Correlation Between Bread Financial and Ulta Beauty

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Bread Financial and Ulta Beauty at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Bread Financial and Ulta Beauty into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Bread Financial Holdings and Ulta Beauty, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Bread Financial and Ulta Beauty and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Bread Financial with a short position of Ulta Beauty. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Bread Financial and Ulta Beauty.

Diversification Opportunities for Bread Financial and Ulta Beauty

0.75
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Bread and Ulta is 0.75. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Bread Financial Holdings and Ulta Beauty in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Ulta Beauty and Bread Financial is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Bread Financial Holdings are associated (or correlated) with Ulta Beauty. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Ulta Beauty has no effect on the direction of Bread Financial i.e., Bread Financial and Ulta Beauty go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Bread Financial and Ulta Beauty

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Bread Financial Holdings is expected to generate 1.42 times more return on investment than Ulta Beauty. However, Bread Financial is 1.42 times more volatile than Ulta Beauty. It trades about 0.06 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Ulta Beauty is currently generating about -0.01 per unit of risk. If you would invest  3,989  in Bread Financial Holdings on December 4, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  3,876  from holding Bread Financial Holdings or generate 97.17% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy93.9%
ValuesDaily Returns

Bread Financial Holdings  vs.  Ulta Beauty

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Bread Financial Holdings 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Bread Financial Holdings has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite uncertain performance in the last few months, the Stock's essential indicators remain somewhat strong which may send shares a bit higher in April 2025. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the company investors.
Ulta Beauty 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Ulta Beauty has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite latest weak performance, the Stock's essential indicators remain strong and the current disturbance on Wall Street may also be a sign of long term gains for the company investors.

Bread Financial and Ulta Beauty Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Bread Financial and Ulta Beauty

The main advantage of trading using opposite Bread Financial and Ulta Beauty positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Bread Financial position performs unexpectedly, Ulta Beauty can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Ulta Beauty will offset losses from the drop in Ulta Beauty's long position.
The idea behind Bread Financial Holdings and Ulta Beauty pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the ETF Categories module to list of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments.

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