Correlation Between Alcoa Corp and NovaGold Resources

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Alcoa Corp and NovaGold Resources at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Alcoa Corp and NovaGold Resources into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Alcoa Corp and NovaGold Resources, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Alcoa Corp and NovaGold Resources and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Alcoa Corp with a short position of NovaGold Resources. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Alcoa Corp and NovaGold Resources.

Diversification Opportunities for Alcoa Corp and NovaGold Resources

-0.6
  Correlation Coefficient

Excellent diversification

The 3 months correlation between Alcoa and NovaGold is -0.6. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Alcoa Corp and NovaGold Resources in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on NovaGold Resources and Alcoa Corp is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Alcoa Corp are associated (or correlated) with NovaGold Resources. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of NovaGold Resources has no effect on the direction of Alcoa Corp i.e., Alcoa Corp and NovaGold Resources go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Alcoa Corp and NovaGold Resources

Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Alcoa Corp is expected to generate 1.12 times more return on investment than NovaGold Resources. However, Alcoa Corp is 1.12 times more volatile than NovaGold Resources. It trades about 0.16 of its potential returns per unit of risk. NovaGold Resources is currently generating about -0.01 per unit of risk. If you would invest  4,131  in Alcoa Corp on August 29, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  449.00  from holding Alcoa Corp or generate 10.87% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthWeak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Alcoa Corp  vs.  NovaGold Resources

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Alcoa Corp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

16 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Solid
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Alcoa Corp are ranked lower than 16 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat conflicting basic indicators, Alcoa Corp sustained solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
NovaGold Resources 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days NovaGold Resources has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's technical and fundamental indicators remain nearly stable which may send shares a bit higher in December 2024. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long-run up-swing for the company stockholders.

Alcoa Corp and NovaGold Resources Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Alcoa Corp and NovaGold Resources

The main advantage of trading using opposite Alcoa Corp and NovaGold Resources positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Alcoa Corp position performs unexpectedly, NovaGold Resources can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in NovaGold Resources will offset losses from the drop in NovaGold Resources' long position.
The idea behind Alcoa Corp and NovaGold Resources pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.

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