Correlation Between American Eagle and TheRealReal

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both American Eagle and TheRealReal at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining American Eagle and TheRealReal into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between American Eagle Outfitters and TheRealReal, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on American Eagle and TheRealReal and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in American Eagle with a short position of TheRealReal. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of American Eagle and TheRealReal.

Diversification Opportunities for American Eagle and TheRealReal

-0.5
  Correlation Coefficient

Very good diversification

The 3 months correlation between American and TheRealReal is -0.5. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding American Eagle Outfitters and TheRealReal in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on TheRealReal and American Eagle is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on American Eagle Outfitters are associated (or correlated) with TheRealReal. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of TheRealReal has no effect on the direction of American Eagle i.e., American Eagle and TheRealReal go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between American Eagle and TheRealReal

Considering the 90-day investment horizon American Eagle Outfitters is expected to under-perform the TheRealReal. But the stock apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, American Eagle Outfitters is 3.3 times less risky than TheRealReal. The stock trades about -0.35 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The TheRealReal is currently generating about 0.46 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  293.00  in TheRealReal on August 26, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  181.00  from holding TheRealReal or generate 61.77% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthVery Weak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

American Eagle Outfitters  vs.  TheRealReal

 Performance 
       Timeline  
American Eagle Outfitters 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days American Eagle Outfitters has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of unfluctuating performance in the last few months, the Stock's technical and fundamental indicators remain very healthy which may send shares a bit higher in December 2024. The recent disarray may also be a sign of long period up-swing for the firm investors.
TheRealReal 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

16 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Solid
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in TheRealReal are ranked lower than 16 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite quite inconsistent basic indicators, TheRealReal disclosed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

American Eagle and TheRealReal Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with American Eagle and TheRealReal

The main advantage of trading using opposite American Eagle and TheRealReal positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if American Eagle position performs unexpectedly, TheRealReal can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in TheRealReal will offset losses from the drop in TheRealReal's long position.
The idea behind American Eagle Outfitters and TheRealReal pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Analyst Advice module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.

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