Ethan Allen Stock Forward View
| ETD Stock | USD 23.95 0.28 1.16% |
Ethan Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Ethan Allen stock prices and determine the direction of Ethan Allen Interiors's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Ethan Allen's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of Ethan Allen's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.22) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.32 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.56 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.75 | Wall Street Target Price 27 |
Using Ethan Allen hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Ethan Allen Interiors from the perspective of Ethan Allen response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Ethan Allen using Ethan Allen's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Ethan using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Ethan Allen's stock price.
Ethan Allen Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Ethan Allen's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Ethan. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Ethan Allen stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 26.8258 | Short Percent 0.0763 | Short Ratio 4.85 | Shares Short Prior Month 1 M | 50 Day MA 23.8374 |
Ethan Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Ethan Allen Interiors on the next trading day is expected to be 22.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.49 and the sum of the absolute errors of 30.44.Ethan Allen Interiors Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Ethan Allen's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Ethan. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Ethan can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Ethan Allen Interiors. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Ethan Allen's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Ethan Allen.
Ethan Allen Implied Volatility | 0.52 |
Ethan Allen's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Ethan Allen Interiors stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Ethan Allen's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Ethan Allen stock will not fluctuate a lot when Ethan Allen's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Ethan Allen Interiors on the next trading day is expected to be 22.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.49 and the sum of the absolute errors of 30.44. Ethan Allen after-hype prediction price | USD 24.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Ethan Allen to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Ethan contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Ethan Allen Interiors will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0325% per day over the life of the 2026-05-15 option contract. With Ethan Allen trading at USD 23.95, that is roughly USD 0.007784 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Ethan Allen's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Ethan Allen Interiors options at the current volatility level of 0.52%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-05-15 Ethan Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Ethan Allen's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Ethan Allen's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Ethan Allen stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Ethan Allen's open interest, investors have to compare it to Ethan Allen's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Ethan Allen is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Ethan. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Ethan Allen Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Ethan price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ethan using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ethan charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Ethan Allen Cash Forecast
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Ethan Allen's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 1992-12-31 | Previous Quarter 73.6 M | Current Value 64.3 M | Quarterly Volatility 43.2 M |
Ethan Allen Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 7th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Ethan Allen Interiors on the next trading day is expected to be 22.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.49, mean absolute percentage error of 0.37, and the sum of the absolute errors of 30.44.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Ethan Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Ethan Allen's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Ethan Allen Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Ethan Allen | Ethan Allen Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Ethan Allen Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Ethan Allen's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Ethan Allen's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 20.38 and 24.19, respectively. We have considered Ethan Allen's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Ethan Allen stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Ethan Allen stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.9497 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.491 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0208 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 30.4443 |
Predictive Modules for Ethan Allen
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ethan Allen Interiors. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ethan Allen's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Ethan Allen After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Ethan Allen at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Ethan Allen or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Ethan Allen, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Ethan Allen Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Ethan Allen's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Ethan Allen's historical news coverage. Ethan Allen's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 22.10 and 25.90, respectively. We have considered Ethan Allen's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Ethan Allen is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Ethan Allen Interiors is based on 3 months time horizon.
Ethan Allen Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Ethan Allen is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Ethan Allen backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Ethan Allen, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.08 | 1.90 | 0.05 | 0.02 | 8 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
23.95 | 24.00 | 0.21 |
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Ethan Allen Hype Timeline
On the 6th of February Ethan Allen Interiors is traded for 23.95. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. Ethan is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 24.0 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.21%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.08%. The volatility of related hype on Ethan Allen is about 959.6%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 23.93. The company reported the last year's revenue of 614.65 M. Total Income to common stockholders was 51.6 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 364.88 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Ethan Allen to cross-verify your projections.Ethan Allen Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Ethan Allen's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Ethan Allen's future price movements. Getting to know how Ethan Allen's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Ethan Allen may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HOV | Hovnanian Enterprises | (1.97) | 10 per month | 4.69 | 0.02 | 7.93 | (5.13) | 34.59 | |
| CSV | Carriage Services | (0.90) | 10 per month | 1.45 | (0.03) | 2.50 | (1.94) | 5.68 | |
| BLMN | Bloomin Brands | (0.43) | 9 per month | 4.36 | (0) | 5.22 | (7.22) | 22.59 | |
| OXM | Oxford Industries | (0.50) | 11 per month | 4.89 | 0.03 | 7.88 | (5.59) | 30.64 | |
| BZH | Beazer Homes USA | 0.81 | 7 per month | 2.61 | 0.05 | 7.08 | (2.90) | 19.78 | |
| YSG | Yatsen Holding | 0.09 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 7.79 | (7.99) | 38.70 | |
| CARS | Cars Inc | (0.1) | 10 per month | 1.97 | 0.01 | 3.99 | (3.44) | 10.98 | |
| LEGH | Legacy Housing Corp | (0.01) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 2.95 | (2.89) | 10.51 | |
| PLOW | Douglas Dynamics | (0.20) | 9 per month | 0.75 | 0.24 | 3.22 | (1.36) | 8.83 | |
| BBW | Build A Bear Workshop | 1.23 | 10 per month | 4.41 | 0.01 | 4.68 | (4.88) | 25.04 |
Other Forecasting Options for Ethan Allen
For every potential investor in Ethan, whether a beginner or expert, Ethan Allen's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Ethan Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Ethan. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Ethan Allen's price trends.Ethan Allen Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Ethan Allen stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Ethan Allen could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ethan Allen by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Ethan Allen Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Ethan Allen stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Ethan Allen shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Ethan Allen stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Ethan Allen Interiors entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 7141.55 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.57) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 24.01 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 23.99 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.20) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.28) |
Ethan Allen Risk Indicators
The analysis of Ethan Allen's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Ethan Allen's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ethan stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.39 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.72 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.85 | |||
| Variance | 3.42 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.08 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.96 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.55) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Ethan Allen
The number of cover stories for Ethan Allen depends on current market conditions and Ethan Allen's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Ethan Allen is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Ethan Allen's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Ethan Allen Short Properties
Ethan Allen's future price predictability will typically decrease when Ethan Allen's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Ethan Allen Interiors often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Ethan Allen's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ethan Allen's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 25.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 136.1 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Ethan Allen to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.
Will Household Durables sector continue expanding? Could Ethan diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ethan Allen. Projected growth potential of Ethan fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Ethan Allen data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.22) | Dividend Share 1.56 | Earnings Share 1.79 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.05) |
The market value of Ethan Allen Interiors is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ethan that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ethan Allen's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ethan Allen's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Ethan Allen's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ethan Allen's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Ethan Allen's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Ethan Allen should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, Ethan Allen's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.