Guess Inc Stock Performance
| GES Stock | USD 16.63 0.43 2.65% |
The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 1.26, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Guess will likely underperform. At this point, Guess Inc has a negative expected return of -0.36%. Please make sure to check out Guess' treynor ratio, as well as the relationship between the kurtosis and day typical price , to decide if Guess Inc performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
0 of 100
Weak | Strong |
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Guess Inc has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of uncertain performance in the last few months, the Stock's technical and fundamental indicators remain comparatively stable which may send shares a bit higher in December 2024. The newest uproar may also be a sign of mid-term up-swing for the firm private investors. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return 1.48 | Five Day Return (3.35) | Year To Date Return (31.24) | Ten Year Return (26.28) | All Time Return 82.67 |
Forward Dividend Yield 0.0725 | Payout Ratio 1.3019 | Last Split Factor 2:1 | Forward Dividend Rate 1.2 | Dividend Date 2024-09-27 |
1 | Q2 2025 Guess Inc Earnings Call Transcript | 08/29/2024 |
2 | Acquisition by Markus Neubrand of 10000 shares of Guess subject to Rule 16b-3 | 09/10/2024 |
3 | Disposition of 32972 shares by Maurice Marciano of Guess subject to Rule 16b-3 | 09/13/2024 |
| Guess dividend paid on 27th of September 2024 | 09/27/2024 |
5 | Acquisition by Dennis Secor of 19594 shares of Guess subject to Rule 16b-3 | 10/08/2024 |
6 | Guess shareholders have earned a 8.0 percent CAGR over the last five years | 10/09/2024 |
7 | Under Armour Q2 Earnings Leading The Apparel, Accessories and Luxury Goods Pack | 10/23/2024 |
8 | Discretionary transaction by Paul Marciano of tradable shares of Guess subject to Rule 16b-3 | 10/25/2024 |
9 | Disposition of 25000 shares by Fabrice Benarouche of Guess at 19.58 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 11/05/2024 |
10 | Disposition of 6034 shares by Carlos Alberini of Guess at 22.51 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 11/15/2024 |
11 | Guess, Inc. to Webcast Conference Call on Third Quarter Fiscal 2025 Financial Results | 11/19/2024 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 275.8 M |
Guess |
Guess Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 2,119 in Guess Inc on August 23, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (456.00) from holding Guess Inc or give up 21.52% of portfolio value over 90 days. Guess Inc is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 2.0152% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 17% of stocks are less volatile than Guess, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Guess Market Risk Analysis
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Guess' investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of stocks, such as Guess Inc, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Guess' price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.
Sharpe Ratio = -0.1776
| Best Portfolio | Best Equity | |||
| Good Returns | ||||
| Average Returns | ||||
| Small Returns | ||||
| Cash | Small Risk | Average Risk | High Risk | Huge Risk |
| Negative Returns | GES |
Estimated Market Risk
| 2.02 actual daily | 17 83% of assets are more volatile |
Expected Return
| -0.36 actual daily | 0 Most of other assets have higher returns |
Risk-Adjusted Return
| -0.18 actual daily | 0 Most of other assets perform better |
Based on monthly moving average Guess is not performing at its full potential. However, if added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Guess by adding Guess to a well-diversified portfolio.
Guess Fundamentals Growth
Guess Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Guess, and Guess fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Guess Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.35 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0555 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.06 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.05 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 2.04 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 51.42 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 10.46 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 1.73 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 0.29 X | ||||
| Revenue | 2.78 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 1.15 B | ||||
| EBITDA | 329.75 M | ||||
| Net Income | 195.83 M | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 275.76 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 3.23 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 1.16 B | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 2.54 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 1.57 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 9.55 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 330.38 M | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 2.67 X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 833.04 M | ||||
| Total Asset | 2.59 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 1.41 B | ||||
| Working Capital | 433.92 M | ||||
| Current Asset | 1.04 B | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 327.06 M | ||||
About Guess Performance
Assessing Guess' fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Guess' financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Guess is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 109.53 | 90.58 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.08 | 0.16 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.15 | 0.35 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.08 | 0.15 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.29 | 0.29 |
Things to note about Guess Inc performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Guess for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Guess Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Guess Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Guess Inc is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 71.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 27th of September 2024 Guess paid $ 0.3 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from businesswire.com: Guess, Inc. to Webcast Conference Call on Third Quarter Fiscal 2025 Financial Results |
- Analyzing Guess' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Guess' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Guess' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Guess' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Guess' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Guess' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Guess' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Additional Tools for Guess Stock Analysis
When running Guess' price analysis, check to measure Guess' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Guess is operating at the current time. Most of Guess' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Guess' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Guess' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Guess to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.