Guess Inc Stock Alpha and Beta Analysis
| GES Stock | USD 17.07 0.44 2.65% |
This module allows you to check different measures of market premium (i.e., alpha and beta) for all equities such as Guess Inc. It also helps investors analyze the systematic and unsystematic risks associated with investing in Guess over a specified time horizon. Remember, high Guess' alpha is almost always a sign of good performance; however, a high beta will depend on investors' risk tolerance level and may signal increased volatility and potential future overvaluation. Key technical indicators related to Guess' market risk premium analysis include:
Beta 1.35 | Alpha (0.45) | Risk 2.03 | Sharpe Ratio (0.15) | Expected Return (0.30) |
Guess Quarterly Cash And Equivalents |
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Alpha is a measure of relative performance on a risk-adjusted basis, while beta measures volatility against the benchmark. The goal is to know if an investor is being compensated for the volatility risk taken. The return on investment might be better than its reference but still not compensate for the assumption of the risk.
Guess |
Guess Market Premiums
Investors always prefer to have the highest possible return on investment, coupled with the lowest possible volatility. Guess market risk premium is the additional return an investor will receive from holding Guess long position in a well-diversified portfolio. The market premium is part of the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), which most analysts and investors use to calculate the acceptable rate of return on investment in Guess. At the center of the CAPM is the concept of risk and reward, which is usually communicated by investors using alpha and beta measures. Alpha and beta are two of the key measurements used to evaluate Guess' performance over market.| α | -0.45 | β | 1.35 |
Guess expected buy-and-hold returns
Although buy-and-hold investment strategy may not appeal to all investors, it may be used as a good measure of Guess' Buy-and-hold return. Our buy-and-hold chart shows how Guess performed over your current time horizon against a typical interest-earning bank account and a selected benchmark.Guess Market Price Analysis
Market price analysis indicators help investors to evaluate how Guess stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Guess shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Guess stock market price indicators, traders can identify Guess position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Guess Return and Market Media
The median price of Guess for the period between Mon, Aug 26, 2024 and Sun, Nov 24, 2024 is 19.06 with a coefficient of variation of 6.87. The daily time series for the period is distributed with a sample standard deviation of 1.29, arithmetic mean of 18.72, and mean deviation of 1.1. The Stock received substential amount of media coverage during this period. Price Growth (%) |
| Timeline |
1 | Guess, Inc. Q2 2025 Earnings Call Transcript | 08/30/2024 |
2 | Acquisition by Markus Neubrand of 10000 shares of Guess subject to Rule 16b-3 | 09/10/2024 |
3 | Disposition of 32972 shares by Maurice Marciano of Guess subject to Rule 16b-3 | 09/13/2024 |
4 | Is Guess, Inc. Potentially Undervalued | 09/23/2024 |
| Guess dividend paid on 27th of September 2024 | 09/27/2024 |
5 | Is Genesis Resources Using Debt Sensibly | 10/03/2024 |
6 | Acquisition by Dennis Secor of 19594 shares of Guess subject to Rule 16b-3 | 10/08/2024 |
7 | GUESS, Inc. Partners with SuperCircle for New E-Commerce Recycling Program GUESS Again | 10/11/2024 |
8 | Guess, Inc.s Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking | 10/24/2024 |
9 | Discretionary transaction by Paul Marciano of tradable shares of Guess subject to Rule 16b-3 | 10/25/2024 |
10 | Disposition of 25000 shares by Fabrice Benarouche of Guess at 19.58 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 11/05/2024 |
11 | Disposition of 6034 shares by Carlos Alberini of Guess at 22.51 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 11/15/2024 |
12 | Guess, Inc. to Webcast Conference Call on Third Quarter Fiscal 2025 Financial Results | 11/19/2024 |
About Guess Beta and Alpha
For many years both, Alpha and Beta indicators are used by professional money managers as critical performance measurement tools across virtually all financial instruments including Guess or other stocks. Alpha measures the amount that position in Guess Inc has returned in comparison to a selected market index or another relevant benchmark. In other words, Alpha is the excess return on an investment relative to the performance of your selected benchmark. Beta, on the other hand, measures the relative risk of your investment.
| 2010 | 2014 | 2020 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0289 | 0.0281 | 0.0515 | 0.0539 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.92 | 0.56 | 0.44 | 1.23 |
Guess Upcoming Company Events
As portrayed in its financial statements, the presentation of Guess' financial position is often influenced by management's estimates, judgments, and sometimes even manipulations. In the best case, Guess' leadership is honest, while the outside auditors are strict and uncompromising. Whatever the case, investors should always follow all of Guess' public filing events to personally review all filings and be reasonable and skeptical to interpret all of the financial statements of Guess. Please utilize our Beneish M Score to check the likelihood of Guess' management manipulating its earnings.
| 12th of March 2024 Upcoming Quarterly Report | View | |
| 22nd of May 2024 Next Financial Report | View | |
| 31st of January 2024 Next Fiscal Quarter End | View | |
| 12th of March 2024 Next Fiscal Year End | View | |
| 31st of October 2023 Last Quarter Report | View | |
| 31st of January 2023 Last Financial Announcement | View |
Build Portfolio with Guess
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Additional Tools for Guess Stock Analysis
When running Guess' price analysis, check to measure Guess' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Guess is operating at the current time. Most of Guess' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Guess' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Guess' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Guess to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.