Ethan Allen Interiors Stock Price Prediction
| ETD Stock | USD 29.31 0.34 1.17% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
42
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.02) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.62 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.37 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.36 | Wall Street Target Price 32 |
Using Ethan Allen hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Ethan Allen Interiors from the perspective of Ethan Allen response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Ethan Allen to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Ethan because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Ethan Allen after-hype prediction price | USD 29.3 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Ethan |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ethan Allen's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Ethan Allen After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Ethan Allen at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Ethan Allen or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Ethan Allen, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Ethan Allen Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Ethan Allen's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Ethan Allen's historical news coverage. Ethan Allen's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 27.46 and 31.14, respectively. We have considered Ethan Allen's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Ethan Allen is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Ethan Allen Interiors is based on 3 months time horizon.
Ethan Allen Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Ethan Allen is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Ethan Allen backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Ethan Allen, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.09 | 1.83 | 0.01 | 0.03 | 9 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
29.31 | 29.30 | 0.03 |
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Ethan Allen Hype Timeline
On the 22nd of November Ethan Allen Interiors is traded for 29.31. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. Ethan is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 29.3. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.03%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.09%. The volatility of related hype on Ethan Allen is about 606.63%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 29.34. About 88.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.55. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Ethan Allen Interiors has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.88. The entity last dividend was issued on the 12th of November 2024. The firm had 3:2 split on the 24th of May 1999. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Ethan Allen Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Ethan Allen Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Ethan Allen's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Ethan Allen's future price movements. Getting to know how Ethan Allen's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Ethan Allen may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BSET | Bassett Furniture Industries | 0.02 | 8 per month | 1.51 | 0.08 | 3.24 | (2.70) | 9.61 | |
| NTZ | Natuzzi SpA | (0.03) | 5 per month | 3.72 | (0) | 8.75 | (5.44) | 30.87 | |
| FLXS | Flexsteel Industries | 3.80 | 10 per month | 1.50 | 0.15 | 6.86 | (3.40) | 33.56 | |
| KBAL | Kimball International | (0.07) | 10 per month | 0.00 | 0.11 | 1.08 | (0.89) | 87.83 | |
| HBB | Hamilton Beach Brands | (1.16) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 4.37 | (4.98) | 29.81 | |
| HOFT | Hooker Furniture | (0.75) | 10 per month | 2.49 | 0.09 | 5.56 | (3.65) | 11.82 |
Ethan Allen Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Ethan price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ethan using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ethan charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
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| Statistic Functions | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
About Ethan Allen Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Ethan Allen stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Ethan Allen Interiors, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Ethan Allen based on analysis of Ethan Allen hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Ethan Allen's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Ethan Allen's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.094 | 0.0644 | 0.0719 | 0.0755 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.63 | 0.91 | 1.08 | 1.14 |
Story Coverage note for Ethan Allen
The number of cover stories for Ethan Allen depends on current market conditions and Ethan Allen's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Ethan Allen is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Ethan Allen's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Ethan Allen Short Properties
Ethan Allen's future price predictability will typically decrease when Ethan Allen's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Ethan Allen Interiors often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Ethan Allen's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ethan Allen's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 25.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 161 M |
Complementary Tools for Ethan Stock analysis
When running Ethan Allen's price analysis, check to measure Ethan Allen's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ethan Allen is operating at the current time. Most of Ethan Allen's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ethan Allen's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ethan Allen's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ethan Allen to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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