Braze Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

BRZE Stock  USD 39.12  0.41  1.06%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Braze Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 38.13 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.93 and the sum of the absolute errors of 57.80. Braze Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Braze stock prices and determine the direction of Braze Inc's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Braze's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Braze's Asset Turnover is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. . The current year's Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to grow to about 103.1 M, whereas Net Loss is projected to grow to (118.8 M).

Braze Cash Forecast

Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Braze's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2010-12-31
Previous Quarter
68.2 M
Current Value
64.8 M
Quarterly Volatility
120.7 M
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Braze is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Braze Inc value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Braze Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 27th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Braze Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 38.13 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.93, mean absolute percentage error of 1.60, and the sum of the absolute errors of 57.80.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Braze Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Braze's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Braze Stock Forecast Pattern

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Braze Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Braze's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Braze's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 34.65 and 41.62, respectively. We have considered Braze's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
39.12
38.13
Expected Value
41.62
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Braze stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Braze stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria120.4187
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.9323
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0267
SAESum of the absolute errors57.8007
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Braze Inc. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Braze. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Braze

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Braze Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
35.8239.3042.78
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
35.2147.2750.75
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
33.5036.3939.28
Details
19 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
51.1956.2562.44
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Braze. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Braze's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Braze's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Braze Inc.

Other Forecasting Options for Braze

For every potential investor in Braze, whether a beginner or expert, Braze's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Braze Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Braze. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Braze's price trends.

View Braze Related Equities

 Risk & Return  Correlation

Braze Inc Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Braze's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Braze's current price.

Braze Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Braze stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Braze shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Braze stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Braze Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Braze Risk Indicators

The analysis of Braze's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Braze's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting braze stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether Braze Inc is a strong investment it is important to analyze Braze's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Braze's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Braze Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Braze to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Braze. If investors know Braze will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Braze listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(1.18)
Revenue Per Share
5.348
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.264
Return On Assets
(0.11)
Return On Equity
(0.26)
The market value of Braze Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Braze that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Braze's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Braze's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Braze's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Braze's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Braze's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Braze is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Braze's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.