Fuse Group OTC Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

FUST Stock  USD 0.20  0.02  9.09%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Fuse Group Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 0.39 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.52. Fuse OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the value of rsi of Fuse Group's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the otc stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Fuse Group Holding stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Fuse Group shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Fuse Group's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Fuse Group and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Fuse Group's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Fuse Group Holding, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Fuse Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Fuse Group Holding from the perspective of Fuse Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Fuse Group Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 0.39 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.52.

Fuse Group after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.2  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Fuse Group to cross-verify your projections.

Fuse Group Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Fuse price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Fuse using various technical indicators. When you analyze Fuse charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Fuse Group is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Fuse Group Holding value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Fuse Group Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 5th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Fuse Group Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 0.39 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.52.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Fuse OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Fuse Group's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Fuse Group OTC Stock Forecast Pattern

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Fuse Group Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Fuse Group's OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Fuse Group's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 32.60, respectively. We have considered Fuse Group's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.20
0.39
Expected Value
32.60
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Fuse Group otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Fuse Group otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.1074
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1069
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.3672
SAESum of the absolute errors6.5199
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Fuse Group Holding. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Fuse Group. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Fuse Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fuse Group Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Fuse Group's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.2032.42
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.1632.38
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Fuse Group

For every potential investor in Fuse, whether a beginner or expert, Fuse Group's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Fuse OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Fuse. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Fuse Group's price trends.

Fuse Group Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Fuse Group otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Fuse Group could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Fuse Group by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Fuse Group Holding Technical and Predictive Analytics

The otc stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Fuse Group's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Fuse Group's current price.

Fuse Group Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Fuse Group otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Fuse Group shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Fuse Group otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Fuse Group Holding entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Fuse Group Risk Indicators

The analysis of Fuse Group's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Fuse Group's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting fuse otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Additional Tools for Fuse OTC Stock Analysis

When running Fuse Group's price analysis, check to measure Fuse Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fuse Group is operating at the current time. Most of Fuse Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fuse Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fuse Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fuse Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.