Correlation Between Auburn Bancorp and First Merchants

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Auburn Bancorp and First Merchants at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Auburn Bancorp and First Merchants into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Auburn Bancorp and First Merchants, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Auburn Bancorp and First Merchants and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Auburn Bancorp with a short position of First Merchants. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Auburn Bancorp and First Merchants.

Diversification Opportunities for Auburn Bancorp and First Merchants

-0.55
  Correlation Coefficient

Excellent diversification

The 3 months correlation between Auburn and First is -0.55. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Auburn Bancorp and First Merchants in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on First Merchants and Auburn Bancorp is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Auburn Bancorp are associated (or correlated) with First Merchants. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of First Merchants has no effect on the direction of Auburn Bancorp i.e., Auburn Bancorp and First Merchants go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Auburn Bancorp and First Merchants

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Auburn Bancorp is expected to under-perform the First Merchants. But the pink sheet apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, Auburn Bancorp is 3.42 times less risky than First Merchants. The pink sheet trades about -0.07 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The First Merchants is currently generating about 0.24 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  3,716  in First Merchants on August 29, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  713.00  from holding First Merchants or generate 19.19% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthVery Weak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Auburn Bancorp  vs.  First Merchants

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Auburn Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Auburn Bancorp has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite somewhat strong fundamental drivers, Auburn Bancorp is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
First Merchants 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

7 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in First Merchants are ranked lower than 7 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather weak primary indicators, First Merchants exhibited solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Auburn Bancorp and First Merchants Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Auburn Bancorp and First Merchants

The main advantage of trading using opposite Auburn Bancorp and First Merchants positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Auburn Bancorp position performs unexpectedly, First Merchants can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in First Merchants will offset losses from the drop in First Merchants' long position.
The idea behind Auburn Bancorp and First Merchants pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Stocks Directory module to find actively traded stocks across global markets.

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