American Airlines Stock Forecast - Accumulation Distribution
| AAL Stock | USD 14.64 0.28 1.88% |
American Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although American Airlines' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of American Airlines' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of American Airlines fundamentals over time.
American |
Open Interest Against 2024-11-29 American Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast American Airlines' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in American Airlines' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for American Airlines stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current American Airlines' open interest, investors have to compare it to American Airlines' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of American Airlines is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in American. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
| Previous Accumulation Distribution | Accumulation Distribution | Trend |
| 3.2 M | 776645.0 |
| Check American Airlines Volatility | Backtest American Airlines | Trend Details |
American Airlines Trading Date Momentum
| On September 30 2024 American Airlines Group was traded for 11.24 at the closing time. Highest American Airlines's price during the trading hours was 11.58 and the lowest price during the day was 11.20 . The net volume was 26.3 M. The overall trading history on the 30th of September contributed to the next trading period price depreciation. The overall trading delta to the next next day price was 2.77% . The overall trading delta to current price is 7.44% . |
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
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Other Forecasting Options for American Airlines
For every potential investor in American, whether a beginner or expert, American Airlines' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. American Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in American. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying American Airlines' price trends.American Airlines Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with American Airlines stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of American Airlines could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing American Airlines by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
American Airlines Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of American Airlines' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of American Airlines' current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
American Airlines Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how American Airlines stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading American Airlines shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying American Airlines stock market strength indicators, traders can identify American Airlines Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 283348.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.97) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 14.61 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 14.62 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.10) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.28) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 62.97 |
American Airlines Risk Indicators
The analysis of American Airlines' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in American Airlines' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting american stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.77 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.44 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.38 | |||
| Variance | 5.66 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.48 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.09 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.10) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Is Passenger Airlines space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of American Airlines. If investors know American will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about American Airlines listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.46) | Earnings Share 0.42 | Revenue Per Share 81.697 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.012 | Return On Assets 0.0275 |
The market value of American Airlines is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of American that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of American Airlines' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is American Airlines' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because American Airlines' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect American Airlines' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between American Airlines' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if American Airlines is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, American Airlines' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.