Ethan Allen Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| ETD Stock | USD 31.04 1.11 3.71% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Ethan Allen Interiors on the next trading day is expected to be 30.92 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.54 and the sum of the absolute errors of 33.41. Ethan Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Ethan Allen stock prices and determine the direction of Ethan Allen Interiors's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Ethan Allen's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Ethan |
Ethan Allen Cash Forecast
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Ethan Allen's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 1992-12-31 | Previous Quarter 69.7 M | Current Value 59.2 M | Quarterly Volatility 44 M |
Ethan Allen Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 27th of November
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Ethan Allen Interiors on the next trading day is expected to be 30.92 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.54, mean absolute percentage error of 0.44, and the sum of the absolute errors of 33.41.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Ethan Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Ethan Allen's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Ethan Allen Stock Forecast Pattern
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Ethan Allen Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Ethan Allen's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Ethan Allen's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 29.01 and 32.83, respectively. We have considered Ethan Allen's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Ethan Allen stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Ethan Allen stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.1318 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.5389 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0181 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 33.4121 |
Predictive Modules for Ethan Allen
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ethan Allen Interiors. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ethan Allen's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Ethan Allen
For every potential investor in Ethan, whether a beginner or expert, Ethan Allen's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Ethan Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Ethan. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Ethan Allen's price trends.Ethan Allen Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Ethan Allen stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Ethan Allen could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ethan Allen by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Ethan Allen Interiors Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Ethan Allen's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Ethan Allen's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
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| Statistic Functions | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
Ethan Allen Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Ethan Allen stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Ethan Allen shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Ethan Allen stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Ethan Allen Interiors entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Ethan Allen Risk Indicators
The analysis of Ethan Allen's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Ethan Allen's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ethan stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.4 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.91 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.92 | |||
| Variance | 3.68 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.93 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.64 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.45) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.When determining whether Ethan Allen Interiors is a strong investment it is important to analyze Ethan Allen's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Ethan Allen's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Ethan Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Ethan Allen to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Latest Portfolios module to quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios.
Is Household Durables space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ethan Allen. If investors know Ethan will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ethan Allen listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.02) | Dividend Share 1.5 | Earnings Share 2.48 | Revenue Per Share 24.932 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.06) |
The market value of Ethan Allen Interiors is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ethan that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ethan Allen's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ethan Allen's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ethan Allen's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ethan Allen's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ethan Allen's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ethan Allen is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ethan Allen's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.