analysis
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Geo's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of stocks, such as Geo Group, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Geo's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.
Sharpe Ratio = 0.0314
| High Returns | Best Equity | |||
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| Cash | Small Risk | GEO | High Risk | Huge Risk |
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Based on monthly moving average Geo is performing at about 2% of its full potential. If added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Geo by adding it to a well-diversified portfolio.
Geo Fundamentals Growth
Geo Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Geo, and Geo fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Geo Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.17 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0472 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.09 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.11 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 3.85 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 139.2 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 11.19 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 1.58 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 0.98 X | ||||
| Revenue | 2.42 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 645.64 M | ||||
| EBITDA | 355.44 M | ||||
| Net Income | 31.97 M | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 76.9 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 4.88 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 1.81 B | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 2.79 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 2.63 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 11.13 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 242.24 M | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 1.69 X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 2.48 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 3.63 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 39.88 M | ||||
| Working Capital | 159.96 M | ||||
| Current Asset | 438.35 M | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 278.62 M | ||||
About Geo Performance
By examining Geo's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Geo's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Geo is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 11.11 | 8.22 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.01 | 0.01 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.09 | 0.11 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.01 | 0.01 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.03 | 0.03 |
Things to note about Geo Group performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Geo for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Geo Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Geo Group has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 95.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: GEO Group Is Up 5.5 percent After Winning SoleSource Big Horn ICE Contract Is The Bull Case Changed |
- Analyzing Geo's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Geo's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Geo's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Geo's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Geo's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Geo's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Geo's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Geo Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in median. You can also try the Sign In To Macroaxis module to sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules.
Is Commercial Services & Supplies space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Geo. If investors know Geo will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Geo listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 5.526 | Earnings Share 1.69 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.131 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Geo Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Geo that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Geo's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Geo's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Geo's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Geo's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Geo's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Geo is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Geo's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.